Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:134 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDBACK 1 2 11 1nk 11½ 11½ 11½ (wieczorek kendr)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 26% 2.90 0.80 W
3  RAYO COLORADO 3 1 21 2nk 21½ 21½ 21½ (agostino george)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 22% 3.50 7.65 P
5  BOCELLI (IRE) 5 4 31½ 31 32 31½ 33¾ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 12% 7.00 1.55 S
2  MARVEL 2 3 52 51¼ 43 43 48 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 5.00 ★ 8.60  
4  FRAT PARTY 4 5 41½ 41¼ 55 58 532 (cohen michael)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 ★ 17.50  
 
FE-2   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:141 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUPER BREW 3 3 11 1½ 11 11½ 14½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 118 2.50 64% 0.60 0.80 W
2  SLIGO CALLING 2 4 32½ 33 32 21½ 24½ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 5.00 ★ 5.15 P
5  SALT MINE TEDDY 4 1 21 2½ 21 33 37¾ (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00 ★ 3.65 S
1  KING OF AWESOME 1 2 44 46½ 48 45½ 49¼ (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 ★ 2.50  
SCR  BRUTALITY               (depaulo )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 ★    
 
FE-3   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EASY ACCESS 3 1 3.2 12   12½ 14 (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 ★ 3.85  
5  ALLPAIDUP 4 4 41¾ 32   32½ 24 (thompson o)MORENO OMAR 118 1.60 27% 2.80 0.90 P
2  J M R BOLD VISION 1 3 1nk 22   22½ 34½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 ★ 2.60 S
3  ICE FLOE 2 2 2nk 42¼   43½ 47¾ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 118 2.00 25% 2.90 4.00  
SCR  READY TO RUMBLE               (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
FE-4   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:113 1:391   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REIGN BY REIN 2 4 1nk 1nk 14 14 18½ (ezra dar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 4.05  
7  PRINCESS MORO 6 3 48 411½ 410 24 28½ (buttigieg kevin)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 19% 4.30 2.70 P
5  HONEY GIRL 5 5 59½ 617½ 617½ 67½ 312¾ (mayn)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 4.00 ★ 10.80 S
1  DOODLE DANDY 1 6 612½ 515½ 514 56 413¾ (hoad lindsey)WENC C 118 5.00 10.10  
3  POOLSIDE MANNERS 3 2 33½ 33½ 35½ 44½ 515½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 19% 4.20 1.40  
4  KATY AND EMMA 4 1 2nk 2nk 24 34½ 615½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 3.00 16% 5.40 5.65  
SCR  SPEAK ENGLISH               (holder renaldo)HOYTE JASON 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
 
FE-5   09/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:143     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OMEGNA 4 2 1nk 11   11½ 11 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 6% 15.00 3.90 W
6  MR. COMMISH 6 1 3½ 31   21½ 21 (wieczorek kendra)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 ★ 3.30 P
2  WIN THE DRAW 2 6 73¾ 66½   54½ 33½ (drake su)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 ★ 4.55 S
7  MR. DYNAMIC 7 3 4¾ 21   32½ 44¼ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 11% 8.30 2.25  
5  MISS D'S PRIDE 5 4 51¼ 42   43 55½ (albu ken)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 7.40  
1  SECTION TEN 1 5 2nk 53   65½ 614¾ (mayn)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 20.50  
3  BAYTOWN FINLEY 3 7 63¼ 76¾   78½ 720¼ (parente pat)JADOO STEVE 118 15.00 7.40  
SCR  BEAUFORT               (buttigieg kevin)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
FE-6   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOADED ONCE MORE 3 1 3.2 1½   11½ 14¼ (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 122 2.50 30% 2.30 0.50 W
2  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 2 3 2nk 3½   21½ 24¼ (davies r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 ★ 14.70 P
5  SHOW SOME SKIN 5 5 54¼ 44   42½ 35 (capi)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.00 10% 8.60 2.30 S
1  SUBZERO PLUS 1 4 1nk 2½   31½ 46 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 115 4.00 26% 2.90 11.05  
4  BLONDE ATTITUDE 4 2 42¼ 55   56 516 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 ★ 9.80  
 
FE-7   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA 3 4 63¼ 23   1nk 13¼ (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 7% 12.40 5.75 W
1  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 1 5 11 13   2nk 23¼ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00 25% 3.00 1.70 P
4  NICOLE'S SONG 4 7 76¼ 87¼   43¾ 33½ (blake j)MORENO OMAR 118 2.50 38% 1.60 10.20 S
8  HALO STYLE 7 3 41½ 43½   33½ 411 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 3.00 5.90  
6  DEVIL IN HER HEART 6 6 31 33½   53¾ 514¾ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 5.75  
2  DAZZLING DIVA 2 8 87¼ 65¾   65¼ 615¼ (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00 5.30  
5  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 5 1 21 76¾   76¼ 717 (thom)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 36.40  
9  LOADED SECRET 8 2 51¾ 55½   86½ 818 (smith ja)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 7.10  
SCR  ASHBURY               (buttigieg kevin)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 ★    
 
FE-8   09/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIGU STAR 1 7 710 711   2½ 11½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 7% 13.60 4.00 W
8  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 7 3 69 68   52 21½ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.00 2.85  
4  PETAWAWA 4 2 34 22   1½ 32 (giliforte layn)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.50 20% 4.00 1.75 S
2  BLACK SUN 2 5 23 32   3½ 46 (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 10% 8.80 5.45  
7  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 1 55 43   62½ 59½ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 5.25  
3  ARTIE'S ALL IN 3 4 13 12   41½ 610 (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 118 12.00 17.85  
6  SENSIBLE PORTIONS 5 6 45 55   72¾ 711½ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 40.70  
SCR  MAXIMUM DANGER               (leblanc warren)SINGH S 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  SAMUEL H               (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  WICKED CRAZY               (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.