Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ICE FLOE 5 2 12½ 12 11 11½ 15 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 11% 7.90 9.95 W
2  PURE ELEGANCE 2 5 53¾ 42½ 21 21½ 25 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 39% 1.60 1.65 P
3  CEEBETT'S BOW 3 1 22½ 32 45½ 44½ 39¼ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 14% 6.10 1.55 S
4  COCOTARA 4 3 32½ 22 34 34½ 49¾ (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.00 ★ 2.95  
1  MARVEL 1 4 43½ 53½ 56½ 58½ 519¼ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 ★ 9.10  
 
FE-2   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:222 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 2 1 11½ 12   13½ 14¼ (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 2.00 11% 8.20 1.35 W
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 5 3 31½ 32½   33½ 24¼ (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 1.80 44% 1.30 2.00 P
1  FOURTEEN DAYS 1 2 21½ 22   23½ 35 (thomps)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 20% 4.10 1.85 S
3  DEVIL IN HER HEART 3 4 45½ 45½   44 45½ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 ★ 13.35  
4  TERRIFIC LADY 4 5 56½ 57½   57½ 58½ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 ★ 28.15  
 
FE-3   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:233 :472       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CRUMLIN JET 5 4 2nk 1½   11 1¾ (chudobiak gar)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 ★ 3.90  
3  ONLY BELIEVE 3 5 62¼ 2½   21 2¾ (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 7% 13.00 7.55 P
1  MY LAST DREAM 1 1 31½ 42½   42½ 33½ (maynar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 5.20  
2  NUMBER ONE HIT 2 6 41¾ 3½   32½ 48½ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 ★ 4.35  
6  BURMESE 6 3 1nk 53½   56 515¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40  
4  MISS LEGS 4 2 52¼ 65½   68 616 (loesch)ALDERSON IAN 115 8.00 24% 3.10 6.95  
 
FE-4   10/03/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:142     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WILLIAM BOY 3 2 43½ 42½   11 11¼ (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 3.30  
2  WILEY O'RIELLY 1 5 66 65   21 21¼ (chudobiak )KING MARIE 120 3.00 18% 4.40 7.35 P
5  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) 4 6 54½ 53   43 34 (husbands anthony)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 6.65  
3  DE ONLY SOLUTION 2 3 1nk 11   31 45¾ (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 0.95  
7  PARTY OF NO 6 1 3½ 31½   54½ 515¼ (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 36% 1.80 6.05  
6  CAPTAIN SIDNEY 5 4 2nk 21   68 6100 (carter doug)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 20% 4.00 11.15  
SCR  FEDERAL LAW               (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 ★    
 
FE-5   10/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:123 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED CRAZY 1 2 33 31½ 11½ 11½ 11¾ (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 2.50 1.75  
3  MY REDEMPTION 3 6 54 42 34½ 21½ 21¾ (attard jamie)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 4.50 42% 1.40 4.70 P
2  MY BOY CHRISTIAN 2 4 11 11 21½ 33½ 311¼ (desouza bancrof)JADOO STEVE 120 8.00 7% 13.90 4.75 S
4  LATE SURGE 4 7 712½ 711½ 713 47 414½ (depaulo michael)BOULANGER G 118 5.00 11% 7.80 3.95  
5  CAM WOOLLEY 5 1 21 21 48 67¼ 515½ (mcpherson alex)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 4.05  
6  SLIGO CALLING 6 5 67½ 69½ 612 77¾ 618¼ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 9% 10.30 12.50  
7  SALT MINE TEDDY 7 3 43 54 58 57 722½ (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 ★ 42.00  
 
FE-6   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LINDA LOVES LACE 6 5 55 53   32 1nk (po)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 15% 5.50 2.80 W
2  SPEEDY FIRE 2 2 42 3½   12 2nk (mitchell joan)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 ★ 3.35 P
1  A. A. SWEET CHILLI 1 1 1nk 1½   22 34 (desruisseaux dal)SALLES LEO 118 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 S
3  CHALDEA 3 6 67½ 65½   43 44¼ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 ★ 24.90  
5  DANCE FOR GOLD 5 3 31½ 41½   53½ 59¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 14% 6.30 12.35  
4  THE GREEN PLANET 4 4 2nk 2½   65 623¾ (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 10.75  
 
FE-7   10/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JOCULARITY 4 3 1nk 11   11½ 13 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 ★ 2.30  
2  THY KINGDOM 2 6 54¼ 55   43½ 23 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 32% 2.10 1.30 P
3  C BY THE SEA 3 5 41¾ 44   33 33 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 7.60  
5  RADCLIFFE 5 4 31½ 31½   21½ 43¼ (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 12.00 22.00  
6  KING OF AWESOME 6 2 75¾ 79½   76½ 58½ (albu ken)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00 ★ 15.25  
1  CORA 1 7 64¼ 65   54 69½ (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 117 6.00 ★ 14.35  
7  MAMMOTH SPRING 7 1 2nk 21   65 716½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 37% 1.70 4.15  
 
FE-8   10/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:141     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAXIMUM DANGER 6 2 11½ 13½ 17 15½ 14 (leblan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.50 17% 5.00 1.80 W
8  MAYITO 7 7 64½ 56½ 27 25½ 24 (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 13% 6.50 4.30 P
9  SYNCHROMESH 8 8 75½ 68 410 39½ 37½ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 12% 7.10 5.60 S
4  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 4 3 43 45½ 511 412½ 416¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 6.30  
2  DYNAMIC MISSION 2 6 85½ 89¼ 612 613½ 519 (rabstein claud)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 8.00  
1  ARTIE'S ALL IN 1 1 54 78¼ 715½ 715 630¼ (crete )ALDERSON IAN 118 12.00 6.80  
3  PRINCESS LAVENDER 3 5 21½ 23½ 310 512½ 732¼ (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 115 6.00 11% 8.50 7.50  
5  OMEGNA 5 4 32 35½ 819½ 827 855¼ (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 10.00 43.20  
SCR  SASKATCHEWAN               (attard kevin)JONES SLADE 115 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
FE-9   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:223 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOADED ONCE MORE 4 3 64½ 66   42 1hd (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 122 3.00 25% 3.10 1.90 W
5  HOLD THE APPLAUSE 5 1 11 1nk   1nk 2hd (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 26% 2.80 0.90 P
7  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 7 2 21 2nk   2nk 3.15 (davies)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00 22.80  
6  SHOW SOME SKIN 6 5 53 32   31 43 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 7% 12.90 9.20  
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET 1 4 32 42½   52¼ 56 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 4.00 ★ 5.85  
2  ALLPAIDUP 2 6 42½ 54   62¾ 67 (thompson randy )MORENO OMAR 118 8.00 29.20  
3  BLONDE ATTITUDE 3 7 78½ 710½   76¼ 711½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 12% 7.20 35.40  
 
FE-10   10/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:123 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOQUACIOUS 2 3 52¼ 43 42 2nk 1nk (davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 6% 16.80 3.95 W
1  CALMING INFLUENCE 1 2 11 11½ 1½ 1nk 2nk (jolin ch)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 6.95  
6  FADE AWAY 6 8 64¾ 53½ 32 41¼ 32¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 ★ 4.40 S
8  A I INITIATIVE 8 5 42 63½ 66 52¼ 44¼ (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.00 27% 2.70 8.45  
7  DEEP EXPLORER 7 4 32 32½ 55 63¼ 56½ (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
9  BOCELLI (IRE) 9 7 76¾ 96¾ 76¼ 73¼ 68¼ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 25.05  
5  DIAMONDBACK 5 1 21 21½ 2½ 3.2 711 (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 3.85  
3  ENGLISH CLASSIC 3 9 87¼ 76 87¼ 85¼ 814¾ (carter)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.25  
4  DOODLE DANDY 4 6 97¼ 86½ 911¼ 97¼ 924 (hoad lindse)WENC C 117 20.00 53.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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