Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   10/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA'S SILVER Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Jul17 (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 118 1.80 9% 10.50    
CANT BEAT THE KATZ         (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
VERMONT HOLIDAY Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 116 2.50    
COSMIC SHOT Sep20 Aug29 Jun13 Apr24   (wieczorek )BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00    
SASSYWITHATTITUDE Sep12 Aug23 Jul21 Jul07 Jun09 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
FE-2   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERBEARING Sep06 Aug22 Jul19 Jun28 Jun13 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
GLITTER MOUNTAIN Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 118 8.00    
SHAKOO MAKOO Aug23 Jul19 Jun13     (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 22% 3.60    
SKILLS TEST Sep12 Jul25 Jul05 Jun21 May31 (agostino ge)HERNANDEZ K 118 2.50 13% 6.90    
FREE SPEECH Aug30 Jul28 Jun25 Jun08 May31 (sullivan ell)KING MARIE 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
HALF LIT Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
 
FE-3   10/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK SUN Sep19 Aug22 Aug05 Jul14   (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
ASCOT BAY Sep13 Aug29 Aug19 Jul24 Jun30 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  EXECUTIVE GIANT Sep15 Aug19       (burke r)HOYTE JASON 120 4.00    
PETAWAWA Sep19 Jul26       (giliforte layn)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
SEVEN IS A BREEZE Sep19 Sep06 Aug20 Jul02   (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50    
JUST START ME UP Sep23 Sep05 Aug13 Jul28 Jul07 (leblanc p)MORENO OMAR 120 4.50    
 
FE-4   10/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THELONIOUS Sep12 Aug30 Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 5.00    
PATIO PARTY Sep27 Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
STRIBLING Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jun24 Jun04 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 9% 10.00    
WHISKEY VICTOR Sep12 Aug25 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (polsinelli dominic)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
PAPERBACK HERO Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50    
MAVERICK MAN Sep20 Jul05       (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
YZERMAN Sep12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17   (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 6.00    
 
FE-5   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERRATIQUE Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 3.00    
SWEET FINALE Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul12 Jun27 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
FRESH DREAMS         (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 8% 11.50    
ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Aug16 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 Jun21 (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
SECRET AFFIRMATION Sep06         (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Sep12         (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 28% 2.50    
MISS TEA BLONDE Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 Aug09 Jul11 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00    
KOZY KAT Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 Aug01 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00    
 
FE-6   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING VINNY Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00    
SCR  FAFA FOOEY Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00    
DYNAMITE KARMA Sep02 Jul24 Jul07 Jun10 May20 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA Sep19 Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 117 12.00    
AWESOME MINER Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May31 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
WONNEFRAC Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 Jul19 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 Jul07 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
TOMATO BILL Sep13 Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 May20 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
FE-7   10/04/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZ GEMMA Sep20 Aug23 Aug08 Jul19 Jun17 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 33% 2.10    
HIPPIE CHICK Sep06 Aug14 Jul19 Jul09 Jun14 (tomlinso)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00    
SILENT BUT VIOLENT Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
PRINCESS SOLITAIRE Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jun19 May12 (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50    
OUR STORMY SOPHIA Sep20 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 6.00    
OOPSY Sep06         (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00    
RING THEM BELLS Sep20 May13       (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 8.00    
AWESOME WINNA Sep20 Sep05 Apr29 Apr08 Mar27 (cathcart steven)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
MADAMME IN LOVE Aug12 Jul22       (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
10  CLOUD RUNNER Sep20 Jun16 May31 May15   (loescher paul)WENC C 118 15.00    
SCR  SMART IRENE Sep20 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul09 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 4.00    
 
FE-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYCOON (GB) Sep25 Sep13 Sep05 Aug21 Jul17 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
JACK BEANSTALK Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
KEEN SAMURAI Sep12 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul08 (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00    
CRAFTY CONQUEST Sep13 Sep02 Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
LETTING LOOSE Sep13 Aug16 Aug05 Jun28   (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
ACE DESTROYER Sep13 Aug14 Jun27 May31 Feb23 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
DILETTANTE Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul06 (drexler )ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
CLASSY MISTRESS Sep20 Sep05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (meli salvato)KING MARIE 117 10.00    
 
FE-9   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR DOCTOR Aug14 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun24 (cohen michae)KING MARIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS D'S PRIDE Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 (albu ken)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
SANTIAGO SALSA Jul26 Feb09       (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00    
NO EASY ROAD Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Sep02 Jul31 Jul10     (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00    
SILVER SIGNATURE Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 Jul01 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 8% 10.90    
CORE Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jul11 (powell a)DACOSTA W 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
RED BARI         (loescher paula)JADOO STEVE 120 20.00    
SCARBOROUGH BLUFFS Sep05         (fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 115 15.00    
10  STORMIN' HUMOR Sep06 Jul26 Jul10 Jun26 Jun09 (cohen michael)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
11  MISTER M V P Aug19 Jul22 Jun30 Jun04 May20 (wills daniel)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.