Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J AND B IN CRUMLIN 2 3 12 1   11 1¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 43% 1.30 4.75 W
SILVER SIGNATURE 1 5 22 2   21 2¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 3.80 P
NO EASY ROAD 4 1 32 33   32 3 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 11.15 S
C BY THE SEA 6 4 5 54   5 4 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 31.90  
OMEGNA 3 6 64 6   4 5 (bird alan)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 6.70  
CORE 5 2 43 44   6 6100 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 30% 2.40 0.70  
 
FE-2   08/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY GIRL 1 2 5 59   32 1 (maynard desmond)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 1.45  
DONTCALLMESWEETY 2 4 32 3   11 2 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 4.95 P
LINDA LOVES LACE 4 1 45 4   42 34 (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 120 6.00 17% 5.00 6.15 S
CRUMLIN BIRD 5 3 2nk 11   21 46 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 35% 1.80 1.50  
AERONAUTICA 3 5 1nk 21   5 514¼ (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 9.00  
SCR  GRAZARION               (steer )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
 
FE-3   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:23 :473 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN SIDNEY 5 1 3 3   1nk 11 (carter doug)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 3.45  
LOQUACIOUS 2 4 56 5   3½ 21 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 3.50 15% 5.70 6.05 P
A I INITIATIVE 1 5 4 42   2nk 3 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 13.35 S
HARD N'SWEET 4 3 21 21   42 4 (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 24% 3.20 2.15  
BE VEWY VEWY QUIET 3 2 11 11   53 56 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.20  
SCR  SKILLS TEST               (agostino ge)DAVID MICHAEL 113 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:174     1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMIC MISSION 4 6 5 47 3½ 1nk 1½ (rabstein claudi)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 6% 16.40 0.80 W
GOGO GABRIEL 6 3 35 36 2nk 2nk 2½ (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00 6.55  
MR. COMMISH 1 5 67 6 5 31 3 (pion syl)ALDERSON IAN 118 15.00 8.40  
BEAUFORT 5 2 2 26 4 4 4 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 38% 1.70 2.70  
CHOICE PLAYER 2 4 46 5 6 5 5 (wills dani)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00 9.15  
SECTION TEN 3 1 1 16 1nk 64 612¼ (maynard )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00 17.45  
SCR  BEST AND FINAL               (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  BIG BOY BENNY               (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INNUENDO (IRE)               (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SLIGO CALLING               (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
 
FE-5   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:232 :473 :591     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED SECRET 3 6 2nk 21   2nk 1¾ (smith ja)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 4.90  
SASSYWITHATTITUDE 5 1 1nk 11   1nk 2¾ (raghunath ravendra )MAILHOT P 118 4.00 41% 1.40 1.80 P
PAPA'S SILVER 8 2 31 33   3 3 (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 120 6.00 7% 13.60 2.35 S
PICTUREDAY JESSICA 2 4 6 59   4 411¼ (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 8.85  
MIZZ GEMMA 4 3 53 49   57 512¼ (albu ken)WENC C 118 8.00 7.65  
DREAMINGOF JEANNIE 7 5 75 711½   79 614¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 23.45  
RIGHT MATTERS 1 7 4 6   68 715½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 24% 3.10 8.75  
OH LORDY 6 8 86 812½   820 8100 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 35.60  
 
FE-6   08/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:224 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO 6 1 1nk 1   1 17 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 19% 4.20 0.70 W
BRADY O'BRADY 2 4 62 5   3 27 (siddo barrington)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 10.40  
HALF LIT 3 5 3.2 2   2 37 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 3.45 S
FRAT PARTY 1 7 7 7   6 410½ (cohen )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00 76.15  
TOMCAT BLACK 4 3 2nk 3   4 511¼ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 4.45  
SEAL TEAM TWO 7 6 4 42   55 612¾ (agostino ge)DAVID MICHAEL 117 5.00 57% 0.80 26.60  
BALA FALLS 5 2 5 6   7 719 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 11.25  
 
FE-7   08/23/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
See original race card.
:263 :522 1:192     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVEL 8 7 8 5   2½ 1hd (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 10.80  
IF SIX WAS NINE 4 2 13 11   1½ 2hd (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 21% 3.70 4.85 P
QUIET ASCOT 7 1 44 3   3½ 3½ (husbands anthon)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 2.05  
PACENZA 5 3 23 21   41 4 (charalam)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 2.05  
DELIGHTFUL DREAMER 6 6 7 7   5 5 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 7.20  
FAIRY 1 4 34 86   7 65 (loes)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00 5% 17.20 23.55  
MAHONE BAY 3 5 55 6   6 7 (jolin chris)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 46.30  
IMPULSIVELY 2 8 6 4   8 817½ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 43% 1.30 7.50  
SCR  FLAWLESS PINK               (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 6.00    
 
FE-8   08/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  STRONG ENDING 9 2 3½ 3.2   1nk 11 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00 11.45  
10  TOMATO BILL 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 21 (simms jo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 7% 14.20 2.30 P
MONEY MATTERS 5 5 8 6   4 3 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 17.75  
CHASING VINNY 6 4 4 4   5 4 (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00 7.75  
STRIKING MOON 3 9 2½ 2nk   3½ 5 (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 3.00 19% 4.40 1.70  
DUKE OF MIAMI 1 7 7 8   7 611 (thar)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00 44.65  
WINGS OF VICTORY 7 3 6 5   6 711¾ (lafond r)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 11.20  
WHERE'S ANTHONY 2 8 9 910¾   9 815 (tharrenos william)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00 21.10  
MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) 4 6 5 7   8 915¼ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 115 5.00 36% 1.80 6.20  
SCR  ALACRITOUS               (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD VENTURE               (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY RACHEL               (krczmar zelko)HOYTE JASON 115 4.00 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.