The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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FE-1   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:222 :452 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GIMBALA 5 1 11½ 12   13 13¾ (simms c)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 ★ 1.80  
4  APPOINTED 4 2 44 45   33 23¾ (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 115 4.50 10% 8.80 3.65 P
3  LOADED ONCE MORE 3 3 32 22   23 35½ (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 120 5.00 ★ 13.40 S
1  PAO DE QUEIJO 1 4 21½ 32½   43¼ 49 (sullivan elliott)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 26% 2.80 2.30  
2  IMA DAREDEVIL 2 5 57 56½   57¼ 512¼ (robillard julie)HOYTE JASON 120 2.00 34% 1.90 2.75  
 
FE-2   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 1:34
:224 :46 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOSSY HOLIDAY 4 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (carroll josie)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.30 7.50 W
2  UNCLE JOE 2 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 2nk (chircop steven)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.65 P
5  SILENT RUNNER 5 2 41½ 31   31 31 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 124 1.80 11% 8.30 1.10 S
1  MR CROWLEY 1 5 31½ 41½   42½ 42 (drexler martin)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50 ★ 2.40  
3  QUIET WYATT 3 4 51¾ 52½   53½ 56¼ (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★ 19.55  
 
FE-3   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:223 :451       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  J M R GEMMA 3 3 2nk 11½   12½ 16½ (newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 2.00 21% 3.80 0.95 W
5  PENNIESFROMABOVE 5 2 42½ 44½   33½ 26½ (steer tom)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 7.30  
1  DANCE FOR GOLD 1 1 1nk 21½   22½ 38¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 ★ 7.80 S
6  DONTCALLMESWEETY 6 4 32 34   44½ 49½ (newland george)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.60  
4  CHANCEWORTHTAKING 4 6 65 65½   66 512¾ (raghunath eric)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 ★ 8.65  
2  ELITE PRINCESS 2 5 53½ 54½   55½ 612¾ (desruisseaux allen)MORAN DAVID 118 8.00 14% 6.20 5.80  
 
FE-4   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:33
:224 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PLEASURE'S GOLD 5 7 51¾ 2nk   11 12 (attard tino)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50 22% 3.50 6.40 W
2  SOUPER FLASHY 2 3 64¼ 75¾   53½ 22 (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 9% 10.50 0.95 P
7  AMERICAN GAMBLE 7 5 2nk 1nk   21 33¼ (depaulo p)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 4.50 ★ 6.55 S
3  DIXIE MORNING 3 6 74¼ 54½   43½ 43½ (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 118 12.00 5% 18.20 15.55  
4  BREATHING FIRE 4 1 41½ 41½   32 54 (attard c)STEIN JUSTIN 122 1.80 41% 1.40 2.30  
1  NADIABIZNIZ 1 4 31 64¾   75½ 611½ (thompson o)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 36.20  
6  EXECUTIVE EFFECT 6 2 1nk 31   64 713¾ (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 118 8.00 19.20  
 
FE-5   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
:223 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY OF NO 1 4 31½ 31½   1½ 1½ (bailey j)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 ★ 5.20  
3  TORPEDO MAX 3 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 2½ (keen howard)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 17% 5.00 2.40 P
6  CHASING VINNY 4 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 0.65 DH
2  PUGIN 2 3 45½ 46½   44 43½ (patykewich alexander)HOYTE JASON 120 3.00 ★ 5.20  
SCR  FAFA FOOEY               (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  MALIBU SECRET               (raghunath b)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
FE-6   09/13/2022 5610ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
:24 :48 1:13 1:411   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUPER CHIANTI 5 3 52 42 3½ 11 15 (neubauer michaela)WILSON JAYNE 120 10.00 6.25  
3  GRAND PRIZE 3 1 2nk 31 42 21 25 (sullivan elliott)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
1  TIZ MY RIGHT 1 7 62½ 63½ 76 41½ 35 (keen howard)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00 15.40  
9  MAKE NO MISTAKE 7 5 73½ 74 65 72¼ 46 (robillard julie)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.00 69% 0.50 4.65  
2  HASN'T HIT ME YET 2 2 41½ 52½ 53 61¾ 56¾ (maynard desmond)KING MARIE 120 5.00 ★ 15.40  
4  PRINCESS HALIME 4 6 31 21 1nk 51¾ 69¾ (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 5% 17.30 1.80  
10  DOODLE DANDY 8 10 105¾ 86 87½ 82¾ 710½ (hoad lindsey)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00 27.60  
6  FRERET 6 4 1nk 11 2nk 31½ 810¾ (fournier mark)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 5.70  
12  NEW YORK COMMANDER 10 8 84½ 97½ 911 94¼ 913 (mustoe cindy)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 40.80  
11  SAVVY'S SISTER 9 9 95½ 108½ 1011¼ 104½ 1013¾ (loescher paula)WENC C 120 12.00 12.75  
SCR  CAPOEIRA               (ezra daryl)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  CLASSY MISTRESS               (meli salvatore)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
SCR  HI HONEY               (dixon patrick)JONES SLADE 120 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MORO               (buttigieg kevin)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/13/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:232 :47 1:132 1:41   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ASCOT BAY 6 5 52¼ 55½ 33½ 1½ 11¾ (fairlie h)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 1.80 ★ 1.70  
1  TIMMINS 1 1 1nk 21 11 2½ 21¾ (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 10% 8.60 3.45 P
4  MILWAUKEE BAY 4 2 3.2 11 21 31 34½ (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 115 6.00 ★ 2.50 S
2  STREET MAX 2 3 41¼ 44½ 47 46 49½ (powell a)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 DH
5  HIGH RESERVE 5 6 63¾ 610½ 515 58 49½ (williams a)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00 20.35 DH
3  CONGRATS EXTENSION 3 4 2nk 34 6100 6100 6100 (neubauer michaela)PINTO MELANIE 115 3.00 61% 0.60 4.50  
 
FE-8   09/13/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:231 :454 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STRONG ENDING 9 1 11½ 11   1½ 11½ (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 10% 8.90 3.00 W
1  LETTING LOOSE 1 9 913¾ 810¼   53 21½ (agostino george)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 18.25  
3  DILETTANTE 3 6 41¾ 42½   31 31½ (drexler martin)CARROLL DECLAN 120 6.00 50% 1.00 4.65 S
7  STRIKING MOON 7 4 31½ 21   2½ 42½ (voyce jeff)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
2  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 2 8 63¾ 64¾   63 56¼ (agostino george)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 ★ 7.90  
5  TYCOON 5 5 21½ 31   42½ 69 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 11% 8.00 3.15  
6  MONEY MATTERS 6 3 74¾ 54½   73¼ 710½ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 19.20  
8  DE ONLY SOLUTION 8 2 52¾ 76¾   84¾ 812 (raghunath b)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 31.30  
4  MOBILIZER 4 7 87¾ 910¼   914¾ 926½ (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 116 20.00 37.05  
SCR  DOCTOR WU               (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 116 20.00    
 
FE-9   09/13/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
:232 :47 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLAWLESS PINK 1 4 1½ 11½   11½ 11 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 3.70  
3  FORMENTOR 2 5 31 21½   21½ 21 (siddo barrington)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 6.00 9% 9.80 2.35 P
8  LUNATICA 6 1 65 56   57 313½ (wieczorek kendra)BUCHANAN Z 118 4.00 50% 1.00 5.35 S
5  TERRIFIC LADY 4 3 2½ 32½   36½ 418¼ (wieczorek kendra)ALDERSON IAN 118 2.50 3.50  
4  BABY DRIVER 3 6 44 44½   46½ 519 (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 113 8.00 10% 9.10 2.50  
7  MAHONE BAY 5 2 54 69   68½ 622¼ (jolin chris)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 ★ 26.65  
SCR  I AM I SAID               (russiani carrie)JADOO STEVE 120 10.00    
SCR  SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA               (lafond e)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
FE-10   09/13/2022 6270ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
:23 :472 1:114 1:373   1:58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF LOVE 1 5 21 2½ 21 11 1¾ (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 126 5.00 21% 3.90 2.55 W
2  IRONSTONE 2 6 11 1½ 11 21 2¾ (armata v)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 1.60 35% 1.90 1.30 P
6  ICE ROAD 6 3 51¼ 41½ 34 34½ 36¾ (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 126 15.00 40.70  
4  FAST FEET 4 4 73¾ 52½ 67 44½ 47¼ (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 126 8.00 ★ 12.65  
3  COLLABORATIVE 3 1 31 31 45½ 54¾ 510¾ (raghunath b)SALLES LEO 126 30.00 48.45  
7  HUNT MASTER 7 2 62¼ 64½ 57 611¼ 6100 (buntain angus)WILSON JAYNE 126 15.00 ★ 8.30  
5  SIR FOR SURE 5 7 41¼ 7100 7100 7100 7100 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 126 1.40 24% 3.20 2.65  
 
FE-11   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:223 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ACE DESTROYER 4 3 41¼ 31   11 11¾ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 15% 5.60 4.25 W
2  ALACRITOUS 2 1 3.2 42½   21 21¾ (dixon patrick)JONES SLADE 115 6.00 11% 7.90 1.75 P
1  TALL WATER 1 5 1nk 1nk   52½ 32¼ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★ 23.85 S
6  TOMATO BILL 5 4 52¾ 52¾   62¾ 42½ (simms c)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 12% 7.40 2.05  
7  CRAFTY CONQUEST 6 8 63¼ 62¾   31 52½ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.50 5.80  
9  EVER SO D'WILD 8 6 75¾ 74¾   74¼ 69¼ (davis jennifer)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 115 15.00 14.65  
8  RED MAPLE 7 2 2nk 2nk   42 79¾ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 21.50  
3  OUR ZUMA 3 7 88¾ 815¾   87¼ 812½ (agostino george)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00 25.20  
SCR  BLOCKBUSTER               (husbands anthony)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.