Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE EQUINEST   (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 ★ 4.40  
5  ROGERS GINGER   (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 P
6  OVER CALENDARED   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.50 38% 1.70 4.80 S
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS   (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 10% 9.50 2.10  
2  RESERVATION   (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 11.30  
1  GOVERNOR BULL   (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 15.40  
SCR  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIBERTY BELLE   (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 3.50 ★ 5.90  
6  TOY TIGER   (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 13% 6.60 0.90 P
4  PRINCESS HALIME   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 53% 0.90 2.00 S
3  TUFFIAN   (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 9.10  
2  HIGH MEADOWS   (morelo)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★ 9.30  
1  EGG NOG   (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9% 9.90 29.30  
 
MVR-3   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR LIGHTNING BOY   (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 14% 6.30 2.10 W
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY   (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 8.00 9% 10.00 4.30 P
1  COLOMBARD   (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50 23% 3.40 3.20 S
6  KEYED ON TOP   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 4.00  
2  OVERBEARING   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 30% 2.30 2.90  
4  CLYDE PARK   (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 10.00 ★ 39.70  
SCR  PROFESSOR DAVE   (lecesse micha)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TEMPLE TITAN   (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80 W
2  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT   (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00 17% 4.90 5.20 P
3  CONSIDER ME   (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
5  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY   (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 23% 3.40 2.50  
1  SOUPER PRONTO   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 2.60  
SCR  ARGYLL   (dodge albert)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHILLIN LADY   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 ★ 3.10  
7  CAROL'S ROYALTY   (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.60  
6  BLACK BUTTE   (bird dann)CORREA L 124 4.00 55% 0.80 2.10 S
8  WHOVILLE   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 8% 11.20 2.80  
5  JILLY FROM JERSEY   (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10.50  
3  GO STELLAIRE   (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 15.00 30.80  
4  WOLF EYES   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 32.90  
2  MAVI   (calderon iva)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 ★ 12.60  
1  PROUD MAID MARIAN   (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 7% 13.30 47.80  
 
MVR-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  A SMILE A DAY   (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 10% 8.90 2.50 W
5  WINE ME UP BABY   (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 58% 0.70 0.80 P
1  SOLE FACTOR   (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11.20  
4  STAR MABEE   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★ 4.70  
3  HAMPTON DANCER   (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★ 6.60  
SCR  TWERK   (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JEBIP   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 15% 5.60 1.90 W
6  KINGDOM DIAMOND   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00 2.10  
1  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE   (bennett robert )FELICIANO R 124 4.00 15% 5.70 3.40 S
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING   (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 8.00 13% 7.00 5.20  
3  FOREIGN   (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 4.50  
1A  STREAKY   (bennett robe)HALDAR J 124 4.00 3.40  
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CUE THE BAND   (sweazey scott)FELICIANO R 126 1.80 ★ 0.20  
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY   (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 19.50  
4  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE   (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 16.50  
5  SO GO MY LUCEILLE   (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 20% 4.00 8.40  
7  BAY MAGIC   (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 4.00 28% 2.60 5.70  
3  DRUMBEG   (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 16% 5.10 21.60  
SCR  PROPHETESS   (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 6% 16.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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