Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:021     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE EQUINEST 4 1 2nk 11   1nk 11 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 ★ 4.40  
5  ROGERS GINGER 5 2 33 21   2nk 21 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 P
6  OVER CALENDARED 6 3 44 32   33½ 34¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.50 38% 1.70 4.80 S
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 5 55½ 57   47 47½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 10% 9.50 2.10  
2  RESERVATION 2 6 68 68   58 59¾ (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 11.30  
1  GOVERNOR BULL 1 4 1nk 47   623 646½ (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 15.40  
SCR  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM               (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIBERTY BELLE 5 4 31 21   2nk 15½ (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 3.50 ★ 5.90  
6  TOY TIGER 6 1 1½ 11   1nk 25½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 13% 6.60 0.90 P
4  PRINCESS HALIME 4 5 2½ 31   32 37¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 53% 0.90 2.00 S
3  TUFFIAN 3 6 53 42½   45 48½ (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 9.10  
2  HIGH MEADOWS 2 2 42½ 56   510 517½ (morelo)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★ 9.30  
1  EGG NOG 1 3 66 612   614 622½ (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9% 9.90 29.30  
 
MVR-3   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR LIGHTNING BOY 6 2 2nk 2nk   31 1¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 14% 6.30 2.10 W
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY 3 6 5½ 1nk   11 2¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 8.00 9% 10.00 4.30 P
1  COLOMBARD 1 1 4¼ 54¾   54 31¼ (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50 23% 3.40 3.20 S
6  KEYED ON TOP 5 3 1nk 41¼   42 41¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 4.00  
2  OVERBEARING 2 4 3.2 31   21 52½ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 30% 2.30 2.90  
4  CLYDE PARK 4 5 64 64¾   610 616¼ (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 10.00 ★ 39.70  
SCR  PROFESSOR DAVE               (lecesse micha)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TEMPLE TITAN 5 1 3.2 11   13 12½ (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80 W
2  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 2 3 51¾ 42   35 22½ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00 17% 4.90 5.20 P
3  CONSIDER ME 3 5 1nk 53   23 22½ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
5  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 4 4 41¾ 31   45 45½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 23% 3.40 2.50  
1  SOUPER PRONTO 1 2 2nk 21   56½ 515 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 2.60  
SCR  ARGYLL               (dodge albert)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:012     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHILLIN LADY 9 1 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 ★ 3.10  
7  CAROL'S ROYALTY 7 7 21 2nk   2nk 2¼ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.60  
6  BLACK BUTTE 6 2 41¼ 45   43¾ 32 (bird dann)CORREA L 124 4.00 55% 0.80 2.10 S
8  WHOVILLE 8 4 31 31½   33½ 45 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 8% 11.20 2.80  
5  JILLY FROM JERSEY 5 3 52¾ 78¼   56¼ 55 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10.50  
3  GO STELLAIRE 3 5 87¼ 810¼   89¾ 65 (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 15.00 30.80  
4  WOLF EYES 4 6 63¼ 66¼   77¾ 76½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 32.90  
2  MAVI 2 8 74¼ 56   67¾ 89 (calderon iva)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 ★ 12.60  
1  PROUD MAID MARIAN 1 9 99¼ 911¼   913¾ 912½ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 7% 13.30 47.80  
 
MVR-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:011     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  A SMILE A DAY 2 1 1nk 1½   11 11¾ (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 10% 8.90 2.50 W
5  WINE ME UP BABY 5 2 2nk 2½   21 21¾ (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 58% 0.70 0.80 P
1  SOLE FACTOR 1 5 57½ 56   44½ 35¼ (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11.20  
4  STAR MABEE 4 4 32½ 31½   34 46¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★ 4.70  
3  HAMPTON DANCER 3 3 44½ 46   55½ 513¼ (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★ 6.60  
SCR  TWERK               (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:162 1:30   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JEBIP 4 5 31½ 2½ 1½ 12 15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 15% 5.60 1.90 W
6  KINGDOM DIAMOND 6 1 43 32 3½ 22 25 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00 2.10  
1  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 1 3 11½ 1½ 2½ 32 38 (bennett robert )FELICIANO R 124 4.00 15% 5.70 3.40 S
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING 3 6 64¾ 66 52¾ 511 420½ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 8.00 13% 7.00 5.20  
3  FOREIGN 2 2 21½ 42 42½ 49 521¼ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 4.50  
1A  STREAKY 5 4 53¼ 53 62¾ 615 630¼ (bennett robe)HALDAR J 124 4.00 3.40  
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:014     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CUE THE BAND 5 5 2nk 12   14½ 15 (sweazey scott)FELICIANO R 126 1.80 ★ 0.20  
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 6 63¾ 56½   34½ 25 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 19.50  
4  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 3 3 42¼ 35   54¾ 35 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 16.50  
5  SO GO MY LUCEILLE 4 1 1nk 45   44¾ 410 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 20% 4.00 8.40  
7  BAY MAGIC 6 4 3.2 22   24½ 510¼ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 4.00 28% 2.60 5.70  
3  DRUMBEG 2 2 53¾ 611   612¾ 610½ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 16% 5.10 21.60  
SCR  PROPHETESS               (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 6% 16.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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