Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL OF THE NORTH         (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00    
2  EDGE OF GLORY Aug05 Jul03 Jun19 May04 Apr09 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  SOUTHERN SENSE Jul31 Jun29 Jun05 Apr20 Feb26 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00    
4  CONSPIRACY FACT Jul01 Jun18 May30 May07   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
5  BIG WOO Aug15 Jul20       (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  PUDGE BOY PALACE Apr30 Apr07 Mar12     (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
7  ALPHA WHISKEY May28 Apr23 Mar17     (morse l)COURT K 121 4.50 10% 8.60    
8  STAR ENTERTAINER Aug27 Jul31       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
9  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Aug20 Jul20       (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 4.50 6% 15.00    
10  LOCO Jun22 May28 Apr22 Mar18 Jan16 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 18.30    
 
CD-2   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPARATIVE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MIDVALE Aug07         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50    
2  DAGMAR Jul31         (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00    
3  BOLT FOR ALLISON Jul30         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
4  RIGHT NOW Aug26         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TINY TEMPER         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  ADIVA Aug13         (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 ★    
7  PEACOCK LASS Aug07         (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
8  MALAWNIA Aug13 Jul01       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 12.00 ★    
9  KEY TO SUCCESS Aug14         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
10  SWEET SWEETFANTASY         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
11  ALWAYS LAUGHING Aug14         (walsh br)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
12  EVERYLITTLETHING         (stall m)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPOTISM Jul04 Jun19 May30 May12 Apr13 (scherer m)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
2  EL AHIJADO Aug19 Jul09 Jun09 May22 Apr21 (guerrero sa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Aug10 Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
4  COUSIN LARRY Aug15 Jul13 Jun19 May28 Apr15 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00    
5  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Jun30 May29 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
6  STELLAR TAP Aug12 Jul10 Jun22 Jun04 Apr23 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
7  WINTERWOOD Jul15 Mar04 Jan28     (brennan )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
8  MIACOMET Jan29 Jan08       (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
9  ENDLESS SUNSET Sep07 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 May27 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 5.00 ★    
10  QUICK TO BLAME Jul29 Jun19 May14 Apr02 Feb26 (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  MEGA CHARLIE Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LADY IVANKA Aug07 Jul17       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 6% 17.10    
2  LADY COMMANDER Jun19 May28 Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00    
3  AMERICAN BAND         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
4  PLEASE BE KIND Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 Apr23 Mar23 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
5  JAG WARRIOR Aug13 Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 May06 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
6  BEYOND PERFECTION Jul23         (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
7  TYRONA Jul30         (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
8  ISABEL DE CLARE Aug14         (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 120 30.00    
9  LUV DRAGON Aug13 Apr08       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
10  SINFILTRE         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  ROLLESTON Aug07 Jul10       (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
12  GUN MOLL Aug14 Jul17       (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00 ★    
13  SUNNY RIVER Aug07 Jun19 May19     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  MO HAPPY         (thompson bo)STERRITT KENDAL 120 15.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING ME         (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
2  COMMUNICATION MEMO         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
3  ARMY STAR         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
4  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Aug06         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
5  LOGGINS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  KUPP         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 ★    
7  RAISE CAIN         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
8  TEXAS PRIDE Sep01         (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
9  DARYL'S BOLT         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
10  EASY ACTION         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
11  SPEED INSTITUTE         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
12  CREATE TROUBLE         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEAS OF NORMANDY         (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
SCR  LUGAN KNIGHT         (mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  KING D'ORO         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EGYPTIAN KING         (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILM STAR Aug05 Jul03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  AIR COMBAT Aug14 Jul15       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  TIZ RYE TIME Aug01 Jul02 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 (van berg )LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
3  UNBRIDLED HONOR Feb12         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
4  UBER KIRK Aug20 Jun30 May30 Apr28 Apr10 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  IGNITIS Jul29 Jun25 Jun12 May07 Apr08 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 113 30.00    
6  BRIGADIER GENERAL Aug20 Jul04 May12 Apr14 Mar04 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
7  SUNDAY BREEZE Aug11 Jun25       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
8  POLICY OPTION Sep03 Jul24 Jun26 Jun02 May12 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
9  PRO OXIDANT Aug13         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★    
10  DRIVE FOR FUN Jan13         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
11  OLLIEMEISTER Jul22 Jun25 Apr23     (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
12  GULFSTREAM WAY Aug13 Jul10 Jun19 May29 Feb03 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 39% 1.50    
13  AMERICAN ICON Feb04         (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  GO EMI Aug23 Aug04 May31 May10   (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCONSIN Aug13 Jun25 May30     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  JOYFUL CADENCE Aug13 Jul08 May30 Apr30 Mar20 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  CHEETARA (CHI) Aug16 Jul16 Jun04 Apr30 Mar12 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 8% 11.50    
4  BELL'S THE ONE Aug13 Jun25 May07 Apr09   (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 1.20 ★    
SCR  CLUB CAR Aug15 Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (colebrook )HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-8   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD SPIRIT (CHI)         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
  (by OMAYAD out of BEDUINA DORADA by HUSSONET)
2  ENVOUTANTE Aug19 Mar05       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENCHANTE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL Aug27 Jul24 Jun25 Apr22 Apr02 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 1.80 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of INDIAN BURN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  LI'L TOOTSIE Aug14 Jul03 May30 Apr02 Mar11 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of INFORMATIVE STYLE by DAYJUR)
5  PLAYED HARD Aug04 Jun30 May21     (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
SCR  PRINCESS OF CAIRO Aug14 Jun29       (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 20.00 8% 11.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LOVELY COOL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CD-9   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYES STRIKE Aug20 Jul22       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
2  ZAICI Aug14 Jul02 Jun09     (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MARKETPLACE by RELAUNCH)
3  DAMON'S MOUND Aug13 Jul02       (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
4  JIN TONG Aug14 Jul08       (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
5  CURLY JACK Aug14 Jul16 Jun02     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CONNIE AND MICHAEL by ROMAN RULER)
6  JACE'S ROAD Aug06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  HONED Jul10         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ALL ABOUT ALLISON by CITY ZIP)
8  CONFIDENCE GAME Aug13 Jul02       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
9  ECHO AGAIN Aug20         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEARDROP by TAPIT)
 
CD-10   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANNY WAH Aug02 Jul02 May28 May04 Apr09 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 121 10.00 ★    
2  A C EXPRESSWAY Jul03 May30 May07 Apr02 Feb18 (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
3  ROBO MAN Jul24 Jul02       (pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
4  NECKER ISLAND Aug16 Jul24 Jul02 Jun04 May07 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  MILES AHEAD Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 Feb19 Jan16 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 ★    
6  ISOLATE Aug10 Jun11 Apr16 Feb03   (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.40 17% 5.00    
7  TOP GUNNER Jul08 Jun04 May04 Apr15 Mar25 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  BAYTOWN BEAR Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun11 May25 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 30.00    
 
CD-11   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS LADY BAILEY Jul23         (ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
2  KISS ME ON OCONEE Aug14 Jun17       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MIDNIGHT ON OCONEE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  NAUGHTY GAL Sep04 Aug07 Jul04 Jun10   (lukas d )SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONWAY TWO STEP by SPANISH STEPS)
4  SHOPLIFTER Aug14 Jun29 Jun08     (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 15% 5.80    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
5  GRAND LOVE Aug21         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GRAND PRAYER by GRAND SLAM)
6  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Aug21 Jul07       (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SPANDREL by ARCH)
7  SOUTHLAWN Jul31 Jun03       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MO D'AMOUR by UNCLE MO)
8  NEED SOME MONEY Aug19 Jul31       (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CHRISTINA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  JET SETTING Aug06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WORSTCASESCENARIO by FORBIDDEN APPLE)
10  FUN AND FEISTY Aug13 Jul23 Jul04     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GROUSE GRIND by FIRST SAMURAI)
11  JUSTA WARRIOR Aug14 Jul22       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of A Z WARRIOR by BERNARDINI)
12  FRIENDLYPERSUASION Aug10 Jul04       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BRAZEN PERSUASION by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.