Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUMLIN BIRD 2 2 3 3   1½ 1 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.00 51% 1.00 4.45 W
BETTABE SWIFT 1 5 55 55   4 2 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 11% 7.90 2.20 P
PENNIESFROMABOVE 4 3 4 4   2½ 3 (steer )ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 11% 8.00 1.90 S
CHANCEWORTHTAKING 3 4 1 1   3½ 4 (raghunath eric)SALLES LEO 118 5.00 3.45  
CHALDEA 5 1 2 2   5 56 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 5.70  
 
FE-2   10/10/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:22         :22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED LOVE 4 1       11 1 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 123 1.00 69% 0.40 0.60 W
RED MAPLE 1 4       21 2 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 8.90 P
PERFECT GENTLEMAN 5 2       53 33 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 8.90 S
ALACRITOUS 3 5       43 4 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 126 8.00 6% 16.70 1.75  
COSMIC SHOT 2 3       32 5 (wieczorek kendra)MAILHOT P 117 10.00 36.60  
 
FE-3   10/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:134 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNUENDO (IRE) 1 3 43 3 42 3.2 1½ (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 3.00 23% 3.30 1.65 W
LETS SAY THIS 3 4 11 1 11 2nk 2½ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.30 P
TIMMINS 2 2 21 2 21 1nk 3¾ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 1.40 27% 2.80 1.65 S
HIGH RESERVE 5 1 32 43 3 4 4 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.50 17.00  
MISTER MAX 4 5 5 5 512 5 516¾ (mcmahon william)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 9.60  
 
FE-4   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:223 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 5 4 3½ 1   1½ 1nk (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 11% 7.80 17.80 W
ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA 4 1 1½ 2   2½ 2nk (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 P
KOZY KAT 1 2 4 44   42 3 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 3.15  
NEW YORK MINT 7 5 7 78   6 4 (bennet)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 36.20  
MOKSGMOL 6 3 2½ 3   32 5 (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 32% 2.20 2.55  
MS. P'S BELLA 2 6 6 68   5 6 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 6.25  
PIERIAN 3 7 5 55   7 710 (newland george)DACOSTA W 122 10.00 7% 13.10 5.75  
 
FE-5   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA'S MAJESTY 5 3 1½ 1   1½ 1 (mcdonald micha)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50 2.90  
WAR DOCTOR 1 4 4 42   3½ 2 (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 7% 12.50 3.05 P
NO MORE 3 2 3 2   2½ 3 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 11% 8.20 1.75 S
RED BARI 2 1 2½ 32   4 4 (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 5.70  
SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS 4 5 58 5   55 5 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 4.15  
SCR  AND ME TOO               (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  PAPA KATZ               (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 8% 11.70    
 
FE-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 1 5 2½ 21   2nk 1 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 118 3.50 4.05  
J M R GEMMA 3 3 1½ 11   1nk 2 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00 14% 6.10 2.15 P
RIDE THE WIND 4 4 32 32   4 3 (biamonte j)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 44% 1.30 2.85 S
SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA 2 2 42 5   31 44 (lafond renic)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50 10% 8.90 3.60  
FUN COOL 5 1 5 42   5 57 (vo)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 5.00 3.55  
 
FE-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE GODDESS 3 1 13 1   12 1 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 10% 9.30 3.10 W
HONEY GIRL 5 4 3 2   22 2 (widenmaier me)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 3.65 P
MS SUEDOO 1 6 611 6   54 36 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.50 13.55 S
J M R BOLD VISION 2 2 23 34   3 4 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 7.05  
POOLSIDE MANNERS 4 5 44 44   44 5 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 17% 5.00 2.50  
READY TO RUMBLE 6 3 55 5   6 610 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.65  
 
FE-8   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:141 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME STREET 1 7 910 910¼ 8 11 1 (giliforte la)ALDERSON NIKKI 113 2.00 12% 7.20 0.45 W
NADIABIZNIZ 3 1 78 7 7 53 2 (thomps)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00 6.80 P
DONNARUMMA 7 8 4 4 2 3 3 (buttigieg kev)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 13.65  
SEAQUELLE 2 2 3 2nk 1 21 412½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 9% 9.60 6.55  
SMART IRENE 6 6 54 5 3 4 513½ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 33.95  
DREAMINGOF JEANNIE 8 9 6 6 5 7 615 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 6% 15.20 22.30  
RIGHT MATTERS 4 3 2½ 3.2 6 6 716¼ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 48.55  
WICKEN CENTS 9 4 8 810¼ 914 8 821 (bennet)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00 97.15  
BRIENNE OF TARTH 5 5 1½ 1nk 47 9 933¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 50% 1.00 8.40  
 
FE-9   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:223 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAHAMIAN DUDE 3 2 11 11   13 1 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 15% 5.80 2.05 W
M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 4 4   23 2 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 7.45  
QUIET WYATT 6 4 53 5   4 3 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 45% 1.20 1.30 S
SOUPER PRONTO 4 5 3 21   3 46 (desouza bancrof)JADOO STEVE 118 12.00 9.85  
WILD RIVER WOLF 1 3 75 6   6 5 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 10% 9.10 19.40  
COMMANDER TOM 7 7 6 75   7 6 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5.95  
J AND B IN CRUMLIN 5 6 21 31   5 718¼ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 7% 13.60 23.35  
SCR  MOBILIZER               (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.