Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAO DE QUEIJO Aug16 Jan14       (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  IMA DAREDEVIL Aug20 Jul14 Jun25 Jun04   (robillard julie)HOYTE JASON 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  LOADED ONCE MORE Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 120 5.00 ★    
4  APPOINTED Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 May12 Apr24 (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 115 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  GIMBALA Aug30 Aug16 Jun28 Jun07 Apr24 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 ★    
 
FE-2   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR CROWLEY Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 Jun04 May07 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
2  UNCLE JOE Aug12 Jul17 Jun19 Jun02 May01 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  QUIET WYATT Aug30 Jul19 Jul10 Jun19 May27 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★    
4  BOSSY HOLIDAY Aug12 Jun10 May20     (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  SILENT RUNNER Aug12 Jun11 May01     (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 124 1.80 11% 8.30    
 
FE-3   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE FOR GOLD Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 May31 May06 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 ★    
2  ELITE PRINCESS Sep02 Aug19 May26 May07   (desruisseaux al)MORAN DAVID 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
3  J M R GEMMA Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 Jun30 Jun11 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  CHANCEWORTHTAKING Aug29 Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 May27 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 ★    
5  PENNIESFROMABOVE Aug08 Jul05       (steer )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
6  DONTCALLMESWEETY Aug23 Aug14 Jul26 Jul08 May26 (newland georg)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
FE-4   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NADIABIZNIZ Aug18 Jul09 Jun18 May29   (thomps)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
2  SOUPER FLASHY Aug14 Jul24 Jun11 May12   (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
3  DIXIE MORNING Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 May28 May08 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 118 12.00 5% 18.20    
4  BREATHING FIRE Aug12 Jul09 Jun09 May20 Apr23 (attard c)STEIN JUSTIN 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
5  PLEASURE'S GOLD Aug12 Jul16 Jun12 May21   (attard tino)HERNANDEZ R 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  EXECUTIVE EFFECT Aug27 Jul21       (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 118 8.00    
7  AMERICAN GAMBLE Aug12 Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 May08 (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 4.50 ★    
 
FE-5   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY OF NO Sep06 Aug30 Aug14 Aug08 Jul25 (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 ★    
2  PUGIN (IRE) Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun05 (patykewich alex)HOYTE JASON 120 3.00 ★    
3  TORPEDO MAX Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 May31 (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MALIBU SECRET Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 May22 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  FAFA FOOEY Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
6  CHASING VINNY Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 Jun13 (chudobiak gar)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
 
FE-6   09/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MY RIGHT Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00    
2  HASN'T HIT ME YET Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 5.00 ★    
3  GRAND PRIZE Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun03 May21 (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINCESS HALIME Aug30 Aug08 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 5% 17.30    
5  SUPER CHIANTI Aug30 Aug14 May03 Mar06 Feb12 (neubauer )WILSON JAYNE 120 10.00    
6  FRERET Aug30 Aug02 Jul14 Jun26 Jun09 (fournier mark)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00    
SCR  CLASSY MISTRESS Sep05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 (meli s)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
SCR  CAPOEIRA Aug08 Jun28 Jun02     (ezra daryl)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 20.00 ★    
9  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Aug23 Aug16 Jul30 Jul13 Jun22 (robillard ju)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.00 69% 0.50    
10  DOODLE DANDY Aug30 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 (hoad lindsey)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
11  SAVVY'S SISTER Aug14 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (loescher pa)WENC C 120 12.00    
12  NEW YORK COMMANDER Sep01 Aug01 Jul17 Jun28 Jun13 (mustoe cindy)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MORO Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
SCR  HI HONEY Aug06 Jul19 Jun27 Jun05 May15 (dixon patrick)JONES SLADE 120 8.00    
 
FE-7   09/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMMINS Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun19 Jun03 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 10% 8.60    
2  STREET MAX Aug29 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28   (powe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CONGRATS EXTENSION         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 115 3.00 61% 0.60    
4  MILWAUKEE BAY Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 Jun05   (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 115 6.00 ★    
5  HIGH RESERVE Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 Jun14 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 10.00    
6  ASCOT BAY Aug29 Aug19 Jul24 Jun30 Jun03 (fairlie sc)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 1.80 ★    
 
FE-8   09/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETTING LOOSE Aug16 Aug05 Jun28     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00    
2  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 (agostino roy)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
3  DILETTANTE Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 120 6.00 50% 1.00    
4  MOBILIZER Aug01 Jul12 Jun11 May14   (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 116 20.00    
5  TYCOON (GB) Sep05 Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 Jun26 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
6  MONEY MATTERS Aug23 Aug05 Jun28     (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00    
7  STRIKING MOON Aug23 Jul28 Jun27 Jun21 Jun05 (voyce jeff)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  DE ONLY SOLUTION Aug30 Aug02 Jul15 Jun27 Jun13 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR WU Aug30 Aug08 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 (powell a)PINTO MELANIE 116 20.00    
10  STRONG ENDING Sep05 Aug23 Jun28 Jun13 Apr27 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 10% 8.90    
 
FE-9   09/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I AM I SAID Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 (russiani carrie)JADOO STEVE 120 10.00    
2  FLAWLESS PINK Aug09 Jul29 Jun26 Jun09 May12 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 8.00    
3  FORMENTOR Aug19 Aug11 May28 May15 Apr23 (siddo barring)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
4  BABY DRIVER Sep02 Aug19 Jul29     (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 113 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  TERRIFIC LADY Sep05 Jul29 Jul16     (wieczo)ALDERSON IAN 118 2.50    
SCR  SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (lafond renico)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 10% 9.00    
7  MAHONE BAY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09     (jolin chris)CRAWFORD J 118 15.00 ★    
8  LUNATICA Aug22         (wieczore)BUCHANAN Z 118 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
FE-10   09/13/2022 6270ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF LOVE Aug21 Jul24 Jul02 Jun12 May07 (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 126 5.00 21% 3.90    
2  IRONSTONE Aug21 Jul02 Jun12 May01   (armata v)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  COLLABORATIVE Aug14 Jul31 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 126 30.00    
4  FAST FEET Aug12 Jul01       (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 126 8.00 ★    
5  SIR FOR SURE Aug21 Jul24 Jun12 Feb05   (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 126 1.40 24% 3.20    
6  ICE ROAD Jul17 Jun17 May22     (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 126 15.00    
7  HUNT MASTER Aug21 Jul15 Jun02     (buntain a)WILSON JAYNE 126 15.00 ★    
 
FE-11   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALL WATER Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jun05 May20 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 ★    
2  ALACRITOUS Jul31 Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar21 (dixon patrick)JONES SLADE 115 6.00 11% 7.90    
3  OUR ZUMA Jul07 Jun19 Jun03 May19 May01 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00    
SCR  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG)         (husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00    
5  ACE DESTROYER Aug14 Jun27 May31 Feb23 Jan29 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 15% 5.60    
6  TOMATO BILL Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 May20 Mar27 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
7  CRAFTY CONQUEST Sep02 Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 May07 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
8  RED MAPLE Aug22 Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
9  EVER SO D'WILD Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 Jul08 Jun28 (davis jenn)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.