Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SASSYWITHATTITUDE 5 3 1½ 13   12½ 14½ (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 32% 2.10 1.00 W
1  PAPA'S SILVER 1 1 53½ 44   22½ 24½ (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 118 1.80 9% 10.50 1.85 P
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY 3 4 32½ 33½   33½ 37¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 116 2.50 ★ 5.10 S
2  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 2 5 43 57½   55½ 48 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 36% 1.80 5.75  
4  COSMIC SHOT 4 2 2½ 23   45½ 519¼ (wieczorek )BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 ★ 17.05  
 
FE-2   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:221 :451 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHAKOO MAKOO 3 1 1½ 12½   11½ 1hd (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 22% 3.60 0.70 W
1  OVERBEARING 1 4 44 45   21½ 2hd (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 ★ 9.60 P
2  GLITTER MOUNTAIN 2 5 55 57   54 31¼ (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 118 8.00 25.55  
4  SKILLS TEST 4 3 2½ 22½   32 43 (agostino ge)HERNANDEZ K 118 2.50 13% 6.90 5.95  
5  FREE SPEECH 5 2 32½ 34   43 54½ (sullivan ell)KING MARIE 120 3.50 27% 2.80 2.35  
6  HALF LIT 6 6 68 69   65½ 66½ (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 ★ 15.80  
 
FE-3   10/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 4 5 54¾ 51¾ 34½ 1½ 12 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 ★ 1.60  
4  PETAWAWA 3 1 43¾ 41¾ 23½ 2½ 22 (giliforte layn)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.30 P
1  BLACK SUN 1 3 1nk 1nk 13½ 32 38½ (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 ★ 7.00 S
6  JUST START ME UP 5 2 3.2 2nk 46 46 414½ (leblanc p)MORENO OMAR 120 4.50 1.80  
2  ASCOT BAY 2 4 2nk 3.2 57½ 57 521¾ (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 28% 2.60 7.95  
SCR  EXECUTIVE GIANT               (burke r)HOYTE JASON 120 4.00 ★    
 
FE-4   10/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PATIO PARTY 2 7 66½ 68½   42½ 1½ (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 27% 2.70 2.15 W
5  PAPERBACK HERO 5 2 21½ 21   11½ 2½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 3.80  
7  YZERMAN 7 4 55½ 46   21½ 3½ (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 6.00 9.45  
3  STRIBLING 3 5 11½ 11   31½ 412¾ (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 9% 10.00 2.30 DQ↓7
6  MAVERICK MAN 6 3 32 34½   54 517¾ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 22% 3.50 6.85  
4  WHISKEY VICTOR 4 1 45 57½   67 635¼ (polsinelli dominic)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 17% 4.90 15.90  
1  THELONIOUS 1 6 7100 7100   7100 7100 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 5.00 ★ 9.10  
 
FE-5   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FRESH DREAMS 3 7 88¾ 88¼   31½ 11½ (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 8% 11.50 4.20 W
2  SWEET FINALE 2 4 42 53½   41¾ 21½ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 35% 1.90 1.05 P
1  ERRATIQUE 1 6 31 21½   1nk 32½ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 3.00 3.05  
4  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA 4 1 11 11½   2nk 43¼ (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 14.90  
8  KOZY KAT 8 2 21 32½   52¼ 54 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 16.90  
7  MISS TEA BLONDE 7 8 75¼ 65   74¾ 68¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 ★ 8.80  
5  SECRET AFFIRMATION 5 5 65¼ 75¼   85¼ 710 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 ★ 44.40  
6  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 6 3 52¼ 42½   63¾ 810¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 28% 2.50 23.25  
 
FE-6   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :451 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 6 2 42 43   31 13¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 8% 10.80 5.90 W
8  TOMATO BILL 7 6 32 32   41½ 23¼ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 4.00 25% 3.00 3.05 P
5  AWESOME MINER 4 1 1½ 2nk   1nk 33¼ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 26% 2.80 2.80 S
3  DYNAMITE KARMA 2 4 2½ 1nk   2nk 43¼ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 8.00 13% 6.50 2.05  
1  CHASING VINNY 1 7 76½ 76¾   74¾ 58 (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 6.85  
4  SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA 3 3 65½ 66½   64½ 68½ (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 117 12.00 28.75  
6  WONNEFRAC 5 5 53 55½   53½ 79¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 ★ 13.35  
SCR  FAFA FOOEY               (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00    
 
FE-7   10/04/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:153     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SILENT BUT VIOLENT 3 5 41½ 3½   11 11½ (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 38% 1.60 3.05 W
2  HIPPIE CHICK 2 1 52 53½   31 21½ (tomlinso)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00 15.60  
8  AWESOME WINNA 8 3 31½ 41½   21 32¼ (cathcart steven)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 2.40  
1  MIZZ GEMMA 1 10 87½ 64   52¼ 43¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 33% 2.10 5.55  
9  MADAMME IN LOVE 9 8 910 99½   73¼ 54½ (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 29.00  
7  RING THEM BELLS 7 7 76 86½   62¼ 65 (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 ★ 10.55  
6  OOPSY 6 9 1013 1011½   93½ 77½ (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00 58.70  
5  OUR STORMY SOPHIA 5 2 21 2nk   83½ 88¼ (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 6.00 ★ 5.30  
10  CLOUD RUNNER 10 4 11 1nk   42 98¾ (loescher paul)WENC C 118 15.00 21.05  
4  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE 4 6 63 75½   106½ 1028¾ (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50 7.65  
SCR  SMART IRENE               (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 4.00 ★    
 
FE-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JACK BEANSTALK 2 5 11 11   11½ 11¼ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 6.90  
7  DILETTANTE 7 4 65 63¼   41¾ 21¼ (drexler )ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 39% 1.60 3.15 P
1  TYCOON (GB) 1 8 43½ 43   52¼ 32¾ (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★ 1.75 S
4  CRAFTY CONQUEST 4 2 21 31½   21½ 44¼ (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 18% 4.70 12.00  
5  LETTING LOOSE 5 7 78 74¼   73¼ 55¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50 16% 5.20 4.70  
6  ACE DESTROYER 6 1 31½ 21   31½ 67 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 5% 19.00 5.50  
8  CLASSY MISTRESS 8 3 89½ 811¾   86¼ 78½ (meli salvato)KING MARIE 117 10.00 21.10  
3  KEEN SAMURAI 3 6 53½ 53   63¼ 89¾ (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 33.75  
 
FE-9   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANTIAGO SALSA 3 11 119 117   63¼ 1¾ (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00 45.15  
10  STORMIN' HUMOR 10 4 51¼ 1½   11½ 2¾ (cohe)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 10.00 1.50  
6  SILVER SIGNATURE 6 1 61¾ 51½   42 36¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 8% 10.90 4.95 S
7  CORE 7 2 105½ 83¾   83¾ 46¼ (powell a)DACOSTA W 120 4.50 36% 1.80 4.20  
9  SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS 9 7 3.2 3½   21½ 56½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 115 15.00 43.05  
11  MISTER M V P 11 10 83 61¾   52¼ 66½ (wills daniel)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 32% 2.20 4.80  
1  WAR DOCTOR 1 9 2nk 2½   31½ 79¾ (cohen michae)KING MARIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
4  NO EASY ROAD 4 3 72¾ 93¾   94¾ 810¼ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★ 10.10  
8  RED BARI 8 6 1nk 41   73¼ 910½ (loescher paula)JADOO STEVE 120 20.00 18.95  
5  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 5 5 93 104   105¾ 1011¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 26.65  
2  MISS D'S PRIDE 2 8 41¼ 72¾   116¾ 1121¼ (albu ken)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00 77.65  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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