Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCOTARA Aug14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 May26 (da)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 4.50 6% 14.80    
2  PURE ELEGANCE Aug08 Jun30 Jun09 May19 Jan22 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  REIGN BY REIN Jul17 Jun18 May26     (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 ★    
4  DOODLE DANDY Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 Jun19 (hoad lindse)WENC C 118 5.00 ★    
5  PRINCESS MORO Aug09 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14   (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
FE-2   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16.317K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENCE BREAKERS Jul07 Jun19       (biamonte ra)WENC C 120 1.80 ★    
2  AWESOME MINER Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May31   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 ★    
3  TORPEDO MAX Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 May31 May19 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 31% 2.20    
4  STRIBLING Aug14 Jun24 Jun04 Feb03 Jan07 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 8.00    
5  FREE SPEECH Jul28 Jun25 Jun08 May31 Apr28 (sullivan e)KING MARIE 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  GLITTER MOUNTAIN Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★    
 
FE-3   08/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CHIANTI Aug14 May03 Mar06 Feb12   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00    
2  PRINCESS HALIME Aug08 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11   (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  ICE FLOE Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00 14% 6.40    
4  KATY AND EMMA Jun13 Apr29 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 ★    
5  BABY LUNA Aug02 Jul19       (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00 ★    
6  CLASSY MISTRESS Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun13   (meli salva)KING MARIE 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
FE-4   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY AT DAWN Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04 (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 8% 11.20    
2  VERRAZANO LEGACY Aug01         (rabstein clau)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
3  THY KINGDOM Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 Jun07 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART Aug08 Jul12 Jun18 Jun10 May20 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Aug04 Jul12 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00    
6  ABSTEMIOUS         (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 15.00 5% 17.80    
7  HEY MICKEY Aug22 Aug04 Jun23 Jun03   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00    
8  ARTIE MY BOY Aug22 Jul25 Jul05     (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  DANCE FOR GOLD Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 May31 May06 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 113 5.00 ★    
 
FE-5   08/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLIND TRUST Jun28 Jun10 May07     (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 6% 14.40    
2  STRONG ATTITUDE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun19 May31 (smith kenneth )JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 ★    
3  THELONIOUS Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 Jun07 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
SCR  DIAMONDBACK Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jun10 May13 (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 12.00    
5  RAYO COLORADO Aug02 Jul04 Jun16 May25 May17 (agostino geor)MAILHOT P 118 12.00    
6  PARTY OF NO Aug14 Aug08 Jul25 Jul19 Jul04 (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 ★    
7  INVISIBLE FRIEND Aug08 Jul25 Jul15 Jun28 May31 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 51% 0.90    
8  WILD RIVER WOLF Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
FE-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET WYATT Jul19 Jul10 Jun19 May27   (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 ★    
2  ARTIE'S ALL IN Aug16 Aug01 Jul19     (alders)ALDERSON IAN 118 8.00    
3  M C JACKHAMMER Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May27 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 ★    
4  DOCTOR WU Aug08 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 May20 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50 27% 2.60    
5  WE WANT ACTION Aug08 Jul26       (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 ★    
6  JAMAICAN JIMMY Jul25 Jun28 Jun14     (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
7  SPIRAL STORM Jul10 Jun11 May19 May07   (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENADETTE'S LADY Aug14 Jul17 Jun14     (mandal)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00    
2  FRERET Aug02 Jul14 Jun26 Jun09   (fournier mark)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  SWIRLING CANDY Jul28 Jul08 Jun28     (griffith ric)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  SILENT GUROO Aug11 Jul28 Jul09     (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 4.00    
5  GIMBALA Aug16 Jun28 Jun07 Apr24 Apr17 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  EIGHT SPEED Jul17 Jun27 May31     (fournier)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00    
7  HIGH SOCIETY GIRL Aug16 Aug01 Jun28 Jun13 Jun07 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  CAPOEIRA Aug08 Jun28 Jun02     (ezra daryl)WENC C 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
 
FE-8   08/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DILETTANTE Aug16 Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 Apr28 (sullivan e)KING MARIE 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
2  DE ONLY SOLUTION Aug02 Jul15 Jun27 Jun13 May31 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
3  FAFA FOOEY Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
4  JACK BEANSTALK Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May31 (maynard )BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
SCR  CORRELATE Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 Jun07 May05 (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 12.00    
SCR  ACE DESTROYER Aug14 Jun27 May31 Feb23 Jan29 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 ★    
7  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Aug16 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 May12 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 ★    
8  PERLARANA Aug09 Jul01 Jun05     (chud)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00    
9  GOLD VENTURE Aug02 Jul05 Jun14     (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.