Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 Jul04 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 8% 11.60    
1A  CLYDE PARK Sep22 Sep13 Aug29 Aug18 Aug08 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
2  SPINSTER ROAD Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun30 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  GEHRIG Sep19 Aug18 Jul04 May23 May04 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  GOD'S WILL BE DONE Sep22 Sep12 Aug31 Aug18 Jul14 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 12.00    
5  THE DRAKE Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 Jul12 Jun30 (poole a)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 ★    
6  ALL STAR JUSTICE Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul12 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
7  KNIGHTS KEY Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 May22 Jan01 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-2   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTERTAINER Sep17 Aug27 Jul31     (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.00 13% 6.90    
2  RESERVATION Sep27 May13 Mar11 Feb13   (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00 ★    
3  INSACIABLE PRINCE Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (romero jo)CORREA L 118 4.00    
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Sep27 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  CONSIDER ME Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 Jul06 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00 7% 12.60    
6  ATOMIC TONE Sep15 Jul01       (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNIESANDDIMES Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jul04 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00    
2  LADY FORTUNE Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 Jul26 Jun28 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 4.50 ★    
3  QUEENS TURN Sep15         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Sep08 Jul04 Jun13 May26 May12 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 ★    
5  COSTUME JEWELRY Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
6  YOU NAME IT Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 Jul13 Feb14 (gorham ro)CORREA L 115 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  SEEKING THE MONEY Sep07 Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 115 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-4   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MUSIC Sep26 Sep06 Aug03 Jul12   (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
2  MOONLIGHT MEISTER         (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 118 10.00 ★    
3  K KID         (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  BAD BOY BOOGIE         (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 118 3.00 10% 9.20    
5  CONSTITUTION COAL         (faulkner )CORREA L 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
6  CAVALETTO         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 6.00    
7  HARSH TRUTH Sep06 Aug18 Aug03     (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 113 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS MAN CAN Sep27 Sep12 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
2  MUSTANG WILLIE Sep26 Aug24 Aug13 Jul14 Jul06 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 ★    
3  KONTAR Sep06 Aug13 Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 8% 11.90    
4  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 Jul26 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
5  JACK BE FAST Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 6.00    
6  JIMTOWN Sep27 Aug25 Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
7  SPIN DOCTOR Sep27 Sep15 Sep05 Aug18 Aug04 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
8  TWO EAGLES Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 Jul18 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 9% 10.00    
 
TDN-6   10/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRECIOUS JULES Sep28 Sep15 Sep08 Aug09 Jul25 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
2  SAMMY DA BULL Sep21 Sep06 Aug18 Aug02 Jul14 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★    
3  KARAMEL CORN Aug15 Jul13 Jun08     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 6.00 ★    
4  BOOT LEGGER Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 Jul25 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  MOBIL AT LAST Sep22 Aug08 Jun20 Jun06 May07 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 119 20.00    
6  SERVE REVENGE COLD Sep22 Jul15 Jun03 May23 Jan05 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  FU ROO Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  DEER CREEK ROAD Sep29 Sep15 Aug29 Jul21 Feb15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET OUTLOOK Sep12 Aug10 Jul07 Jun20 May25 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 115 12.00    
2  PSYCHOANALYST Jun28 May24 May07 Apr16 Jan14 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 ★    
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE Sep07         (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Sep27 Sep12 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 (evans micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00 ★    
5  LIONISTIC Sep23 Aug26 Aug04 Jun20 May18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 1.80 51% 1.00    
6  FLATTER HER AGAIN Sep21 Sep07 Apr16 Mar26 Mar15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ZELIG Sep23 Aug09 Jul15 Mar04 Jan28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ICONIC Sep12 Aug04 Jul07 May31 May11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 ★    
2  OHIO MUNNY Sep15 Aug30 Aug18 Jul13 Jun08 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  MINE'S DIALED IN Sep28 Sep12       (ray kevin)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
4  PROFESSIONAL Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Jul27 Jun27 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 ★    
5  SMASH Sep29 Sep19 Aug24 Aug09 Jun14 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
6  DYRDEK Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
7  FORTUNATE FRIENDS Sep29 Sep05 Aug18 Jul19 Jul04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.