Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :471       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHANCEWORTHTAKING 5 5 32 31   2nk 11¼ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 118 1.80 40% 1.50 0.70 W
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY 3 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 21¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 116 3.00 31% 2.20 1.40 P
2  BELLE FEMME 2 1 54 47   44½ 36¼ (williams)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00 ★ 50.00 S
1  COSMIC SHOT 1 3 1½ 1nk   31 46¾ (wieczo)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.50 ★ 13.80  
4  OUR STORMY SOPHIA 4 4 44 58   56½ 512¼ (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 2.00 ★ 7.05  
 
FE-2   08/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:131 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HIATUS 3 3 11 12 12½ 13½ 16¼ (voyce jeff)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 27% 2.60 1.50 W
4  SOBERANO (FR) 4 2 52½ 42½ 22½ 23½ 26¼ (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 4.00 ★ 2.25 P
5  DETERMINATOR 5 1 21 32 32½ 34 312¼ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 28% 2.60 4.45 S
2  CALMING INFLUENCE 2 4 31½ 22 44 45 416 (jolin chris)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 ★ 3.40  
6  FEDERAL LAW 6 6 41½ 53 57 57½ 524½ (warner r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 15% 5.70 13.45  
1  GIANT MINE 1 5 62¾ 65½ 611 610½ 639½ (hoad)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 38.50  
 
FE-3   08/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UNION COLONEL 4 2 2½ 1nk 11 13 14½ (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 25% 3.00 6.60 W
2  SAMUEL H 2 4 41½ 31 42 23 24½ (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 ★ 4.95 P
1  SILENT FIRE (ARG) 1 3 1½ 2nk 21 34 39 (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 3.50 S
5  MAYITO 5 5 31½ 41¼ 64½ 46½ 49¼ (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 11% 8.30 4.85  
3  SYNCHROMESH 3 6 64½ 51¾ 32 56½ 510 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 ★ 1.80  
6  PATIO PARTY 6 1 53 62¾ 53½ 67½ 611¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 5.35  
 
FE-4   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:142 1:41   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WICKED CRAZY 5 3 35½ 43¼ 1½ 11½ 13¼ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 6.00 15% 5.50 1.75 W
1  INNUENDO (IRE) 1 5 46½ 33 2½ 21½ 23¼ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 ★ 3.25 P
6  STREET MAX 6 4 57½ 55¼ 45 34½ 310¼ (powell)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 8.00 23.30  
3  HIGH RESERVE 3 2 2nk 2nk 34½ 46 417 (williams a)JOHNSON DEVON 118 10.00 24% 3.30 50.70  
4  MR. DYNAMIC 4 1 1nk 1nk 55½ 59½ 528½ (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 24% 3.30 5.00  
2  ASCOT BAY 2 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 ★ 1.60  
 
FE-5   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL BIZ 1 1 11 11   11 1¾ (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 4.50 ★ 4.15  
4  NOT A GAME 4 4 43 32½   31½ 2¾ (davis m)ROBINSON K 118 4.00 ★ 4.00 P
2  JOCULARITY 2 2 21 21   21 31¼ (dixon pa)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 13.45  
6  PAPERBACK HERO 6 6 54 64½   43 41¾ (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 ★ 2.50  
5  SUPER BREW 5 7 78 710½   77 57 (fournier m)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.95  
7  MAMMOTH SPRING 7 5 65 54   64½ 68¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 5.00 35% 1.80 12.65  
3  CORA 3 3 31½ 42½   53 712 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 115 15.00 18.60  
 
FE-6   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:232 :473 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET 1 3 21½ 21   12 17¼ (maynard desm)KING MARIE 122 4.00 29% 2.50 2.60 W
4  FLECK 4 5 77½ 79½   74½ 27¼ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 12.80  
2  BLONDE ATTITUDE 2 4 43 32½   32½ 38¼ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 19% 4.30 4.85 S
3  MISS TEA BLONDE 3 6 32½ 42½   43 410¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 14% 6.20 8.10  
5  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 5 1 53½ 54½   53½ 512 (davies)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00 13% 6.40 25.25  
7  MARTINI SUE 7 2 63½ 65½   64½ 612½ (powell d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 12.00 33.45  
6  ERRATIQUE 6 7 11½ 11   22 718¾ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 ★ 0.95  
 
FE-7   08/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:23 :473       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EVER SO D'WILD 7 8 75 64¼   21½ 12 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★ 3.80  
5  MY FINAL TRICK 5 2 21 21   11½ 22 (hasmatali daryl)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 9% 10.20 1.70 P
6  CINDERVELLA 6 5 42½ 33   42½ 36¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 ★ 9.35 S
2  LIME 2 3 11 11   31½ 47 (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 54% 0.90 2.25  
3  STORMY SUZIE 3 4 65 77¾   76 57¼ (albu ken)KING MARIE 122 8.00 20.65  
4  KOZY KAT 4 1 31½ 43   54 67½ (newland georg)WENC C 120 10.00 27.75  
8  NEW YORK MINT 8 6 54 54   65 77¾ (bennett )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 32.20  
1  GOLDEN GARTER 1 7 86 89¾   87 89¾ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 8% 11.90 7.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.