Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCE BREAKERS 4 1 12 14   1 1 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 23% 3.40 1.10 W
PATIO PARTY 3 4 22 24   2 2 (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 9.40 P
DETERMINATOR 2 5 5 4   47 311¼ (buttigieg )BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 12% 7.50 5.80 S
HARD N'SWEET 6 3 4 5   58 415¾ (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.30  
BRADY O'BRADY 5 2 32 35   3 518 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 7.35  
OUR ZUMA 1 6 6 614½   613 619¾ (agostino geor)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 12.95  
 
FE-2   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 6 2 33 2nk   12 16 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 118 4.00 5.70  
SPEEDY FIRE 3 1 22 32   3 26 (mitc)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 17% 4.90 7.10 P
LINDA LOVES LACE 1 3 4 1nk   22 37 (powell a)SINGH S 120 3.00 22% 3.60 5.80 S
CHANCEWORTHTAKING 5 4 12 43   43 410 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 19.10  
FORMENTOR 4 6 78 57   5 518¼ (siddo barringto)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 2.50 0.50  
LUNATICA 2 7 54 710¾   712 618¼ (wieczorek kendr)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 10% 9.00 20.40  
BABY DRIVER 7 5 65 6   610½ 720 (tomlinson norman)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 13% 6.80 26.70  
 
FE-3   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIME LOUIE 2 4 2nk 1   12 14 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 22% 3.60 6.90 W
MONEY MATTERS 4 6 5 4   43 24 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 8.00 1.25  
BE THE CHANGE 5 5 6 32   22 3 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 17% 4.90 10.30 S
FOUR KNIGHTS 1 7 7 6   6 4 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 4.80  
PARTY OF NO 7 2 4 2   32 5 (bailey j)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 20% 3.90 4.85  
SOFIA'S SLUGGER 3 1 31 53   5 613 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 7.30  
UNION COLONEL 6 3 1nk 77   710¾ 735 (newland george)SINGH S 120 10.00 16% 5.10 10.95  
 
FE-4   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 3 3 1nk 11   12 1 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00 3.75  
VERRAZANO LEGACY 4 2 43 44   22 2 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 11.45  
SAMUEL H 1 1 2nk 3   4 311 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 118 2.50 25% 3.10 1.60 S
WE WANT ACTION 2 5 31 21   3 412 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00 2.25  
SYNCHROMESH 5 4 54 57   56 512¼ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 29% 2.50 3.35  
SCR  MAYITO               (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  OMEGNA               (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 15.00    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART               (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
FE-5   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTION POINT 4 6 6 5   21 13 (davis jenn)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 42% 1.40 1.50 W
GUS'S GAMBLE 2 7 11 12   11 23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00 7.45  
INNUENDO (IRE) 7 3 89 710¾   5 36 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 8.00 15.75  
LETS SAY THIS 5 5 32 22   32 4 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 17% 4.80 11.20  
SEAQUELLE 6 2 45 45   4 5 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 117 3.00 9% 9.70 5.50  
BROADWAY SKY 1 9 5 610½   7 612¼ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 4.50  
MISTER MAX 8 4 917 916¼   8 714 (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00 5% 17.60 40.40  
SHAMBO 9 1 21 32   6 817 (newland george)SINGH S 118 10.00 4.85  
RUSHING RIVER 3 8 78 813¼   910½ 923¾ (agostino ge)DAVID MICHAEL 113 12.00 48.75  
 
FE-6   09/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MAPLE 5 2 3 1nk   11 1 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 14% 6.30 4.30 W
ABSTEMIOUS 6 6 6 5   4 2 (warner k)DAVID MICHAEL 115 10.00 5% 18.90 12.25 P
BABY LUNA 4 5 5 6   5 3 (williams a)JOHNSON KIRK 117 8.00 17.25  
ROYAL BIZ 3 4 4 4¾   21 4 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 3.25  
VOYANT 2 3 2 2nk   3 5 (alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.50 33% 2.00 0.70  
STERLING ICE 1 1 1 3.2   6 610¾ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 11.75  
SCR  BAHAMIAN DUDE               (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  MOBILIZER               (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE SAVVY 7 9 910¼ 79   5 1 (siddo barrington)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00 13.55  
LIME 3 2 3 3   1nk 2 (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 32% 2.10 10.50 P
PENNIESFROMABOVE 1 4 4 4   4 3 (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 34.00  
FLAWLESS PINK 5 3 55 5   6 45 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 7% 14.10 7.55  
J M R GEMMA 8 5 2½ 1nk   2nk 55 (newland george)SINGH S 118 2.50 5% 17.60 1.25  
J M R BOLD VISION 2 7 68 810   8 66 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 28.50  
JUNGLE GODDESS 6 1 1½ 2nk   31 7 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 20.00 29.75  
VOLATA 4 6 78 68   7 810¾ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 33% 2.10 2.25  
MS. P'S BELLA 9 8 810 912   98 918½ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 9.50  
 
FE-8   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:15     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACENZA 2 6 54 55   1½ 1¾ (ceccato sharon)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
DELIGHTFUL DREAMER 6 3 76 67   41 2¾ (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.80 P
10  CRUMLIN BIRD 8 2 1nk 1   2½ 3 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 24% 3.20 4.10 S
SHE AINT NO JOKE 3 8 31 2   31 4 (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 2.95  
QUIET ASCOT 4 5 4 45   52 5 (husbands anthon)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
FLEEKA 5 7 8 8   7 6 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 11.50  
11  MOMMA CARRIE 9 1 2nk 3   63 710 (macrae c)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 1.40  
RASPBERRY WILD 1 9 915½ 917½   9 813 (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 20.00 90.70  
FAIRY 7 4 6 7   8 916¾ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 50.10  
SCR  CORA               (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 120 20.00    
SCR  IF SIX WAS NINE               (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.