Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Jul08 Jun10 May26 May01   (patyke)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 5.00 ★    
2  A I INITIATIVE Aug23 Aug01 Jun28 Jun13 May31 (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 7% 13.00    
3  BREATHLESSNTHESAND Aug16 Aug01 Jul26 Jul10 Jun02 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  ANTE UP ALEX Aug16 Jul05 Jun19 May26   (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 ★    
5  FOUR KNIGHTS Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun28 Jun13 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 ★    
 
FE-2   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Aug04 Jul12 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  AWESOME YET AGAIN Jul01 May20 Mar25 Jan25   (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  KING OF AWESOME Aug14 Aug01 Jul12 Jun07   (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 4.00 ★    
4  RADCLIFFE Aug08 Jul26 May31     (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00 ★    
5  PATIO PARTY Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 Jun21 Jun11 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
FE-3   09/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVEL Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun14 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 117 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  SALT MINE TEDDY Aug14 Aug01 Jul25 Jul12 Jun13 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50    
3  CINNAMONJAWBREAKER Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 Jul10 Jun23 (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 ★    
4  FRAT PARTY Aug23 Jul19 Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 (cohe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 ★    
5  RAYO COLORADO Aug30 Aug02 Jul04 Jun16 May25 (agostino geor)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  BOCELLI (IRE) Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 Jun19 May22 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
FE-4   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MORE Aug14 Jul25 Jul11 Jun14   (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 ★    
2  CORE Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jul11 Jun28 (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 120 4.00 68% 0.50    
3  SECTION TEN Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul14   (maynar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 15.00    
4  SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS         (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 5.00 ★    
5  OMEGNA Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jul01 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 ★    
6  C BY THE SEA Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00    
7  MISS D'S PRIDE Aug16 Jul25 Jul12     (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00    
8  NO EASY ROAD Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jan23 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 ★    
 
FE-5   09/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBUSTO Aug25 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 Jun19 (oliverre sylvest)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
SCR  CHASING VINNY Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 Jun13 (chudobiak gar)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
3  SUN FORESTER Jul26 Jul04 Jun19 Jun13 May26 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
4  STRONG ENDING Aug23 Jun28 Jun13 Apr27 Mar30 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
5  UNDEFILED Aug14 Jul26 Jun23 Mar26 Feb23 (tharrenos w)WENC C 120 20.00    
6  DOT'S VISION Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 Jun07 May27 (fairlie scott)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN Aug09 Jul29 Jul11 Jul01 Jun19 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
8  DEEP EXPLORER Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun13   (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
9  TAKE CHARGE GENT Aug08 Jul11 May31     (ra)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 15.00    
10  SUIGU STAR Aug05 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 May29 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00    
11  TYCOON (GB) Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 Jun26 Jun14 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  ENGLISH CLASSIC Aug16 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 (carter)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
SCR  WINGS OF VICTORY Aug23 Jul19       (lafond)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00    
14  AM PREPARED Aug09 Jul11 Jun19 May31   (cathcart stev)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
SCR  SHAMBO Jul26 Jul11 Jun04     (newland george)SINGH S 118 20.00    
 
FE-6   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL IN HER HEART Aug08 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 ★    
2  LOADED SECRET Aug23 Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  BENNY'S BUTTON Jul30 Jun30       (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 120 1.60 ★    
4  ASHBURY Aug02 Jul05 Jun13     (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Aug14 Jul04 Jun19 May31 Mar16 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
FE-7   09/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMINOFPASSION Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 May26 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
2  SEA ANNA DREAM Aug08 Jul17 Jun27 Jun07   (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 ★    
3  SHOW SOME SKIN Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00    
4  DANCE TO THE BEACH Jul19 Jul04 Jun19     (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
5  LOUEMMA Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
6  JARA Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 May31 Apr27 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
7  HOLD THE APPLAUSE Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 May31   (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
8  CLASSY MISTRESS Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun13 (meli salva)KING MARIE 120 3.00    
 
FE-8   09/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR STORMY SOPHIA Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 (shirley lu)KING MARIE 118 8.00 ★    
2  WICKEN CENTS Aug09 Jun27 Jun14 May31   (bennett michae)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00    
3  MY LAST DREAM Aug22 Aug16 Jul26 Jul09 Jun17 (maynar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 15.00    
4  TERRIFIC LADY Jul29 Jul16       (pion sylvain)NICHOLLS KEVEH 116 3.00 ★    
SCR  LAPIDARY Aug22 Aug08 Jul05     (ayres l)RAMSAMMY E 118 12.00    
SCR  PICTUREDAY JESSICA Aug23 Aug16 Aug04 Jul25 Jul05 (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
7  OH LORDY Aug23         (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  AWESOME WINNA Apr29 Apr08 Mar27 Mar16   (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 6.00    
9  BURMESE Aug08 Jul25 Jun27     (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.