Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE FEMME Aug29 Jul19 Jul05 Jun02   (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 10.00    
2  PRINCESS LAVENDER Aug22 Aug11 Jul19 Jun27 May31 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
3  LIGHTS AND SIRENS Aug16         (wieczore)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 ★    
4  MIZZ GEMMA Aug23 Aug08 Jul19 Jun17 May26 (albu ken)WENC C 118 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  DONNARUMMA Sep05 Aug06 Jun05     (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 118 1.60 12% 7.10    
6  DREAMINGOF JEANNIE Sep12 Aug23 Aug08     (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 ★    
 
FE-2   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMIC SHOT Aug29 Jun13 Apr24     (wieczore)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00    
2  PAPA'S SILVER Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Jul17 Jun27 (maynard desmo)JOHNSON DEVON 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  WICKEN CENTS Sep05 Aug09 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (bennet)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 ★    
4  CLOUD RUNNER Jun16 May31 May15     (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00 22% 3.60    
5  VERMONT HOLIDAY Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
6  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Aug09 Jul21 Jun23 May26 May12 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 116 3.50 ★    
 
FE-3   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 2 ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATRIN Sep06 Aug21       (humber)ALDERSON IAN 116 12.00 ★    
2  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Sep06         (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 1.80 52% 0.90    
3  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Sep06         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 113 8.00    
4  SUPER FOLLOW Sep06         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 113 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  OLA BRO         (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 116 4.00 ★    
6  LOVE MY CHERYL Aug27         (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 113 3.50 ★    
 
FE-4   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD THE APPLAUSE Sep05 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 May31 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  PINO IN A PURSE Sep09 Aug16 Jul28 Jun28 Jun16 (griffi)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 ★    
3  DREAMINOFPASSION Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50 13% 6.40    
4  SHANGHAI KIMMY Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jun14 May07 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 ★    
5  CLASSY MISTRESS Sep05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 (meli salva)KING MARIE 120 6.00    
6  COWGIRL KIMMIE Jul21 Jun24 Feb19 Jan31   (sullivan elliot)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
FE-5   09/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSTEMIOUS Sep12 Aug30       (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
2  READY AT DAWN Sep12 Aug30 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (ezra daryl)JONES SLADE 117 8.00    
3  MAVERICK MAN Jul05         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  WHISKEY VICTOR Sep12 Aug25 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (polsinelli domi)DEFREITAS C 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  CORA Aug29 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May26 (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 117 15.00    
6  STRIBLING Aug30 Aug14 Jun24 Jun04 Feb03 (newland george)SINGH S 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  WILD RIVER WOLF Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
8  PEPPERONI Jul29 Jul07       (sullivan elliot)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
FE-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMAICAN JIMMY Aug30 Jul25 Jun28 Jun14   (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 118 1.80 24% 3.20    
2  VOYANT Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (alderson anthony)RAMSAMMY E 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  NOT A GAME Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 Jun30 Jun17 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 3.00 ★    
4  UNSPEAKABLE Sep01 Aug04 Jul15 Jun19 Jun03 (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 ★    
5  SPIRAL STORM Aug30 Jul10 Jun11 May19 May07 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 115 10.00    
6  DOCTOR WU Aug30 Aug08 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
FE-7   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPERBACK HERO Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jun21 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 ★    
2  RADCLIFFE Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 May31   (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
3  C BY THE SEA Sep05 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00 ★    
4  JOCULARITY Aug29 Jul25 Jul05 Mar16 Feb15 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 ★    
5  THY KINGDOM Sep12 Aug30 Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  MAMMOTH SPRING Sep12 Aug29 Aug02 Jul15 Jun24 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
FE-8   09/20/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR STORMY SOPHIA Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 (shirley lu)KING MARIE 118 3.50 9% 9.80    
2  RING THEM BELLS May13         (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
3  AWESOME WINNA Sep05 Apr29 Apr08 Mar27 Mar16 (cathcart steve)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
4  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jun12 May15 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 4.50 7% 13.70    
5  SILENT BUT VIOLENT Aug09 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  MY LAST DREAM Sep05 Aug22 Aug16 Jul26 Jul09 (maynar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00    
7  LAPIDARY Aug22 Aug08 Jul05     (ayres l)RAMSAMMY E 120 20.00    
8  SMART IRENE Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul09   (albu ken)WENC C 118 15.00    
9  ONLY BELIEVE Aug22 Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 May31 (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00    
10  CRUMLIN JET Aug22 Aug09 Jul17     (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jun19 May12 (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00    
SCR  HIPPIE CHICK Sep06 Aug14 Jul19 Jul09 Jun14 (tomlin)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00    
SCR  OOPSY Sep06         (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.