Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMIC TREASURE Jul12 Jun20 Jun11 May18 May03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  GIO SAMMY Aug29 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 May16 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 10.90    
3  UNCAPTURED PULSE Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 5.00    
4  OWN THE TOWN Sep29 Sep14 Aug10 Jul27 Jul04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  DISCLOSURE Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Mar31 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 ★    
6  CUMBER Sep28 Sep21 Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
7  LEXATOGA Sep29 Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 Jun07 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 10% 9.50    
 
TDN-2   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA BELIEVER Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul28 Jan24 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
2  THE PINK Z Sep21 Aug30 Jul28 Jul12 Jun28 (cline c)PAUCAR E 115 6.00 ★    
3  KISSINGER Sep15 Aug30 May25 Apr25 Mar18 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 ★    
4  WILDCAT BILL Oct03 Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.50 ★    
5  MUTINY Oct03 Sep13 Aug09 Jul05 May30 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  TALE OF LACEY Sep29 May30 Apr26 Apr02 Mar21 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
TDN-3   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO JONES Aug31 May18 May03 Mar26 Mar02 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  VISKI JONES Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 Aug09 Jul26 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
3  CHANNEL FURY Oct04 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun11 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  COMPLY (NZ) Sep27 Sep08 Aug04 Jul18 Jun11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 3.50 13% 6.40    
5  LAUTREC Sep14 Aug17 Jul25 Jul13   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 ★    
6  BEER CHASER Sep27 Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-4   10/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARAASHOQ Aug30 Aug23 Jul01 Jan07   (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
SCR  PAYNTER FEVER Sep27 Sep05 May07     (parra hernan)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
2  JUST INSPIRED Sep27 Sep19 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
3  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Sep21 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 ★    
4  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug18 Jul25 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
5  ROCKY'S EXPRESS         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  T MONEY Sep21 Aug28 Jul31 Jul24 Jun18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 9% 10.60    
SCR  HIKE'S DREAM Aug03 May08 Mar23     (reed larr)CORREA L 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  ENOUGH ICE Sep27 Sep14       (pease )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-5   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAROSHA Sep29 Sep05 Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 117 3.50 8% 11.20    
2  MOESTER Oct03 Sep14 Aug12 Jun23 Jun11 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  SEASONS END Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun25   (mavec kath)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00    
4  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Sep14 Aug24 Aug12 Jul12 Jun23 (cline c)PAUCAR E 115 6.00    
5  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 Jul07 Mar22 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
6  BABA LOOEY Oct03 Sep14 Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  CATMAN JACK Oct03 Sep14 Jun25 May26 May11 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 ★    
8  VICTORY DIVISION Oct03 Sep22 Aug23 Jun02 May12 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL FIRE Oct05 Sep22 Jun20 Jun11 May31 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
2  CANDY CRUSHEM Sep05 Aug24 Jun08 May23 Apr13 (cady kh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 ★    
3  STAR HAWK Sep29 Jun14 May18 Apr11 Mar07 (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  THRU THE VINE Sep21 Aug25 Jul17 Jun11 May30 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
5  ZITMAN Sep28 Aug16 Jul14 Jun14 May31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
6  FAT DADDY Sep27 Aug16 Jul14 Jun20 Jun08 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  IMTHEPRINCE Sep19 Aug31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 (jones e)DIAZ I 119 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNQAD Sep29 Sep15 Jun24 May21 May07 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  BARAHIN Sep11 Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jun11 (parra hernan)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
2  LE GENERAL Sep25 Aug31 Aug06 Aug01   (cain crysta)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  BOSS BEAR Aug31 Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 Feb19 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 8.00    
4  MO DONT NO Sep27 Sep06 Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 (johnson g)CORREA L 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  CHIEF RANDEL Oct04 Sep06 Aug13 Jul10   (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  CANDY EXCHANGE Sep21 Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 ★    
7  FALCONS FURY Sep29 Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 12.00    
 
TDN-8   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Sep29 Sep05 Aug02 Jun22 May31 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
2  IT'S YOUR CALL Sep21 Sep06 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 ★    
3  RELISH THE RIDE Sep22 Sep06 Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  EXPRIMIR Sep21 Aug18 Aug02 Jun20 May31 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 7% 12.60    
5  ANGEL'S ENTRY Sep14 Sep05 Aug29 Aug03 Jun22 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
6  FAHRENHEIT Oct04 Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 6% 16.80    
7  STRIKE A BEAT Sep19 Jun22 May31 May10 Apr16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.20    
8  RAISON KARTER Sep14 Sep05 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.