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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/17/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	EDGE OF GLORY									(ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121						4.00		22%		3.50		2.20	W
6	PUDGE BOY PALACE									(combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121						15.00						18.98
8	STAR ENTERTAINER									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						8.00						6.56
4	CONSPIRACY FACT									(stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121						6.00						4.34
3	SOUTHERN SENSE									(mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121						5.00						6.83
1	ANGEL OF THE NORTH									(mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121						15.00						16.99
7	ALPHA WHISKEY									(morse l)COURT K 121						4.50		10%		8.60		13.80
9	PISTOL OR SHOTGUN									(diodoro )SANTANA JR 121						4.50		6%		15.00		7.07
10	LOCO									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						12.00		5%		18.30		10.74
5	BIG WOO									(catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 121						6.00		21%		3.70		13.07

CD-2			09/17/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	PEACOCK LASS									(brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 119						12.00						6.23
5	TINY TEMPER									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00		25%		3.00		2.19	P
1	COMPARATIVE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						2.50		48%		1.10		3.22	S
3	BOLT FOR ALLISON									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						12.00						25.82
9	KEY TO SUCCESS									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00						28.78
6	ADIVA									(puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						15.00		★				10.90
10	SWEET SWEETFANTASY									(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119						15.00						26.47
11	ALWAYS LAUGHING									(walsh br)SANTANA JR 119						8.00						4.94
8	MALAWNIA									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119						12.00		★				22.67
12	EVERYLITTLETHING									(stall m)BEJARANO R 119						12.00						29.50
2	DAGMAR									(catalano m)DIAZ RENE 114						15.00						53.91
4	RIGHT NOW									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119						8.00		5%		19.00		12.97
SCR	MIDVALE									(walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						2.50

CD-3			09/17/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	WINTERWOOD									(brennan )SANTANA JR 118						12.00						30.48
6	STELLAR TAP									(hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						8.00		15%		5.70		6.86	P
5	PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122						4.50						2.35
4	COUSIN LARRY									(lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122						10.00						9.94
10	QUICK TO BLAME									(barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						10.00		11%		8.00		5.71
9	ENDLESS SUNSET									(garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117						5.00		★				14.22
8	MIACOMET									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.00		★				3.58
1	NEPOTISM									(scherer m)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.00		49%		1.00		3.58
2	EL AHIJADO									(guerrero sa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						30.00						76.08
SCR	MEGA CHARLIE									(mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122						20.00
SCR	WRITEITONTHEICE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00

CD-4			09/17/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	JAG WARRIOR									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120						15.00						29.09
13	SUNNY RIVER									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						1.80		36%		1.80		0.89	P
1	SWEET LADY IVANKA									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120						4.00		6%		17.10		6.88	S
9	LUV DRAGON									(stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120						3.50		20%		3.90		4.63
4	PLEASE BE KIND									(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120						4.50						18.83
2	LADY COMMANDER									(fires h)COURT K 124						15.00						44.42
7	TYRONA									(delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 120						20.00						34.50
12	GUN MOLL									(hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120						20.00		★				34.38
3	AMERICAN BAND									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						12.00						38.51
10	SINFILTRE									(pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.00		16%		5.20		7.36
6	BEYOND PERFECTION									(walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 120						12.00						14.82
8	ISABEL DE CLARE									(wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 120						30.00						######
SCR	MO HAPPY									(thompson bo)STERRITT KENDAL 120						15.00
SCR	ROLLESTON									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120						20.00

CD-5			09/17/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	LOGGINS									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		22%		3.50		0.92	W
10	EASY ACTION									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						10.00						6.50
2	COMMUNICATION MEMO									(asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						12.00						23.93
4	RELEASE MCCRAKEN									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						3.50		51%		1.00		7.59
6	KUPP									(moquett e)BEJARANO R 119						8.00		★				10.19
9	DARYL'S BOLT									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						12.00						45.75
3	ARMY STAR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00						30.05
7	RAISE CAIN									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119						12.00						23.05
8	TEXAS PRIDE									(lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						15.00						21.26
11	SPEED INSTITUTE									(o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119						12.00						30.86
12	CREATE TROUBLE									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		5%		19.00		6.01
SCR	EGYPTIAN KING									(glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00
SCR	KING D'ORO									(pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 119						6.00		5%		19.00
SCR	KING ME									(catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 119						12.00
SCR	LUGAN KNIGHT									(mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 119						8.00
SCR	SEAS OF NORMANDY									(jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						12.00

CD-6			09/17/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	UBER KIRK									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122						15.00		5%		19.00		9.60	W
12	GULFSTREAM WAY									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						6.00		39%		1.50		3.28	P
1	FILM STAR									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						4.00		24%		3.10		10.78
9	PRO OXIDANT									(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118						5.00		★				2.33
3	UNBRIDLED HONOR									(pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 122						4.50						8.00
10	DRIVE FOR FUN									(arnold r)GRAHAM J 122						10.00						19.97
6	BRIGADIER GENERAL									(stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						3.00						7.67
8	POLICY OPTION									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						20.00						21.18
13	AMERICAN ICON									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						5.00		6%		15.90		7.68
5	IGNITIS									(lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 113						30.00						56.44
7	SUNDAY BREEZE									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118						30.00						43.54
11	OLLIEMEISTER									(stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						15.00						37.37
SCR	AIR COMBAT									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						4.00		★
SCR	GO EMI									(gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 118						30.00
SCR	TIZ RYE TIME									(van berg )LEPAROUX R 122						12.00

CD-7			09/17/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($300K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BELL'S THE ONE									(pessin l)LANERIE J 122						1.20		★				0.54
2	JOYFUL CADENCE									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						3.50		★				2.72	P
1	SCONSIN									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						1.60		37%		1.70		2.37	S
SCR	CHEETARA (CHI)									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120						15.00		8%		11.50
SCR	CLUB CAR									(colebrook )HERNANDEZ J 120						5.00		27%		2.70

CD-8			09/17/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade III Stake/Handicap					Purse ($400K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	PLAYED HARD									(bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121						2.00		45%		1.20		2.12	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
3	CRAZY BEAUTIFUL									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121						1.80		★				2.44	P
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of INDIAN BURN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4	LI'L TOOTSIE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						8.00		21%		3.80		6.89	S
		(by TAPITURE out of INFORMATIVE STYLE by DAYJUR)
1	GOLD SPIRIT (CHI)									(pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						6.00						6.64
		(by OMAYAD out of BEDUINA DORADA by HUSSONET)
2	ENVOUTANTE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121						2.50		★				1.90
		(by UNCLE MO out of ENCHANTE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR	PRINCESS OF CAIRO									(puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121						20.00		8%		11.30
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of LOVELY COOL by INDIAN CHARLIE)

CD-9			09/17/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade III Stake/Handicap					Purse ($300K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CURLY JACK									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						5.00		★				10.83
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of CONNIE AND MICHAEL by ROMAN RULER)
7	HONED									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122						12.00						54.18
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of ALL ABOUT ALLISON by CITY ZIP)
6	JACE'S ROAD									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						3.50		26%		2.90		4.85	S
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
1	HAYES STRIKE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						12.00						57.58
		(by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
8	CONFIDENCE GAME									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122						12.00		★				29.85
		(by CANDY RIDE out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
3	DAMON'S MOUND									(lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						2.50		33%		2.00		2.74
		(by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
9	ECHO AGAIN									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122						2.00		19%		4.20		0.66
		(by GUN RUNNER out of TEARDROP by TAPIT)
4	JIN TONG									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122						15.00						77.20
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
2	ZAICI									(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122						30.00						######
		(by LAOBAN out of MARKETPLACE by RELAUNCH)

CD-10			09/17/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($275K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MILES AHEAD									(mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121						6.00		★				2.73
6	ISOLATE									(amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 123						1.40		17%		5.00		1.61	P
4	NECKER ISLAND									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						2.50		44%		1.30		2.53	S
1	MANNY WAH									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 121						10.00		★				26.65
7	TOP GUNNER									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						5.00		14%		6.10		8.87
8	BAYTOWN BEAR									(mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121						30.00						51.35
3	ROBO MAN									(pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121						15.00						26.88
2	A C EXPRESSWAY									(casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123						8.00						10.46

CD-11			09/17/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade III Stake/Handicap					Purse ($300K)			2		F		PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	FUN AND FEISTY									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122						6.00						6.23
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of GROUSE GRIND by FIRST SAMURAI)
4	SHOPLIFTER									(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122						15.00		15%		5.80		14.73	P
		(by SUPER SAVER out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
5	GRAND LOVE									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122						4.50		18%		4.70		1.06	S
		(by GUN RUNNER out of GRAND PRAYER by GRAND SLAM)
1	BOSS LADY BAILEY									(ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 122						12.00						18.40
		(by CONNECT out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
12	FRIENDLYPERSUASION									(mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122						8.00						13.86
		(by ARROGATE out of BRAZEN PERSUASION by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9	JET SETTING									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						8.00						11.28
		(by UNION RAGS out of WORSTCASESCENARIO by FORBIDDEN APPLE)
7	SOUTHLAWN									(casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						5.00		★				14.06
		(by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MO D'AMOUR by UNCLE MO)
6	OUTOFNOTHINGATALL									(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122						30.00						95.11
		(by SUPER SAVER out of SPANDREL by ARCH)
8	NEED SOME MONEY									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						20.00						65.06
		(by STREET SENSE out of CHRISTINA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2	KISS ME ON OCONEE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						20.00						85.54
		(by LORD NELSON out of MIDNIGHT ON OCONEE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
11	JUSTA WARRIOR									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						4.00		40%		1.50		5.74
		(by JUSTIFY out of A Z WARRIOR by BERNARDINI)
3	NAUGHTY GAL									(lukas d )SANTANA JR 122						5.00		★				12.52
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONWAY TWO STEP by SPANISH STEPS)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.