Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR ZUMA Sep13 Jul07 Jun19 Jun03 May19 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 ★    
2  DETERMINATOR Aug29 Aug01 Apr12 Apr02 Mar09 (buttigie)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
3  PATIO PARTY Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 Jun21 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 ★    
4  SILENCE BREAKERS Aug30 Jul07 Jun19     (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  BRADY O'BRADY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00    
6  HARD N'SWEET Sep12 Aug23 Aug09     (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
FE-2   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDA LOVES LACE Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 Jun11 (powell a)SINGH S 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  LUNATICA Sep13 Aug22       (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 10% 9.00    
3  SPEEDY FIRE Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14 (mi)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  FORMENTOR Sep13 Aug19 Aug11 May28 May15 (siddo barring)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 2.50    
5  CHANCEWORTHTAKING Sep13 Aug29 Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00    
6  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Sep20 Aug09 Jul21 Jun23 May26 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 118 4.00 ★    
7  BABY DRIVER Sep13 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29   (tomlinson norman)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 13% 6.80    
 
FE-3   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUR KNIGHTS Sep05 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun28 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00    
2  BIG TIME LOUIE Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 Jun07 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Aug22 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun28 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 ★    
4  MONEY MATTERS Sep13 Aug23 Aug05 Jun28   (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 8.00    
5  BE THE CHANGE Sep06 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 Jun13 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  UNION COLONEL Aug29 Jul22 Jul05 Jun19   (newland george)SINGH S 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
7  PARTY OF NO Sep13 Sep06 Aug30 Aug14 Aug08 (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
FE-4   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWICE AS SMART Sep16 Aug08 Jul12 Jun18 Jun10 (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  SAMUEL H Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun19 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  WE WANT ACTION Aug30 Aug08 Jul26     (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00    
4  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Sep05 Aug04 Jul12 Jul01 Jun10 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  MAYITO Sep18 Aug29       (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 7% 13.20    
6  VERRAZANO LEGACY Sep12 Aug30 Aug01     (ceccato sharon)HOYTE JASON 118 10.00    
7  SYNCHROMESH Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  OMEGNA Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 15.00    
 
FE-5   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY SKY Sep01 Jul21 Jun04 Apr23   (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00    
2  GUS'S GAMBLE Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 Jul19 Jun28 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00    
3  RUSHING RIVER Aug22 Jul26       (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 113 12.00    
4  ACTION POINT Sep06 Aug26 Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 (davis je)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  LETS SAY THIS Sep06 Aug22 Jul26     (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  SEAQUELLE Sep12 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 3.00 9% 9.70    
7  INNUENDO (IRE) Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 8.00    
8  MISTER MAX         (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00 5% 17.60    
9  SHAMBO Sep15 Jul26 Jul11 Jun04   (newland george)SINGH S 118 10.00 ★    
 
FE-6   09/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STERLING ICE Aug22 Jul26 Jul17 Jun19 May31 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 ★    
2  VOYANT Sep20 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 (alderson anthony)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  ROYAL BIZ Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jan15 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
SCR  BAHAMIAN DUDE Aug16 Jul25 Jun21 May20 Apr06 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  BABY LUNA Aug30 Aug02 Jul19     (williams noel )JOHNSON KIRK 117 8.00    
6  RED MAPLE Sep13 Aug22 Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
7  ABSTEMIOUS Sep20 Sep12 Aug30     (warner robert)DAVID MICHAEL 115 10.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  MOBILIZER Sep13 Aug01 Jul12 Jun11 May14 (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNIESFROMABOVE Sep13 Aug08 Jul05     (steer )ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
2  J M R BOLD VISION Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jul17 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
3  LIME Sep06 Aug29 Aug02 Jul17 Jun23 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  VOLATA Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  FLAWLESS PINK Sep13 Aug09 Jul29 Jun26 Jun09 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 7% 14.10    
6  JUNGLE GODDESS Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 Jun07 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 20.00    
7  MORE SAVVY Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (siddo barringto)HOYTE JASON 120 12.00    
8  J M R GEMMA Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 Jun30 (newland george)SINGH S 118 2.50 5% 17.60    
9  MS. P'S BELLA Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 ★    
 
FE-8   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RASPBERRY WILD Jun27         (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 20.00    
SCR  IF SIX WAS NINE Sep12 Aug23 Jun27     (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  PACENZA Sep06 Aug23 Jul30 Jun26 May21 (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE AINT NO JOKE Sep12 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul25 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 118 3.00    
SCR  CORA Sep20 Aug29 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 120 20.00    
6  QUIET ASCOT Sep06 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 (husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLEEKA Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Aug01 Jul21 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50    
8  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  FAIRY Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Feb23 (loescher pa)WENC C 120 15.00    
10  CRUMLIN BIRD Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 24% 3.20    
11  MOMMA CARRIE Sep09 Aug06 Jul09 Jun18 May15 (macrae c)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.