Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL OF THE NORTH         (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00    
2  EDGE OF GLORY Aug05 Jul03 Jun19 May04 Apr09 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  SOUTHERN SENSE Jul31 Jun29 Jun05 Apr20 Feb26 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00    
4  CONSPIRACY FACT Jul01 Jun18 May30 May07   (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
5  BIG WOO Aug15 Jul20       (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  PUDGE BOY PALACE Apr30 Apr07 Mar12     (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
7  ALPHA WHISKEY May28 Apr23 Mar17     (morse l)COURT K 121 4.50 10% 8.60    
8  STAR ENTERTAINER Aug27 Jul31       (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
9  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Aug20 Jul20       (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 6% 15.00    
10  LOCO Jun22 May28 Apr22 Mar18 Jan16 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 18.30    
 
CD-2   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPARATIVE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MIDVALE Aug07         (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50    
2  DAGMAR Jul31         (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00    
3  BOLT FOR ALLISON Jul30         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
4  RIGHT NOW Aug26         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TINY TEMPER         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  ADIVA Aug13         (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 ★    
7  PEACOCK LASS Aug07         (brisset rodolphe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
8  MALAWNIA Aug13 Jul01       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 12.00 ★    
9  KEY TO SUCCESS Aug14         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
10  SWEET SWEETFANTASY         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
11  ALWAYS LAUGHING Aug14         (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
12  EVERYLITTLETHING         (stall m)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPOTISM Jul04 Jun19 May30 May12 Apr13 (scherer mar)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
2  EL AHIJADO Aug19 Jul09 Jun09 May22 Apr21 (guerrero sal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Aug10 Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar20 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
4  COUSIN LARRY Aug15 Jul13 Jun19 May28 Apr15 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00    
5  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Jun30 May29 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
6  STELLAR TAP Aug12 Jul10 Jun22 Jun04 Apr23 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
7  WINTERWOOD Jul15 Mar04 Jan28     (brennan te)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
8  MIACOMET Jan29 Jan08       (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
9  ENDLESS SUNSET Sep07 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 May27 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 5.00 ★    
10  QUICK TO BLAME Jul29 Jun19 May14 Apr02 Feb26 (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  MEGA CHARLIE Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (morse)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LADY IVANKA Aug07 Jul17       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 6% 17.10    
2  LADY COMMANDER Jun19 May28 Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00    
3  AMERICAN BAND         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
4  PLEASE BE KIND Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 Apr23 Mar23 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
5  JAG WARRIOR Aug13 Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 May06 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
6  BEYOND PERFECTION Jul23         (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
7  TYRONA Jul30         (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
8  ISABEL DE CLARE Aug14         (wojczynski just)LEBRON VICTOR 120 30.00    
9  LUV DRAGON Aug13 Apr08       (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
10  SINFILTRE         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  ROLLESTON Aug07 Jul10       (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
12  GUN MOLL Aug14 Jul17       (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00 ★    
13  SUNNY RIVER Aug07 Jun19 May19     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  MO HAPPY         (thompson boyd)STERRITT KENDAL 120 15.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING ME         (catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
2  COMMUNICATION MEMO         (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
3  ARMY STAR         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
4  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Aug06         (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
5  LOGGINS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  KUPP         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 ★    
7  RAISE CAIN         (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
8  TEXAS PRIDE Sep01         (lukas wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
9  DARYL'S BOLT         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
10  EASY ACTION         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
11  SPEED INSTITUTE         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
12  CREATE TROUBLE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEAS OF NORMANDY         (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
SCR  LUGAN KNIGHT         (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  KING D'ORO         (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EGYPTIAN KING         (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILM STAR Aug05 Jul03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  AIR COMBAT Aug14 Jul15       (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  TIZ RYE TIME Aug01 Jul02 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 (van th)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
3  UNBRIDLED HONOR Feb12         (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
4  UBER KIRK Aug20 Jun30 May30 Apr28 Apr10 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  IGNITIS Jul29 Jun25 Jun12 May07 Apr08 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 113 30.00    
6  BRIGADIER GENERAL Aug20 Jul04 May12 Apr14 Mar04 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
7  SUNDAY BREEZE Aug11 Jun25       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
8  POLICY OPTION Sep03 Jul24 Jun26 Jun02 May12 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
9  PRO OXIDANT Aug13         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★    
10  DRIVE FOR FUN Jan13         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
11  OLLIEMEISTER Jul22 Jun25 Apr23     (stall albert)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
12  GULFSTREAM WAY Aug13 Jul10 Jun19 May29 Feb03 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 39% 1.50    
13  AMERICAN ICON Feb04         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  GO EMI Aug23 Aug04 May31 May10   (gonzalez li)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCONSIN Aug13 Jun25 May30     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  JOYFUL CADENCE Aug13 Jul08 May30 Apr30 Mar20 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  CHEETARA (CHI) Aug16 Jul16 Jun04 Apr30 Mar12 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 8% 11.50    
4  BELL'S THE ONE Aug13 Jun25 May07 Apr09   (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 1.20 ★    
SCR  CLUB CAR Aug15 Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (colebrook be)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-8   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD SPIRIT (CHI)         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
2  ENVOUTANTE Aug19 Mar05       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 ★    
3  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL Aug27 Jul24 Jun25 Apr22 Apr02 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 1.80 ★    
4  LI'L TOOTSIE Aug14 Jul03 May30 Apr02 Mar11 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
5  PLAYED HARD Aug04 Jun30 May21     (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  PRINCESS OF CAIRO Aug14 Jun29       (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 20.00 8% 11.30    
 
CD-9   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYES STRIKE Aug20 Jul22       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
2  ZAICI Aug14 Jul02 Jun09     (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00    
3  DAMON'S MOUND Aug13 Jul02       (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  JIN TONG Aug14 Jul08       (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
5  CURLY JACK Aug14 Jul16 Jun02     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 ★    
6  JACE'S ROAD Aug06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  HONED Jul10         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
8  CONFIDENCE GAME Aug13 Jul02       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 ★    
9  ECHO AGAIN Aug20         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
 
CD-10   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANNY WAH Aug02 Jul02 May28 May04 Apr09 (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 10.00 ★    
2  A C EXPRESSWAY Jul03 May30 May07 Apr02 Feb18 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
3  ROBO MAN Jul24 Jul02       (pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
4  NECKER ISLAND Aug16 Jul24 Jul02 Jun04 May07 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  MILES AHEAD Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 Feb19 Jan16 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 ★    
6  ISOLATE Aug10 Jun11 Apr16 Feb03   (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.40 17% 5.00    
7  TOP GUNNER Jul08 Jun04 May04 Apr15 Mar25 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  BAYTOWN BEAR Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun11 May25 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 30.00    
 
CD-11   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS LADY BAILEY Jul23         (ortiz a)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
2  KISS ME ON OCONEE Aug14 Jun17       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
3  NAUGHTY GAL Sep04 Aug07 Jul04 Jun10   (lukas wa)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★    
4  SHOPLIFTER Aug14 Jun29 Jun08     (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 15% 5.80    
5  GRAND LOVE Aug21         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
6  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Aug21 Jul07       (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00    
7  SOUTHLAWN Jul31 Jun03       (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
8  NEED SOME MONEY Aug19 Jul31       (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
9  JET SETTING Aug06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
10  FUN AND FEISTY Aug13 Jul23 Jul04     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
11  JUSTA WARRIOR Aug14 Jul22       (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
12  FRIENDLYPERSUASION Aug10 Jul04       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.