Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMBALA 5 1 1 12   13 1 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 1.80  
APPOINTED 4 2 44 45   33 2 (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 115 4.50 10% 8.80 3.65 P
LOADED ONCE MORE 3 3 32 22   23 3 (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 120 5.00 13.40 S
PAO DE QUEIJO 1 4 2 3   4 49 (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 26% 2.80 2.30  
IMA DAREDEVIL 2 5 57 5   5 512¼ (robillard julie)HOYTE JASON 120 2.00 34% 1.90 2.75  
 
FE-2   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:224 :46 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY HOLIDAY 4 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.30 7.50 W
UNCLE JOE 2 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 2nk (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.65 P
SILENT RUNNER 5 2 4 31   31 31 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 124 1.80 11% 8.30 1.10 S
MR CROWLEY 1 5 3 4   4 42 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50 2.40  
QUIET WYATT 3 4 5 5   5 5 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 19.55  
 
FE-3   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :451       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J M R GEMMA 3 3 2nk 1   1 1 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 2.00 21% 3.80 0.95 W
PENNIESFROMABOVE 5 2 4 4   3 2 (steer )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 7.30  
DANCE FOR GOLD 1 1 1nk 2   2 3 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 7.80 S
DONTCALLMESWEETY 6 4 32 34   4 4 (newland georg)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.60  
CHANCEWORTHTAKING 4 6 65 6   66 512¾ (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 8.65  
ELITE PRINCESS 2 5 5 5   5 612¾ (desruisseaux al)MORAN DAVID 118 8.00 14% 6.20 5.80  
 
FE-4   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASURE'S GOLD 5 7 5 2nk   11 12 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50 22% 3.50 6.40 W
SOUPER FLASHY 2 3 6 7   5 22 (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 9% 10.50 0.95 P
AMERICAN GAMBLE 7 5 2nk 1nk   21 3 (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 4.50 6.55 S
DIXIE MORNING 3 6 7 5   4 4 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 118 12.00 5% 18.20 15.55  
BREATHING FIRE 4 1 4 4   32 54 (attard c)STEIN JUSTIN 122 1.80 41% 1.40 2.30  
NADIABIZNIZ 1 4 31 6   7 611½ (thomps)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 36.20  
EXECUTIVE EFFECT 6 2 1nk 31   64 713¾ (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 118 8.00 19.20  
 
FE-5   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY OF NO 1 4 3 3   1½ 1½ (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 5.20  
TORPEDO MAX 3 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 2½ (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 17% 5.00 2.40 P
CHASING VINNY 4 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (chudobiak gar)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 0.65 DH
PUGIN (IRE) 2 3 4 4   44 4 (patykewich alex)HOYTE JASON 120 3.00 5.20  
SCR  FAFA FOOEY               (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  MALIBU SECRET               (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
FE-6   09/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:411   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHIANTI 5 3 52 42 3½ 11 15 (neubauer )WILSON JAYNE 120 10.00 6.25  
GRAND PRIZE 3 1 2nk 31 42 21 25 (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
TIZ MY RIGHT 1 7 6 6 76 4 35 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00 15.40  
MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) 7 5 7 74 65 7 46 (robillard ju)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.00 69% 0.50 4.65  
HASN'T HIT ME YET 2 2 4 5 53 6 5 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 5.00 15.40  
PRINCESS HALIME 4 6 31 21 1nk 5 6 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 5% 17.30 1.80  
10  DOODLE DANDY 8 10 10 86 8 8 710½ (hoad lindsey)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00 27.60  
FRERET 6 4 1nk 11 2nk 3 810¾ (fournier mark)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 5.70  
12  NEW YORK COMMANDER 10 8 8 9 911 9 913 (mustoe cindy)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 40.80  
11  SAVVY'S SISTER 9 9 9 10 1011¼ 10 1013¾ (loescher pa)WENC C 120 12.00 12.75  
SCR  CAPOEIRA               (ezra daryl)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 20.00    
SCR  CLASSY MISTRESS               (meli s)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
SCR  HI HONEY               (dixon patrick)JONES SLADE 120 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MORO               (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:132 1:41   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASCOT BAY 6 5 5 5 3 1½ 1 (fairlie sc)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 1.80 1.70  
TIMMINS 1 1 1nk 21 11 2½ 2 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 10% 8.60 3.45 P
MILWAUKEE BAY 4 2 3.2 11 21 31 3 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 115 6.00 2.50 S
STREET MAX 2 3 4 4 47 46 4 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 DH
HIGH RESERVE 5 6 6 610½ 515 58 4 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00 20.35 DH
CONGRATS EXTENSION 3 4 2nk 34 6100 6100 6100 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 115 3.00 61% 0.60 4.50  
 
FE-8   09/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STRONG ENDING 9 1 1 11   1½ 1 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 10% 8.90 3.00 W
LETTING LOOSE 1 9 913¾ 810¼   53 2 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 18.25  
DILETTANTE 3 6 4 4   31 3 (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 120 6.00 50% 1.00 4.65 S
STRIKING MOON 7 4 3 21   2½ 4 (voyce jeff)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 2 8 6 6   63 5 (agostino roy)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 7.90  
TYCOON (GB) 5 5 2 31   4 69 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 11% 8.00 3.15  
MONEY MATTERS 6 3 7 5   7 710½ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 19.20  
DE ONLY SOLUTION 8 2 5 7   8 812 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 31.30  
MOBILIZER 4 7 8 910¼   914¾ 926½ (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 116 20.00 37.05  
SCR  DOCTOR WU               (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 116 20.00    
 
FE-9   09/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS PINK 1 4 1½ 1   1 11 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 3.70  
FORMENTOR 2 5 31 2   2 21 (siddo barring)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 6.00 9% 9.80 2.35 P
LUNATICA 6 1 65 56   57 313½ (wieczore)BUCHANAN Z 118 4.00 50% 1.00 5.35 S
TERRIFIC LADY 4 3 2½ 3   3 418¼ (wieczo)ALDERSON IAN 118 2.50 3.50  
BABY DRIVER 3 6 44 4   4 519 (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 113 8.00 10% 9.10 2.50  
MAHONE BAY 5 2 54 69   6 622¼ (jolin chris)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 26.65  
SCR  I AM I SAID               (russiani carrie)JADOO STEVE 120 10.00    
SCR  SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA               (lafond renico)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
FE-10   09/13/2022 6270ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:114 1:373   1:58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF LOVE 1 5 21 2½ 21 11 1¾ (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 126 5.00 21% 3.90 2.55 W
IRONSTONE 2 6 11 1½ 11 21 2¾ (armata v)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 1.60 35% 1.90 1.30 P
ICE ROAD 6 3 5 4 34 3 3 (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 126 15.00 40.70  
FAST FEET 4 4 7 5 67 4 4 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 126 8.00 12.65  
COLLABORATIVE 3 1 31 31 4 5 510¾ (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 126 30.00 48.45  
HUNT MASTER 7 2 6 6 57 611¼ 6100 (buntain a)WILSON JAYNE 126 15.00 8.30  
SIR FOR SURE 5 7 4 7100 7100 7100 7100 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 126 1.40 24% 3.20 2.65  
 
FE-11   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:223 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE DESTROYER 4 3 4 31   11 1 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 15% 5.60 4.25 W
ALACRITOUS 2 1 3.2 4   21 2 (dixon patrick)JONES SLADE 115 6.00 11% 7.90 1.75 P
TALL WATER 1 5 1nk 1nk   5 3 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 23.85 S
TOMATO BILL 5 4 5 5   6 4 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 12% 7.40 2.05  
CRAFTY CONQUEST 6 8 6 6   31 5 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.50 5.80  
EVER SO D'WILD 8 6 7 7   7 6 (davis jenn)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 115 15.00 14.65  
RED MAPLE 7 2 2nk 2nk   42 7 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 21.50  
OUR ZUMA 3 7 8 815¾   8 812½ (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00 25.20  
SCR  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG)               (husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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