Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDGE OF GLORY 2 1 4 5   2 1½ (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 22% 3.50 2.20 W
PUDGE BOY PALACE 6 5 52 4   32 2½ (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00 18.98  
STAR ENTERTAINER 8 10 9 9   5 31 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 6.56  
CONSPIRACY FACT 4 2 1nk 11   1 4 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 4.34  
SOUTHERN SENSE 3 7 7 7   6 5 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 6.83  
ANGEL OF THE NORTH 1 9 8 8   7 65 (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 16.99  
ALPHA WHISKEY 7 6 31 21   4 76 (morse l)COURT K 121 4.50 10% 8.60 13.80  
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN 9 8 10 10   9 8 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 6% 15.00 7.07  
10  LOCO 10 4 63 6   87 910½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 18.30 10.74  
BIG WOO 5 3 2nk 31   1019½ 1041½ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 21% 3.70 13.07  
 
CD-2   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACOCK LASS 7 3 1½ 11 1 1 14 (brisset rodolphe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 6.23  
TINY TEMPER 5 11 10 10 75 34 24 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.19 P
COMPARATIVE 2 1 42 42 3 2 36 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 48% 1.10 3.22 S
BOLT FOR ALLISON 3 2 5 3 43 45 4 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 25.82  
KEY TO SUCCESS 9 9 11 11 9 7 510 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 28.78  
ADIVA 6 7 2½ 21 2 5 612¼ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 10.90  
10  SWEET SWEETFANTASY 10 12 8 8 10 810½ 713¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 26.47  
11  ALWAYS LAUGHING 11 6 6 6 53 68 814 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 4.94  
MALAWNIA 8 4 3½ 52 64 912½ 922¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 12.00 22.67  
12  EVERYLITTLETHING 12 10 7 74 8 1014 1023 (stall m)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 29.50  
DAGMAR 1 8 95 9 11 1114 1124¾ (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00 53.91  
RIGHT NOW 4 5 12 12 1212¾ 1221 1239¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.97  
SCR  MIDVALE               (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:093 1:221   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTERWOOD 6 4 2nk 21 1½ 13 1 (brennan te)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 30.48  
STELLAR TAP 5 6 5 53 4 23 2 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 15% 5.70 6.86 P
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 4 3 4 42 53 5 3 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.35  
COUSIN LARRY 3 7 9 8 76 66 4 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00 9.94  
10  QUICK TO BLAME 9 9 6 6 6 4 5 (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11% 8.00 5.71  
ENDLESS SUNSET 8 8 77 7 89 88 6 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 5.00 14.22  
MIACOMET 7 5 31 3 2½ 34 7 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 3.58  
NEPOTISM 1 2 1nk 11 3 76 814½ (scherer mar)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 49% 1.00 3.58  
EL AHIJADO 2 1 8 911 916 914 922½ (guerrero sal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 76.08  
SCR  MEGA CHARLIE               (morse)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAG WARRIOR 5 4 2nk 2½ 1nk 11 1nk (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 29.09  
13  SUNNY RIVER 12 5 4 42 31 21 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 36% 1.80 0.89 P
SWEET LADY IVANKA 1 2 10 9 9 79 38 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 6% 17.10 6.88 S
LUV DRAGON 9 10 8 52 54 45 4 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 3.90 4.63  
PLEASE BE KIND 4 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 3 5 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18.83  
LADY COMMANDER 2 3 3.2 31 4 5 610¼ (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00 44.42  
TYRONA 7 7 7 6 66 6 710½ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 34.50  
12  GUN MOLL 11 11 6 8 89 911½ 816½ (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00 34.38  
AMERICAN BAND 3 6 9 11 1011 1012½ 916½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 38.51  
10  SINFILTRE 10 9 5 7 7 811 1017 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 16% 5.20 7.36  
BEYOND PERFECTION 6 8 11 10 1113 1116½ 1127 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 14.82  
ISABEL DE CLARE 8 12 12 12 1223½ 1239½ 1259 (wojczynski just)LEBRON VICTOR 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  MO HAPPY               (thompson boyd)STERRITT KENDAL 120 15.00    
SCR  ROLLESTON               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOGGINS 4 2 3 2nk   14 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 0.92 W
10  EASY ACTION 9 1 2nk 1nk   24 2 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6.50  
COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 5 5 4   46 3 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 23.93  
RELEASE MCCRAKEN 3 3 1nk 3.2   3 411 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 51% 1.00 7.59  
KUPP 5 6 84 6   512 516¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 10.19  
DARYL'S BOLT 8 11 1112 1113¾   816 617½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 45.75  
ARMY STAR 2 9 9 1013¼   715½ 718 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 30.05  
RAISE CAIN 6 10 106 7   613½ 818 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 23.05  
TEXAS PRIDE 7 4 4 5   1020 925 (lukas wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 21.26  
11  SPEED INSTITUTE 10 7 62 8   919½ 1025½ (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 30.86  
12  CREATE TROUBLE 11 8 72 910¾   1128 1138¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.01  
SCR  EGYPTIAN KING               (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  KING D'ORO               (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING ME               (catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
SCR  LUGAN KNIGHT               (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SEAS OF NORMANDY               (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
 
CD-6   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10 1:222   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UBER KIRK 3 6 74 5 4 11 1 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.60 W
12  GULFSTREAM WAY 11 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 31 2 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 39% 1.50 3.28 P
FILM STAR 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 24% 3.10 10.78  
PRO OXIDANT 8 9 9 9 7 76 4 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 2.33  
UNBRIDLED HONOR 2 11 1210¾ 12 1110¼ 9 57 (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 8.00  
10  DRIVE FOR FUN 9 4 4 42 6 6 6 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 19.97  
BRIGADIER GENERAL 5 7 8 7 5 43 7 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 7.67  
POLICY OPTION 7 12 11 11 9 87 89 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 21.18  
13  AMERICAN ICON 12 5 3 3 3½ 54 9 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6% 15.90 7.68  
IGNITIS 4 1 53 6 8 108 1010½ (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 113 30.00 56.44  
SUNDAY BREEZE 6 10 10 8 1210¾ 1110 1112 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 43.54  
11  OLLIEMEISTER 10 8 64 10 10 1211½ 1217 (stall albert)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 37.37  
SCR  AIR COMBAT               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
SCR  GO EMI               (gonzalez li)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
SCR  TIZ RYE TIME               (van th)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELL'S THE ONE 3 2 35 3   32 11 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 1.20 0.54  
JOYFUL CADENCE 2 1 12 1nk   1½ 21 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 2.72 P
SCONSIN 1 3 22 2nk   2½ 3 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 37% 1.70 2.37 S
SCR  CHEETARA (CHI)               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  CLUB CAR               (colebrook be)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-8   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:122 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYED HARD 5 1 2½ 2 1½ 13 1 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 45% 1.20 2.12 W
CRAZY BEAUTIFUL 3 4 1½ 1 3 3 2 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 1.80 2.44 P
LI'L TOOTSIE 4 3 3 32 2½ 23 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 21% 3.80 6.89 S
GOLD SPIRIT (CHI) 1 2 52 4 4 46 411¾ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 6.64  
ENVOUTANTE 2 5 42 5 5 57 515¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 1.90  
SCR  PRINCESS OF CAIRO               (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 20.00 8% 11.30    
 
CD-9   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLY JACK 5 2 6 6 6 11 11 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 10.83  
HONED 7 9 9 9 7 32 21 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 54.18  
JACE'S ROAD 6 3 21 3 3 21 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 26% 2.90 4.85 S
HAYES STRIKE 1 6 3 42 5 64 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 57.58  
CONFIDENCE GAME 8 8 7 52 4 7 510 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 29.85  
DAMON'S MOUND 3 5 11 1½ 2nk 4 610 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00 2.74  
ECHO AGAIN 9 1 52 2½ 1nk 54 714 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 19% 4.20 0.66  
JIN TONG 4 4 8 8 8 811½ 819 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 77.20  
ZAICI 2 7 4 7 910¾ 914 925¾ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00 ######  
 
CD-10   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:212 :441 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILES AHEAD 5 7 4 33   22 1hd (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 2.73  
ISOLATE 6 2 11 1nk   12 2hd (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.40 17% 5.00 1.61 P
NECKER ISLAND 4 4 65 5   4 3nk (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 44% 1.30 2.53 S
MANNY WAH 1 6 77 7   55 4 (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 10.00 26.65  
TOP GUNNER 7 1 21 2nk   3 5 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 14% 6.10 8.87  
BAYTOWN BEAR 8 5 5 4   67 6 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 30.00 51.35  
ROBO MAN 3 3 32 6   77 79 (pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 26.88  
A C EXPRESSWAY 2 8 8 811¼   812½ 814¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 10.46  
 
CD-11   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FUN AND FEISTY 10 11 119 11 68 1nk 1 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 6.23  
SHOPLIFTER 4 2 4 4 34 41 2 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 15% 5.80 14.73 P
GRAND LOVE 5 3 11 1 1½ 2nk 3 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 18% 4.70 1.06 S
BOSS LADY BAILEY 1 10 76 76 7 5 4 (ortiz a)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 18.40  
12  FRIENDLYPERSUASION 12 5 21 2 2½ 3½ 5 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 13.86  
JET SETTING 9 4 10 109 911 710½ 612¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 11.28  
SOUTHLAWN 7 7 65 65 46 6 713 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14.06  
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 6 6 5 5 58 812 818½ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00 95.11  
NEED SOME MONEY 8 8 8 98 1114½ 915½ 921¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 65.06  
KISS ME ON OCONEE 2 1 33 33 8 1016 1022¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 85.54  
11  JUSTA WARRIOR 11 9 9 8 1013½ 1120 1131¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 40% 1.50 5.74  
NAUGHTY GAL 3 12 1217 1218½ 1226½ 1232 1247¼ (lukas wa)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 12.52  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.