Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOVERNOR BULL Sep26 Jun28 May08 Apr25   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00    
SCR  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Nov08 May17 Apr16     (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 ★    
2  RESERVATION Nov02 Oct27 Oct12 Sep27 May13 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00    
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Nov02 Oct10 Aug17     (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 10% 9.50    
4  THE EQUINEST Sep11 Aug22 Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 ★    
5  ROGERS GINGER Nov08 Oct18 Oct10 Aug22 Aug01 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  OVER CALENDARED Sep09 Aug25 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
 
MVR-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGG NOG Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug09 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
2  HIGH MEADOWS Nov01 Oct06 Sep16 Sep08 Aug31 (morelo)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★    
3  TUFFIAN Nov02 Oct03 Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
4  PRINCESS HALIME Nov02 Oct24 Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  LIBERTY BELLE Nov02 Oct13 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 3.50 ★    
6  TOY TIGER Oct26 Oct13 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-3   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOMBARD Jul21 Jun30 Jun21 Jun06 May18 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  OVERBEARING Oct04 Sep06 Aug22 Jul19 Jun28 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug15 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
4  CLYDE PARK Nov12 Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug29 (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  PROFESSOR DAVE Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10   (lecesse micha)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
6  KEYED ON TOP Nov02 Oct22 Sep12 Jul21 Jun25 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00    
7  MR LIGHTNING BOY Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 Aug18 Aug04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
MVR-4   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER PRONTO Oct24 Oct10 Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
2  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
3  CONSIDER ME Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  ARGYLL Oct10 Sep05 Aug17 Mar06 Jan02 (dodge albert)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★    
5  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Oct27 Jun16 May16 Apr16 Mar05 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  TEMPLE TITAN Oct03 Sep15 Aug31 Aug15 May21 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-5   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROUD MAID MARIAN Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 7% 13.30    
2  MAVI Nov01 Oct23 Sep25 Aug31 Aug01 (calderon iva)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 ★    
3  GO STELLAIRE Jun13 May30 May07 Apr09 Feb18 (vickers rich)MAYTA J 124 15.00    
4  WOLF EYES Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Apr26 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
5  JILLY FROM JERSEY Nov01 Sep01 Aug15 Jul25 Jun11 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
6  BLACK BUTTE Nov01 Oct23 Oct12 Sep26 Sep14 (bird dann)CORREA L 124 4.00 55% 0.80    
7  CAROL'S ROYALTY Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Sep01 Aug09 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
8  WHOVILLE Nov01 Oct22 Oct03 Sep22 Sep07 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 8% 11.20    
9  CHILLIN LADY Nov01 Oct25 Oct05 Sep19 Aug30 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLE FACTOR Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 Aug01 Jul20 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
2  A SMILE A DAY Oct26 Sep21 Sep01 Aug09 Jun08 (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 10% 8.90    
3  HAMPTON DANCER Aug17 Jun21 Jun03 May18 Apr27 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★    
4  STAR MABEE Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★    
5  WINE ME UP BABY Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 Jul25 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  TWERK Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Nov01 Oct07 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 (bennett robert )FELICIANO R 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
1A  STREAKY Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 May26 (bennett robe)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD Oct29 Sep29 Aug25 Jul26 Jun28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  FOREIGN Nov10 Sep02 Aug17 Jul14 Jun02 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Oct06 Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
5  JEBIP Nov01 Oct13 Sep29 Sep05   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  KINGDOM DIAMOND Nov01 Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Jul21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROPHETESS Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 Aug29 Jul26 (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 6% 16.80    
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY Oct11 Sep07 Aug04 Jun30 Jun01 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
3  DRUMBEG Nov03 Oct07 Sep02 Aug04 Mar31 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
4  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Oct07 Sep02 Aug17 Aug04 Jul15 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
5  SO GO MY LUCEILLE Oct29 Sep22 Jul20 Jul05   (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  CUE THE BAND Oct29 Sep26 Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 (sweazey scott)FELICIANO R 126 1.80 ★    
7  BAY MAGIC Nov01 Sep26 Aug23 Aug04 Jul12 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.