Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMIC SHOT Jun13 Apr24       (wiec)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.50 ★    
2  BELLE FEMME Jul19 Jul05 Jun02     (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00 ★    
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jun30 Jun12 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  OUR STORMY SOPHIA Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 (shirley lu)KING MARIE 118 2.00 ★    
5  CHANCEWORTHTAKING Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 May27 May06 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
FE-2   08/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT MINE Aug16 Aug01 Jul12     (ho)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00    
2  CALMING INFLUENCE Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 (jolin chris)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 ★    
3  HIATUS Aug04 Jul26 Jul11 Jun19 May07 (voyce je)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
4  SOBERANO (FR) Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May22 May06 (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 ★    
5  DETERMINATOR Aug01 Apr12 Apr02 Mar09 Feb14 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  FEDERAL LAW Aug16 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
 
FE-3   08/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT FIRE (ARG) Aug14 Aug08 Jun28     (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
2  SAMUEL H Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun19   (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 ★    
3  SYNCHROMESH Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13   (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 ★    
4  UNION COLONEL Jul22 Jul05 Jun19     (newland george)SINGH S 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
5  MAYITO         (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
6  PATIO PARTY Aug08 Jul19 Jun21 Jun11   (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50    
 
FE-4   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNUENDO (IRE) Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 Jun03 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 ★    
2  ASCOT BAY Aug19 Jul24 Jun30 Jun03 May20 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 ★    
3  HIGH RESERVE Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 Jun14   (williams noel)JOHNSON DEVON 118 10.00 24% 3.30    
4  MR. DYNAMIC Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 24% 3.30    
5  WICKED CRAZY Aug18 Jul24 Jun26 Jun04   (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  STREET MAX Jul26 Jul11 Jun28     (powe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 8.00    
 
FE-5   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL BIZ Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jan15 Jan07 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 4.50 ★    
2  JOCULARITY Jul25 Jul05 Mar16 Feb15 Feb02 (dixon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
3  CORA Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May26 May12 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 115 15.00    
4  NOT A GAME Jul25 Jul11 Jun30 Jun17 May22 (davis m)ROBINSON K 118 4.00 ★    
5  SUPER BREW Jun16 May22       (fournier)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  PAPERBACK HERO Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 ★    
7  MAMMOTH SPRING Aug02 Jul15 Jun24 May26 May08 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 5.00 35% 1.80    
 
FE-6   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 May31 (maynard de)KING MARIE 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  BLONDE ATTITUDE Jul25 Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  MISS TEA BLONDE Aug22 Aug09 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
4  FLECK Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 May12 Apr30 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00    
5  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Aug14 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00 13% 6.40    
6  ERRATIQUE Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 May31   (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 ★    
7  MARTINI SUE Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 (powell)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 12.00    
 
FE-7   08/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN GARTER Aug16 Jul14 Jun02 Apr16   (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
2  LIME Aug02 Jul17 Jun23 Jun10 Apr16 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
3  STORMY SUZIE Aug01 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14   (albu ken)KING MARIE 122 8.00    
4  KOZY KAT Aug16 Aug08 Aug01     (newland geo)WENC C 120 10.00    
5  MY FINAL TRICK Aug22 Jul28 Jul08 Jun28 Jun10 (hasmatali daryl)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 9% 10.20    
6  CINDERVELLA Jul17 Jun07       (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 ★    
7  EVER SO D'WILD Aug16 Aug08 Jul08 Jun28 Jun10 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★    
8  NEW YORK MINT Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14 (bennet)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.