Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SILENCE BREAKERS 4 1 12 14   13½ 16¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 23% 3.40 1.10 W
3  PATIO PARTY 3 4 22 24   23½ 26¾ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 ★ 9.40 P
2  DETERMINATOR 2 5 54¾ 45½   47 311¼ (buttigie)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 12% 7.50 5.80 S
6  HARD N'SWEET 6 3 42¼ 55½   58 415¾ (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.30  
5  BRADY O'BRADY 5 2 32 35   36½ 518 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 7.35  
1  OUR ZUMA 1 6 68¾ 614½   613 619¾ (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 ★ 12.95  
 
FE-2   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 6 2 33 2nk   12 16 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 118 4.00 ★ 5.70  
3  SPEEDY FIRE 3 1 22 32   32½ 26 (mi)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 17% 4.90 7.10 P
1  LINDA LOVES LACE 1 3 43½ 1nk   22 37 (powell a)SINGH S 120 3.00 22% 3.60 5.80 S
5  CHANCEWORTHTAKING 5 4 12 43   43 410 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 19.10  
4  FORMENTOR 4 6 78 57   59½ 518¼ (siddo barring)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 2.50 0.50  
2  LUNATICA 2 7 54 710¾   712 618¼ (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 10% 9.00 20.40  
7  BABY DRIVER 7 5 65 67¼   610½ 720 (tomlinson norman)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 13% 6.80 26.70  
 
FE-3   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG TIME LOUIE 2 4 2nk 11½   12 14 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 22% 3.60 6.90 W
4  MONEY MATTERS 4 6 52½ 42½   43 24 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 8.00 1.25  
5  BE THE CHANGE 5 5 63½ 32   22 35½ (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 17% 4.90 10.30 S
1  FOUR KNIGHTS 1 7 74½ 63½   63¾ 45½ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 4.80  
7  PARTY OF NO 7 2 41½ 21½   32 56¾ (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 20% 3.90 4.85  
3  SOFIA'S SLUGGER 3 1 31 53   53½ 613 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 ★ 7.30  
6  UNION COLONEL 6 3 1nk 77   710¾ 735 (newland george)SINGH S 120 10.00 16% 5.10 10.95  
 
FE-4   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 3 3 1nk 11   12 15¾ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00 ★ 3.75  
6  VERRAZANO LEGACY 4 2 43 44   22 25¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 11.45  
2  SAMUEL H 1 1 2nk 33½   44½ 311 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 118 2.50 25% 3.10 1.60 S
3  WE WANT ACTION 2 5 31 21   33½ 412 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00 2.25  
7  SYNCHROMESH 5 4 54 57   56 512¼ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 29% 2.50 3.35  
SCR  MAYITO               (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  OMEGNA               (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 15.00    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART               (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
FE-5   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ACTION POINT 4 6 67½ 57½   21 13 (davis je)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 42% 1.40 1.50 W
2  GUS'S GAMBLE 2 7 11 12   11 23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00 7.45  
7  INNUENDO (IRE) 7 3 89 710¾   54½ 36 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 8.00 15.75  
5  LETS SAY THIS 5 5 32 22   32 46¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 17% 4.80 11.20  
6  SEAQUELLE 6 2 45 45   43½ 58¼ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 3.00 9% 9.70 5.50  
1  BROADWAY SKY 1 9 57½ 610½   76½ 612¼ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 4.50  
8  MISTER MAX 8 4 917 916¼   89½ 714 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00 5% 17.60 40.40  
9  SHAMBO 9 1 21 32   65½ 817 (newland george)SINGH S 118 10.00 ★ 4.85  
3  RUSHING RIVER 3 8 78 813¼   910½ 923¾ (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 113 12.00 48.75  
 
FE-6   09/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RED MAPLE 5 2 32½ 1nk   11 11¼ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 14% 6.30 4.30 W
7  ABSTEMIOUS 6 6 66½ 52¾   42½ 21¼ (warner robert)DAVID MICHAEL 115 10.00 5% 18.90 12.25 P
5  BABY LUNA 4 5 56½ 63¾   52½ 31¼ (williams noel )JOHNSON KIRK 117 8.00 17.25  
3  ROYAL BIZ 3 4 43½ 4¾   21 41½ (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 3.25  
2  VOYANT 2 3 21½ 2nk   31½ 52½ (alderson anthony)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.50 33% 2.00 0.70  
1  STERLING ICE 1 1 11½ 3.2   62¾ 610¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 ★ 11.75  
SCR  BAHAMIAN DUDE               (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  MOBILIZER               (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MORE SAVVY 7 9 910¼ 79   52¼ 12¾ (siddo barringto)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00 13.55  
3  LIME 3 2 31½ 31½   1nk 22¾ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 32% 2.10 10.50 P
1  PENNIESFROMABOVE 1 4 44½ 43½   41¼ 33½ (steer )ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 34.00  
5  FLAWLESS PINK 5 3 55 55½   62¼ 45 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 7% 14.10 7.55  
8  J M R GEMMA 8 5 2½ 1nk   2nk 55 (newland george)SINGH S 118 2.50 5% 17.60 1.25  
2  J M R BOLD VISION 2 7 68 810   84½ 66 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 28.50  
6  JUNGLE GODDESS 6 1 1½ 2nk   31 77½ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 20.00 29.75  
4  VOLATA 4 6 78 68   74¼ 810¾ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 33% 2.10 2.25  
9  MS. P'S BELLA 9 8 810 912   98 918½ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 ★ 9.50  
 
FE-8   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:15     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PACENZA 2 6 54 55   1½ 1¾ (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
8  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER 6 3 76 67   41 2¾ (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.80 P
10  CRUMLIN BIRD 8 2 1nk 11½   2½ 34¼ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 24% 3.20 4.10 S
4  SHE AINT NO JOKE 3 8 31 21½   31 45½ (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 2.95  
6  QUIET ASCOT 4 5 43½ 45   52 56¾ (husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
7  FLEEKA 5 7 89½ 89½   73¼ 67½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 11.50  
11  MOMMA CARRIE 9 1 2nk 32½   63 710 (macrae c)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 1.40  
1  RASPBERRY WILD 1 9 915½ 917½   98¼ 813 (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 20.00 90.70  
9  FAIRY 7 4 64½ 78½   87¼ 916¾ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 50.10  
SCR  CORA               (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 120 20.00    
SCR  IF SIX WAS NINE               (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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