Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 1 1 42 4 3 21 1hd (patykewi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 5.00 4.20  
FOUR KNIGHTS 5 4 3½ 3 2nk 11 2hd (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 2.90 P
A I INITIATIVE 2 3 5 5 4 31 3 (ceccato sharon)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 7% 13.00 10.80 S
ANTE UP ALEX 4 5 2nk 11 1nk 4 4 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 3.05  
BREATHLESSNTHESAND 3 2 1nk 21 5 5 516½ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 62% 0.60 1.30  
 
FE-2   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATIO PARTY 5 2 4 34   2 1 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 22% 3.60 0.80 W
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 1 5 1nk 11   1 2 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00 P
KING OF AWESOME 3 3 5 5   43 3 (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 4.00 8.90 S
RADCLIFFE 4 1 2nk 21   3 47 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00 11.45  
AWESOME YET AGAIN 2 4 3.2 44   5 510¾ (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 24% 3.20 5.80  
 
FE-3   09/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:16 1:42   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCELLI (IRE) 6 6 6 53 3 1nk 1 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 8.00 17% 4.80 3.10 W
SALT MINE TEDDY 2 4 53 6 6 6 2 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 9.75  
RAYO COLORADO 5 1 1 11 1nk 3.2 3 (agostino george)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.15 S
FRAT PARTY 4 3 32 31 2nk 2nk 4 (cohen )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 6.80  
MARVEL 1 5 43 42 5 4 5 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 117 2.00 26% 2.80 6.60  
CINNAMONJAWBREAKER 3 2 2 21 4 5 6 (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 1.40  
 
FE-4   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C BY THE SEA 6 1 1nk 1½   11 11 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 17.05  
NO MORE 1 6 5 32   21 21 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 13.85 P
NO EASY ROAD 8 2 4 53   53 3 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 3.25 S
OMEGNA 5 7 6 6   42 4 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 11.75  
CORE 2 5 710¼ 7   64 5 (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 120 4.00 68% 0.50 1.10  
MISS D'S PRIDE 7 3 3.2 2½   3 6 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 16.25  
SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS 4 8 812¼ 810¼   8 7 (fournier mark)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 3.85  
SECTION TEN 3 4 2nk 42   75 817¾ (maynard )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 15.00 25.50  
 
FE-5   09/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:131 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG ENDING 3 1 11 1 11 11 1¾ (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 5% 18.80 2.05 W
11  TYCOON (GB) 9 3 42 4 31 21 2¾ (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 1.65 P
TAKE CHARGE GENT 7 10 11 1113 8 32 31 (rabs)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 15.00 15.60  
DOT'S VISION 5 5 6 66 4 42 4 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 13% 6.50 5.50  
10  SUIGU STAR 8 7 10 99 7 6 57 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00 71.85  
DEEP EXPLORER 6 6 5 55 5 7 6 (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 41% 1.40 8.20  
ROBUSTO 1 2 31 3 21 5 78 (oliverre sylvester)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00 54.95  
12  ENGLISH CLASSIC 10 9 7 7 9 8 816¾ (carter d)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 33.45  
UNDEFILED 4 4 21 2 6 9 917¼ (tharrenos wil)WENC C 120 20.00 44.50  
14  AM PREPARED 11 11 9 88 10 10 1022¼ (cathcart steven)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 15.55  
SUN FORESTER 2 8 8 1012½ 1113¼ 11 1127 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 22.70  
SCR  CHASING VINNY               (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN               (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  SHAMBO               (newland george)SINGH S 118 20.00    
SCR  WINGS OF VICTORY               (lafond r)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00    
 
FE-6   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNY'S BUTTON 3 2 1nk 1½   11 1 (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 120 1.60 0.70  
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 5 1 3½ 3   3 2 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 21% 3.80 2.85 P
DEVIL IN HER HEART 1 4 2nk 2½   21 3 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 10.30 S
LOADED SECRET 2 5 4 44   44 4 (smith ja)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 27% 2.70 4.50  
ASHBURY 4 3 5 58   5 5 (buttigieg kevin)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 21% 3.80 9.15  
 
FE-7   09/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD THE APPLAUSE 7 1 2nk 2   1nk 1 (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 15% 5.90 3.25 W
DREAMINOFPASSION 1 7 31 3   3½ 2 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 9% 9.70 3.25 P
JARA 6 4 1nk 1   2nk 3 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 6.30  
DANCE TO THE BEACH 4 5 6 4   4 4 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 49% 1.10 2.20  
SHOW SOME SKIN 3 8 811¼ 7   53 5 (capi)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 30.70  
CLASSY MISTRESS 8 2 7 8   7 6 (meli salvato)KING MARIE 120 3.00 5.70  
SEA ANNA DREAM 2 6 5 56   6 715 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 18.30  
LOUEMMA 5 3 44 67   8 829¼ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 5% 18.40 16.75  
 
FE-8   09/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRIFIC LADY 3 4 2 2   2nk 1 (pion syl)ALDERSON IAN 116 3.00 1.15  
MY LAST DREAM 2 1 3 34   31 2 (maynard )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 15.00 15.65  
WICKEN CENTS 1 6 68 6   42 3 (bennett michael )JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00 29.45  
BURMESE 6 2 1 1   1nk 4 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 37% 1.70 1.15  
AWESOME WINNA 5 3 5 4   53 5 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 6.85  
OH LORDY 4 5 4 5   64 618 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 116 20.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
SCR  LAPIDARY               (ayres l)RAMSAMMY E 118 12.00    
SCR  OUR STORMY SOPHIA               (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 8.00    
SCR  PICTUREDAY JESSICA               (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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