Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:131 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINCESS LAVENDER 2 1 11½ 11½ 16 16 114 (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 118 2.50 14% 6.00 1.40 W
6  DREAMINGOF JEANNIE 5 5 56 56½ 26 26 214 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 ★ 6.40 P
4  MIZZ GEMMA 4 4 45 45 47 38½ 321¾ (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 51% 1.00 1.10 S
3  LIGHTS AND SIRENS 3 3 21½ 21½ 36½ 412 432¼ (wieczorek )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 ★ 5.95  
1  BELLE FEMME 1 2 34½ 34½ 510½ 512 534¼ (williams)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 10.00 21.35  
SCR  DONNARUMMA               (buttigieg kevin)PINTO MELANIE 118 1.60 12% 7.10    
 
FE-2   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:224 :462       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 6 5 21 2nk   11½ 11¼ (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 116 3.50 ★ 4.70  
2  PAPA'S SILVER 2 1 41¼ 31   21½ 21¼ (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.90 P
1  COSMIC SHOT 1 2 11 1nk   32 37½ (wieczorek )BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 9.30  
5  VERMONT HOLIDAY 5 4 31 42   43½ 47½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 22% 3.50 2.35  
3  WICKEN CENTS 3 3 66¾ 68½   66 512 (bennett )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 ★ 22.15  
4  CLOUD RUNNER 4 6 53¾ 53½   55 612¼ (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00 22% 3.60 2.95  
 
FE-3   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 2 ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:23 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOVE MY CHERYL 6 5 1½ 13   13½ 16½ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 113 3.50 ★ 4.75  
4  SUPER FOLLOW 4 2 53 55   53¾ 26½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 113 2.50 23% 3.40 2.65 P
3  TRAJEC HOLIDAY 3 1 42 45   43¾ 37¼ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 113 8.00 18.40  
2  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO 2 4 31 34   33½ 47½ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 1.80 52% 0.90 0.65  
1  CATRIN 1 3 2½ 23   23½ 57½ (humber j)ALDERSON IAN 116 12.00 ★ 20.95  
5  OLA BRO 5 6 64½ 68   65¼ 68¼ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 116 4.00 ★ 12.40  
 
FE-4   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CLASSY MISTRESS 5 6 66½ 65¾   63¼ 11½ (meli salvato)KING MARIE 120 6.00 11.65  
2  PINO IN A PURSE 2 3 52 51¾   51¼ 21½ (griffith)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 ★ 9.80 P
4  SHANGHAI KIMMY 4 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 31½ (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 ★ 5.60 S
1  HOLD THE APPLAUSE 1 4 31 4¾   41 42¼ (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 17% 4.80 1.05  
6  COWGIRL KIMMIE 6 1 2½ 2nk   3½ 52¾ (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 31% 2.20 8.15  
3  DREAMINOFPASSION 3 5 42 3.2   2nk 63¼ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50 13% 6.40 2.35  
 
FE-5   09/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :464       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSTEMIOUS 1 2 11½ 12½   12½ 13 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 12.65  
8  PEPPERONI 6 4 53½ 33½   22½ 23 (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 17% 5.00 3.20 P
3  MAVERICK MAN 3 6 42½ 22½   33½ 34¾ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 ★ 1.50 S
5  CORA 4 5 65½ 65¼   46½ 49 (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 117 15.00 15.30  
2  READY AT DAWN 2 3 21½ 43½   57 59¾ (ezra)BOULANGER CHANCE 117 8.00 4.40  
6  STRIBLING 5 1 32½ 55   613 620¼ (newland george)SINGH S 120 2.50 32% 2.10 2.90  
SCR  WHISKEY VICTOR               (polsinelli domini)DEFREITAS C 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  WILD RIVER WOLF               (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
FE-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOT A GAME 3 1 31½ 31   1½ 1½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 3.00 ★ 6.60  
6  DOCTOR WU 6 4 55 44   41½ 2½ (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.75 P
5  SPIRAL STORM 5 2 66 67¼   53½ 34 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 115 10.00 22.45  
2  VOYANT 2 5 2½ 2nk   31½ 45¼ (alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 120 8.00 22% 3.60 2.65  
1  JAMAICAN JIMMY 1 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 56½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 118 1.80 24% 3.20 1.40  
4  UNSPEAKABLE 4 6 42 54¼   67½ 615¾ (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 ★ 11.00  
 
FE-7   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPERBACK HERO 1 6 54¾ 52   31 1¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 ★ 0.80  
5  THY KINGDOM 5 3 41¾ 2½   1nk 2¼ (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 P
6  MAMMOTH SPRING 6 2 1nk 1½   2nk 31¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 40% 1.50 13.05 S
3  C BY THE SEA 3 5 65¼ 63   53½ 42 (agostino geor)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00 ★ 24.00  
4  JOCULARITY 4 1 3.2 31   42 55¼ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 ★ 2.20  
2  RADCLIFFE 2 4 2nk 42   65½ 614 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 17.20  
 
FE-8   09/20/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:151     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 4 2 56 45½   41¼ 1½ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 4.50 7% 13.70 6.05 W
3  AWESOME WINNA 3 3 77½ 55¾   31 2½ (cathcart steven)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 10.20  
8  SMART IRENE 8 8 911 910¾   51¾ 3¾ (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00 17.70  
1  OUR STORMY SOPHIA 1 1 11 1nk   11 42¾ (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 3.50 9% 9.80 4.05  
2  RING THEM BELLS 2 9 810 810¼   83¾ 54 (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 9% 10.50 3.25  
5  SILENT BUT VIOLENT 5 5 21 2nk   21 64 (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 51% 1.00 2.55  
6  MY LAST DREAM 6 10 32½ 34½   73¼ 79¾ (maynard )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00 15.90  
10  CRUMLIN JET 10 6 46 66¾   63¼ 810 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 8.35  
9  ONLY BELIEVE 9 7 67 79¾   97¾ 918½ (corb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00 33.35  
7  LAPIDARY 7 4 1021 1025¾   1022¾ 1037½ (ayres l)RAMSAMMY E 120 20.00 78.75  
SCR  HIPPIE CHICK               (tomlinso)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00    
SCR  OOPSY               (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE               (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.