The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Fort Erie
Monday - October 10, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
FE-1   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:223 :462 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CRUMLIN BIRD 2 2 32½ 31½   1½ 12¼ (agostino george)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.00 51% 1.00 4.45 W
1  BETTABE SWIFT 1 5 55 55   41½ 22¼ (robillard julie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 11% 7.90 2.20 P
4  PENNIESFROMABOVE 4 3 43½ 42½   2½ 32¾ (steer tom)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 11% 8.00 1.90 S
3  CHANCEWORTHTAKING 3 4 11½ 11½   3½ 45¼ (raghunath eric)SALLES LEO 118 5.00 ★ 3.45  
5  CHALDEA 5 1 21½ 21½   51¾ 56 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 ★ 5.70  
 
FE-2   10/10/2022 1320ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
:22         :22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DETERMINED LOVE 4 1       11 12¾ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 123 1.00 69% 0.40 0.60 W
1  RED MAPLE 1 4       21 22¾ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 ★ 8.90 P
5  PERFECT GENTLEMAN 5 2       53 33 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 ★ 8.90 S
3  ALACRITOUS 3 5       43 43¾ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 126 8.00 6% 16.70 1.75  
2  COSMIC SHOT 2 3       32 53¾ (wieczorek kendra)MAILHOT P 117 10.00 ★ 36.60  
 
FE-3   10/10/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
:234 :474 1:134 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNUENDO 1 3 43 32½ 42 3.2 1½ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 3.00 23% 3.30 1.65 W
3  LETS SAY THIS 3 4 11 11½ 11 2nk 2½ (buttigieg kevin)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.30 P
2  TIMMINS 2 2 21 21½ 21 1nk 3¾ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 1.40 27% 2.80 1.65 S
5  HIGH RESERVE 5 1 32 43 31½ 41¾ 46¼ (williams a)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.50 ★ 17.00  
4  MISTER MAX 4 5 53½ 56½ 512 57¾ 516¾ (mcmahon g)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 ★ 9.60  
 
FE-4   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
:223 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 5 4 3½ 11½   1½ 1nk (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 11% 7.80 17.80 W
4  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA 4 1 1½ 21½   2½ 2nk (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 P
1  KOZY KAT 1 2 42½ 44   42 32¾ (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 3.15  
7  NEW YORK MINT 7 5 74¾ 78   62¾ 43¾ (bennett d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 36.20  
6  MOKSGMOL 6 3 2½ 32½   32 55¼ (sullivan elliott)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 32% 2.20 2.55  
2  MS. P'S BELLA 2 6 64½ 68   52½ 65¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 ★ 6.25  
3  PIERIAN 3 7 53½ 55   74¼ 710 (newland george)DACOSTA W 122 10.00 7% 13.10 5.75  
 
FE-5   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
:23 :463 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MIA'S MAJESTY 5 3 1½ 11½   1½ 11½ (mcdonald k)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50 ★ 2.90  
1  WAR DOCTOR 1 4 43½ 42   3½ 21½ (cohen michael)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 7% 12.50 3.05 P
4  NO MORE 3 2 31½ 21½   2½ 33¼ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 11% 8.20 1.75 S
2  RED BARI 2 1 2½ 32   42½ 46½ (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 5.70  
5  SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS 4 5 58 57½   55 56½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 4.15  
SCR  AND ME TOO               (ceccato sharon)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  PAPA KATZ               (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 8% 11.70    
 
FE-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:222 :46 :581     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 1 5 2½ 21   2nk 11¾ (robillard josh)ALDERSON IAN 118 3.50 ★ 4.05  
3  J M R GEMMA 3 3 1½ 11   1nk 21¾ (newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00 14% 6.10 2.15 P
4  RIDE THE WIND 4 4 32 32   41½ 32¼ (biamonte j)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 44% 1.30 2.85 S
2  SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA 2 2 42 52½   31 44 (lafond e)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50 10% 8.90 3.60  
5  FUN COOL 5 1 53½ 42   51¾ 57 (voyce jeff)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 5.00 ★ 3.55  
 
FE-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
:223 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUNGLE GODDESS 3 1 13 13½   12 14¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 10% 9.30 3.10 W
5  HONEY GIRL 5 4 33½ 23½   22 24¾ (widenmaier mel)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 ★ 3.65 P
1  MS SUEDOO 1 6 611 67½   54 36 (robillard josh)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.50 ★ 13.55 S
2  J M R BOLD VISION 2 2 23 34   33½ 49¾ (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 7.05  
4  POOLSIDE MANNERS 4 5 44 44   44 59¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 17% 5.00 2.50  
6  READY TO RUMBLE 6 3 55 55½   65½ 610 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.65  
 
FE-8   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:234 :482 1:141 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME STREET 1 7 910 910¼ 89½ 11 17¼ (giliforte s)ALDERSON NIKKI 113 2.00 12% 7.20 0.45 W
3  NADIABIZNIZ 3 1 78 78¼ 78½ 53 27¼ (thompson o)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00 ★ 6.80 P
7  DONNARUMMA 7 8 41½ 41¼ 23½ 31½ 37¼ (buttigieg kevin)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 13.65  
2  SEAQUELLE 2 2 31½ 2nk 13½ 21 412½ (neubauer michaela)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 9% 9.60 6.55  
6  SMART IRENE 6 6 54 52¾ 34½ 42½ 513½ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 33.95  
8  DREAMINGOF JEANNIE 8 9 66½ 66¾ 57½ 74½ 615 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 6% 15.20 22.30  
4  RIGHT MATTERS 4 3 2½ 3.2 67½ 64½ 716¼ (robillard julie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 48.55  
9  WICKEN CENTS 9 4 89½ 810¼ 914 85½ 821 (bennett d)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00 97.15  
5  BRIENNE OF TARTH 5 5 1½ 1nk 47 97½ 933¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 50% 1.00 8.40  
 
FE-9   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
:223 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BAHAMIAN DUDE 3 2 11 11   13 12½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 15% 5.80 2.05 W
3  M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 41½ 41½   23 22½ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 7.45  
7  QUIET WYATT 6 4 53 53½   45½ 35¼ (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 45% 1.20 1.30 S
5  SOUPER PRONTO 4 5 31½ 21   34½ 46 (desouza bancroft)JADOO STEVE 118 12.00 9.85  
1  WILD RIVER WOLF 1 3 75 64½   65¾ 56¾ (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 10% 9.10 19.40  
8  COMMANDER TOM 7 7 64½ 75   77¼ 69¾ (raghunath b)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 ★ 5.95  
6  J AND B IN CRUMLIN 5 6 21 31   55½ 718¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 7% 13.60 23.35  
SCR  MOBILIZER               (keen howard)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.