Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:021     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE EQUINEST 4 1 2nk 11   1nk 11 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 4.40  
ROGERS GINGER 5 2 33 21   2nk 21 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 P
OVER CALENDARED 6 3 44 32   3 3 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.50 38% 1.70 4.80 S
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 5 5 57   47 4 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 10% 9.50 2.10  
RESERVATION 2 6 68 68   58 5 (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 11.30  
GOVERNOR BULL 1 4 1nk 47   623 646½ (pizzurro)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 15.40  
SCR  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM               (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BELLE 5 4 31 21   2nk 1 (londono j)HALDAR J 124 3.50 5.90  
TOY TIGER 6 1 1½ 11   1nk 2 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 13% 6.60 0.90 P
PRINCESS HALIME 4 5 2½ 31   32 3 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 53% 0.90 2.00 S
TUFFIAN 3 6 53 4   45 4 (sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 9.10  
HIGH MEADOWS 2 2 4 56   510 517½ (morelos )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 9.30  
EGG NOG 1 3 66 612   614 622½ (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9% 9.90 29.30  
 
MVR-3   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR LIGHTNING BOY 6 2 2nk 2nk   31 1¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 14% 6.30 2.10 W
DECEITFUL ANTHONY 3 6 5½ 1nk   11 2¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 8.00 9% 10.00 4.30 P
COLOMBARD 1 1 4¼ 5   54 3 (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50 23% 3.40 3.20 S
KEYED ON TOP 5 3 1nk 4   42 4 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 4.00  
OVERBEARING 2 4 3.2 31   21 5 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 30% 2.30 2.90  
CLYDE PARK 4 5 64 6   610 616¼ (londono j)HALDAR J 124 10.00 39.70  
SCR  PROFESSOR DAVE               (lecesse michael)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLE TITAN 5 1 3.2 11   13 1 (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80 W
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 2 3 5 42   35 2 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00 17% 4.90 5.20 P
CONSIDER ME 3 5 1nk 53   23 2 (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5.60 P
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 4 4 4 31   45 4 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 23% 3.40 2.50  
SOUPER PRONTO 1 2 2nk 21   5 515 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 2.60  
SCR  ARGYLL               (dodge albert)STANLEY O 122 4.00    
 
MVR-5   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:012     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLIN LADY 9 1 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 3.10  
CAROL'S ROYALTY 7 7 21 2nk   2nk 2¼ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.60  
BLACK BUTTE 6 2 4 45   4 32 (bird danny)CORREA L 124 4.00 55% 0.80 2.10 S
WHOVILLE 8 4 31 3   3 45 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 8% 11.20 2.80  
JILLY FROM JERSEY 5 3 5 7   5 55 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10.50  
GO STELLAIRE 3 5 8 810¼   8 65 (vickers richard )DIAZ I 124 15.00 30.80  
WOLF EYES 4 6 6 6   7 7 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 32.90  
MAVI 2 8 7 56   6 89 (calderon ivan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 12.60  
PROUD MAID MARIAN 1 9 9 911¼   913¾ 912½ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 7% 13.30 47.80  
 
MVR-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:011     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A SMILE A DAY 2 1 1nk 1½   11 1 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 10% 8.90 2.50 W
WINE ME UP BABY 5 2 2nk 2½   21 2 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 58% 0.70 0.80 P
SOLE FACTOR 1 5 5 56   4 3 (castro a)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11.20  
STAR MABEE 4 4 3 3   34 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 4.70  
HAMPTON DANCER 3 3 4 46   5 513¼ (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 6.60  
SCR  TWERK               (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
 
MVR-7   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:162 1:30   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEBIP 4 5 3 2½ 1½ 12 15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 15% 5.60 1.90 W
KINGDOM DIAMOND 6 1 43 32 3½ 22 25 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00 2.10  
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 1 3 1 1½ 2½ 32 38 (bennett c)FELICIANO R 124 4.00 15% 5.70 3.40 S
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 3 6 6 66 5 511 420½ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 8.00 13% 7.00 5.20  
FOREIGN 2 2 2 42 4 49 521¼ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 10.00 4.50  
1A  STREAKY 5 4 5 53 6 615 630¼ (bennett robert)HALDAR J 124 4.00 3.40  
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:014     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUE THE BAND 5 5 2nk 12   1 15 (sweazey scott)FELICIANO R 126 1.80 0.20  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 6 6 5   3 25 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 19.50  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 3 3 4 35   5 35 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 16.50  
SO GO MY LUCEILLE 4 1 1nk 45   4 410 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 20% 4.00 8.40  
BAY MAGIC 6 4 3.2 22   2 510¼ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 126 4.00 28% 2.60 5.70  
DRUMBEG 2 2 5 611   612¾ 610½ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 16% 5.10 21.60  
SCR  PROPHETESS               (bird dan)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 6% 16.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.