Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTABE SWIFT Sep29 Jul16 Jun23 May22   (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 11% 7.90    
CRUMLIN BIRD Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jun27 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
CHANCEWORTHTAKING Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug04 Jul15 (raghunath eric)SALLES LEO 118 5.00    
PENNIESFROMABOVE Sep27 Sep13 Aug08 Jul05   (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
CHALDEA Oct03 Jul17 Jun27     (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00    
 
FE-2   10/10/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MAPLE Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Jul26 Jul17 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00    
COSMIC SHOT Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Jun13 Apr24 (wieczorek kendra)MAILHOT P 117 10.00    
ALACRITOUS Sep13 Jul31 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 126 8.00 6% 16.70    
DETERMINED LOVE Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 May31 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 123 1.00 69% 0.40    
PERFECT GENTLEMAN Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 Jun19 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00    
 
FE-3   10/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNUENDO (IRE) Sep27 Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
TIMMINS Sep13 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun19 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 1.40 27% 2.80    
LETS SAY THIS Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul26   (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
MISTER MAX Sep27         (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00    
HIGH RESERVE Sep13 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 (williams)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.50    
 
FE-4   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOZY KAT Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
MS. P'S BELLA Sep27 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
PIERIAN         (newland george)DACOSTA W 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Oct04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Oct04 Sep12       (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
MOKSGMOL Sep12 Jul17 Apr16     (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
NEW YORK MINT Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul05 (bennett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
 
FE-5   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR DOCTOR Oct04 Aug14 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (cohe)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 7% 12.50    
RED BARI Oct04         (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
SCR  PAPA KATZ         (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 8% 11.70    
NO MORE Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Jul11 Jun14 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 11% 8.20    
SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS Oct04 Sep05       (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00    
MIA'S MAJESTY Oct01 Sep16 Sep05     (mcdonald michael)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50    
SCR  AND ME TOO Jun17         (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
FE-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Sep27 Sep20 Aug09 Jul21 Jun23 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 118 3.50    
SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA Oct04 Sep19 Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50 10% 8.90    
J M R GEMMA Sep27 Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00 14% 6.10    
RIDE THE WIND Sep16 Aug27 Jul21 Jul09 May28 (biamonte j)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
FUN COOL Aug22 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun30 (voyc)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 5.00    
 
FE-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS SUEDOO Sep06 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14   (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.50    
J M R BOLD VISION Sep27 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
JUNGLE GODDESS Sep27 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 10% 9.30    
POOLSIDE MANNERS Sep19 Sep06 Aug06 Jun02 Apr30 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
HONEY GIRL Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jun27 (widenmaier mel)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
READY TO RUMBLE Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jun19 May31 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
FE-8   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME STREET Sep17 Jul21 Jun26 May21 Mar27 (giliforte layn)ALDERSON NIKKI 113 2.00 12% 7.20    
SEAQUELLE Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
NADIABIZNIZ Sep29 Sep13 Aug18 Jul09 Jun18 (thompson)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00    
RIGHT MATTERS Aug23 Jul19 Jun11     (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
BRIENNE OF TARTH Sep29 Sep05 Aug18 Jul16 Jun26 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
SMART IRENE Sep20 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul09 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00    
DONNARUMMA Sep05 Aug06 Jun05     (buttigieg kevin)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00    
DREAMINGOF JEANNIE Sep20 Sep12 Aug23 Aug08   (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 6% 15.20    
WICKEN CENTS Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jun27 Jun14 (bennett )ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00    
 
FE-9   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD RIVER WOLF Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  MOBILIZER Sep13 Aug01 Jul12 Jun11 May14 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00    
M C JACKHAMMER Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00    
BAHAMIAN DUDE Aug16 Jul25 Jun21 May20 Apr06 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
SOUPER PRONTO Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 Jul07 Jun02 (desouza bancroft)JADOO STEVE 118 12.00    
J AND B IN CRUMLIN Sep12 Aug23 Jul26 Jul15 May26 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 7% 13.60    
QUIET WYATT Sep13 Aug30 Jul19 Jul10 Jun19 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
COMMANDER TOM Aug16 Aug05 Jul22 Jun14 May20 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.