Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER SIGNATURE Aug09 Jul24 Jul01 Jun11 May27 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 6.00    
J AND B IN CRUMLIN Jul26 Jul15 May26     (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
OMEGNA Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jul01 May26 (bird alan)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50    
NO EASY ROAD Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jan23 Jan07 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00    
CORE Aug01 Jul19 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
C BY THE SEA Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07   (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
 
FE-2   08/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAZARION Aug01 Jul04 Jun19     (steer )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
HONEY GIRL Aug09 Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 May31 (maynard desmond)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50    
DONTCALLMESWEETY Aug14 Jul26 Jul08 May26 Apr23 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00    
AERONAUTICA Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 May29 May08 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50    
LINDA LOVES LACE Aug02 Jul08 Jun11     (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
CRUMLIN BIRD Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 May26   (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
FE-3   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A I INITIATIVE Aug01 Jun28 Jun13 May31 May13 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00    
LOQUACIOUS Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun27   (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  SKILLS TEST Jul25 Jul05 Jun21 May31 May07 (agostino ge)DAVID MICHAEL 113 4.00    
BE VEWY VEWY QUIET Aug09 Jun27       (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
HARD N'SWEET Aug09         (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
CAPTAIN SIDNEY Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13   (carter doug)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
 
FE-4   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG BOY BENNY Jul25 Jun07       (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR. COMMISH Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04   (pion sylvain)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 15.00    
CHOICE PLAYER Jul29 Jul08 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (wills dani)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00    
SECTION TEN Aug09 Jul26 Jul14     (maynard )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00    
DYNAMIC MISSION Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28   (rabstein claudi)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 6% 16.40    
BEAUFORT Jul25 Jun28       (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 38% 1.70    
SCR  BEST AND FINAL Aug14 Aug02 Jul11 Jun07 Jan14 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
GOGO GABRIEL Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 May26   (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00    
SCR  SLIGO CALLING Aug02 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
SCR  INNUENDO (IRE) Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 Jun03 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-5   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT MATTERS Jul19 Jun11       (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
PICTUREDAY JESSICA Aug16 Aug04 Jul25 Jul05 Jun23 (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00    
LOADED SECRET Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05   (smith ja)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50    
MIZZ GEMMA Aug08 Jul19 Jun17 May26   (albu ken)WENC C 118 8.00    
SASSYWITHATTITUDE Jul21 Jul07 Jun09 May06 Apr16 (raghunath ravendra )MAILHOT P 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
OH LORDY         (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMINGOF JEANNIE Aug08         (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 118 8.00    
PAPA'S SILVER Aug16 Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 120 6.00 7% 13.60    
 
FE-6   08/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAT PARTY Jul19 Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 May20 (cohen )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
BRADY O'BRADY Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun13   (siddo barrington)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
HALF LIT Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 Jun10 May14 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00    
TOMCAT BLACK Aug09 Jul19 Jul07     (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00    
BALA FALLS Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 Jun13   (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
SHAKOO MAKOO Jul19 Jun13       (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
SEAL TEAM TWO Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07   (agostino ge)DAVID MICHAEL 117 5.00 57% 0.80    
 
FE-7   08/23/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRY Aug09 Jul17 Feb23 Jan21 Jan01 (loes)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00 5% 17.20    
IMPULSIVELY Jul26 Jul07 Jun12 May27   (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
MAHONE BAY Aug09         (jolin chris)MAILHOT P 120 12.00    
IF SIX WAS NINE Jun27         (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
PACENZA Jul30 Jun26 May21     (charalam)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 May12 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00    
QUIET ASCOT Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (husbands anthon)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
MARVEL Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun14 May31 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
SCR  FLAWLESS PINK Aug09 Jul29 Jun26 Jun09 May12 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 6.00    
 
FE-8   08/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF MIAMI Jul19         (thar)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00    
WHERE'S ANTHONY Jun21 Apr17       (tharrenos william)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00    
SCR  GOLD VENTURE Aug02 Jul05 Jun14     (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
STRIKING MOON Jul28 Jun27 Jun21 Jun05 May19 (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  PRETTY RACHEL Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May26 Mar31 (krczmar zelko)HOYTE JASON 115 4.00 10% 8.60    
MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Aug16 Jul30 Jul13 Jun22 May27 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 115 5.00 36% 1.80    
MONEY MATTERS Aug05 Jun28       (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00    
CHASING VINNY Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 Jun13 May31 (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
WINGS OF VICTORY Jul19         (lafond r)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
10  TOMATO BILL Jul15 Jun17 May20 Mar27 Feb12 (simms c)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  ALACRITOUS Jul31 Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar21 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  STRONG ENDING Jun28 Jun13 Apr27 Mar30 Mar16 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.