Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:124     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OWN THE TOWN 4 4 6 6 42 12 1½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 10% 8.60 4.30 W
DISCLOSURE 5 7 79 7 63 32 2½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 2.70 P
CUMBER 6 3 45 3 2nk 22 3 (urieta johanna)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00 22.20  
LEXATOGA 7 6 57 43 5 5 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 10% 9.50 2.20  
COSMIC TREASURE 1 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 4 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 44% 1.30 2.10  
GIO SAMMY 2 5 34 5 7 6 612¾ (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 10.90 34.90  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 3 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 7 718¾ (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 5.00 12.30  
 
TDN-2   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY 5 1 11 1   17 1 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 56% 0.80 0.05 W
KISSINGER 3 5 5 5   310 2 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 15.70 P
WILDCAT BILL 4 3 21 2   27 310¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.50 7.20 S
IMA BELIEVER 1 6 68 6   510½ 415¾ (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 53.80  
TALE OF LACEY 6 2 44 47   612 516½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 15% 5.90 18.60  
THE PINK Z 2 4 3 35   410 617¼ (cline c)PAUCAR E 115 6.00 20.60  
 
TDN-3   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:121     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER CHASER 5 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 1½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 26% 2.90 1.80 W
CHANNEL FURY 2 2 21 21 2½ 2nk 2½ (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.40 P
COMPLY (NZ) 3 3 33 4 45 35 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 3.50 13% 6.40 2.50 S
LAUTREC 4 4 43 3 3 4 411¾ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 7.30  
GIZMO JONES 1 5 57 55 5 59 516½ (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 17.00  
SCR  VISKI JONES               (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
 
TDN-4   10/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MONEY 6 2 1½ 1   15 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 9% 10.60 0.60 W
ROCKY'S EXPRESS 5 6 63 43   25 2 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.00 36% 1.80 3.90 P
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 3 4 31 3   35 3 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 20.60 S
ENOUGH ICE 7 1 2½ 2   4 49 (pease ha)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 17% 4.90 3.90  
TARAASHOQ 1 5 4 5   5 510 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 6.30  
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 4 7 710 710½   611¾ 613¾ (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 48.50  
JUST INSPIRED 2 3 5 6   711¾ 716¼ (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 42.20  
SCR  HIKE'S DREAM               (reed larry )CORREA L 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  PAYNTER FEVER               (parra hernan)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
 
TDN-5   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 5 1 21 2½   1nk 1¾ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 29.90  
MOESTER 2 6 65 42   31 2¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 3.00 13% 6.70 4.20 P
BABA LOOEY 6 3 3 31   2nk 31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 53% 0.90 1.10 S
CATMAN JACK 7 2 43 5   5 4 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 7.40  
CHOCOLATE RABBIT 4 5 11 1½   4 5 (cline c)PAUCAR E 115 6.00 8.70  
SEASONS END 3 7 89 8   6 6 (mavec kathle)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00 31.80  
VICTORY DIVISION 8 4 53 64   8 79 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5.80  
ZAROSHA 1 8 7 75   74 8 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 117 3.50 8% 11.20 6.60  
 
TDN-6   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:392   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR HAWK 3 5 34 34 3 1 1 (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 3.50 26% 2.80 1.90 W
FAT DADDY 6 1 12 1nk 1nk 2 2 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00 33% 2.00 1.30 P
SHELL FIRE 1 3 4 45 43 4 3 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 24.70  
THRU THE VINE 4 4 22 2nk 2nk 3 4 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 3.40  
ZITMAN 5 6 78 6 6 57 5 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 14% 6.30 7.90  
CANDY CRUSHEM 2 7 67 5 5 6 6 (cady khal)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 24.00  
IMTHEPRINCE 7 2 56 7 7 710½ 7 (jones e)DIAZ I 119 10.00 25.20  
 
TDN-7   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNQAD 4 7 5 5 31 31 12 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 2.30  
MO DONT NO 3 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 11 22 (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 2.50 32% 2.10 1.80 P
CHIEF RANDEL 5 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 21 34 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 20% 4.10 7.40 S
BOSS BEAR 2 3 7 7 6 65 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 3.00  
CANDY EXCHANGE 6 1 4 31 4 43 5 (romero oscar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 11.00  
FALCONS FURY 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 12.00 18.10  
LE GENERAL 1 6 3.2 6 7 717 731¾ (cain crystal)RIVERA R 123 5.00 24% 3.20 13.40  
SCR  BARAHIN               (parra hernan)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
 
TDN-8   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:124 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKS HONEY 1 5 7 7 7 2nk 1¾ (brown glenro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 3.80  
RAISON KARTER 8 3 5 5 4 1nk 2¾ (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 119 10.00 3.70  
FAHRENHEIT 6 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 4¼ 3 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 6% 16.80 13.00 S
EXPRIMIR 4 4 1nk 2nk 1nk 3.2 4 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 7% 12.60 9.50  
ANGEL'S ENTRY 5 8 8 8 84 6 5 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 53.70  
RELISH THE RIDE 3 6 4 6 3 5 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 53% 0.90 1.00  
IT'S YOUR CALL 2 7 6 4 5 7 712 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 9.10  
STRIKE A BEAT 7 2 3 31 62 8 814½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.20 22.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.