Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:132 1:412   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOODLE DANDY 4 5 5 511½ 510½ 1½ 1 (hoad lindsey)WENC C 118 5.00 18.60  
PURE ELEGANCE 2 3 3 34 3 2½ 2 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 38% 1.60 1.95 P
PRINCESS MORO 5 4 4 4 4 53 3 (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 118 3.00 25% 3.10 1.75 S
REIGN BY REIN 3 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 3½ 46 (ezra dar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 6.10  
COCOTARA 1 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 41 5 (davi)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 4.50 6% 14.80 2.15  
 
FE-2   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16.317K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :452 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME MINER 2 1 11 12   1 1 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 2.60  
TORPEDO MAX 3 2 21 22   2 2 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 31% 2.20 5.10 P
FREE SPEECH 5 3 31 32   3 37 (sullivan ell)KING MARIE 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.10 S
SILENCE BREAKERS 1 6 6 612½   5 47 (biamonte ralp)WENC C 120 1.80 3.00  
STRIBLING 4 4 43 4   44 59 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 8.00 7.50  
GLITTER MOUNTAIN 6 5 5 511½   616 621½ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 11.50  
 
FE-3   08/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:114     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HALIME 2 4 1 14   14 14 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.45 W
CLASSY MISTRESS 6 3 611 613   35 24 (meli salvato)KING MARIE 120 3.00 21% 3.70 1.70 P
SUPER CHIANTI 1 6 3 24   24 34 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 1.25  
KATY AND EMMA 4 1 2 35   4 414½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 10.15  
BABY LUNA 5 2 56 58   6 519 (willia)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00 25.45  
ICE FLOE 3 5 4 48   5 621½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00 14% 6.40 19.00  
 
FE-4   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTIE MY BOY 6 4 3½ 11   12 1 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 6.00 21% 3.70 1.40 W
THY KINGDOM 3 3 5 5   4 2 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 39% 1.60 4.30 P
READY AT DAWN 1 2 1nk 21   22 3 (ezra dar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 8% 11.20 3.30 S
VERRAZANO LEGACY 2 5 44 4   5 45 (rabstein claudi)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 2.75  
ABSTEMIOUS 4 1 2nk 31   3 5 (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 15.00 5% 17.80 13.05  
HEY MICKEY 5 6 68 6   6 6 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 25.45  
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE               (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00    
SCR  DANCE FOR GOLD               (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 113 5.00    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART               (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
 
FE-5   08/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:124     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLIND TRUST 1 7 1nk 11   12 1 (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 6% 14.40 4.30 W
THELONIOUS 3 4 6 4   32 2 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 20.00 12.75  
PARTY OF NO 5 2 2nk 31   22 3 (bailey j)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 3.55 S
INVISIBLE FRIEND 6 3 3½ 21   4 4 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 51% 0.90 1.15  
RAYO COLORADO 4 5 7 710   67 514½ (agostino george)MAILHOT P 118 12.00 16.45  
WILD RIVER WOLF 7 1 4¾ 5   56 623½ (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 17% 4.90 5.90  
STRONG ATTITUDE 2 6 5 6   7 726 (smith r)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 14.30  
SCR  DIAMONDBACK               (wieczorek kendr)PINTO MELANIE 118 12.00    
 
FE-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET WYATT 1 5 2½ 1nk   11 13 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 3.95  
JAMAICAN JIMMY 6 1 3 31   21 23 (fourni)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 3.00 41% 1.50 2.00 P
DOCTOR WU 4 3 4 4   4 34 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50 27% 2.60 1.25 S
M C JACKHAMMER 3 2 1½ 2nk   31 4 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 21.25  
SPIRAL STORM 7 6 77 7   76 5 (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 16.55  
ARTIE'S ALL IN 2 7 53 53   53 6 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 118 8.00 23.70  
WE WANT ACTION 5 4 63 6   64 7 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 10.00  
 
FE-7   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
See original race card.
:223 :452       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMBALA 3 4 11 12   1 14 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 1.85  
FRERET 1 1 3 32   2 24 (fournier mark)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 13% 6.90 2.35 P
HIGH SOCIETY GIRL 4 2 21 22   3 3 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 7% 14.20 1.60 S
SILENT GUROO 2 3 43 44   46 413 (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 4.00 4.60  
SCR  BENADETTE'S LADY               (mandalfi)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00    
SCR  CAPOEIRA               (ezra daryl)WENC C 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  EIGHT SPEED               (fournier m)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00    
SCR  SWIRLING CANDY               (griffith ricky)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
FE-8   08/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK BEANSTALK 4 1 11 1   1 1 (maynard de)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 5.00  
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 5 4 21 2   2 2 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 2.80 P
DILETTANTE 1 5 4 4   3 3 (sullivan ell)KING MARIE 122 3.00 66% 0.50 1.50 S
DE ONLY SOLUTION 2 6 3 3   4 4 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 8.50  
GOLD VENTURE 7 2 6 6   6 59 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 6.40  
FAFA FOOEY 3 7 5 5   55 69 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 10% 9.30 7.10  
PERLARANA 6 3 7 7   7 713½ (chudob)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 56.25  
SCR  ACE DESTROYER               (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
SCR  CORRELATE               (loescher)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.