Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVEL Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 ★    
2  PURE ELEGANCE Aug30 Aug08 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  CEEBETT'S BOW Sep12 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul17 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 14% 6.10    
4  COCOTARA Aug30 Aug14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.00 ★    
5  ICE FLOE Sep19 Aug30 Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 11% 7.90    
 
FE-2   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOURTEEN DAYS Sep18 Jul14 Jun18 May21 Apr16 (thomps)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Sep12 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 Jun10 (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 2.00 11% 8.20    
3  DEVIL IN HER HEART Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Aug01 Jul07 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 ★    
4  TERRIFIC LADY Sep13 Sep05 Jul29 Jul16   (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 ★    
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 Jul04 Jun19 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
FE-3   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LAST DREAM Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Aug16 Jul26 (maynar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50    
2  NUMBER ONE HIT Sep05 Apr30       (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 ★    
3  ONLY BELIEVE Sep20 Aug22 Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
4  MISS LEGS         (loescher paul)DAVID MICHAEL 115 8.00 24% 3.10    
5  CRUMLIN JET Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 Jul17   (chudobiak gar)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 ★    
6  BURMESE Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 Jun27   (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
FE-4   10/03/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEDERAL LAW Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Aug09 Aug02 (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 ★    
2  WILEY O'RIELLY Sep06 Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 (chudobiak )KING MARIE 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
3  DE ONLY SOLUTION Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul15 Jun27 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILLIAM BOY Sep18 Jul25 May21 Apr23 Apr03 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
5  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG)         (husbands anthony)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
6  CAPTAIN SIDNEY Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 (carter doug)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  PARTY OF NO Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 Aug30 Aug14 (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
FE-5   10/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED CRAZY Aug29 Aug18 Jul24 Jun26 Jun04 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 2.50    
2  MY BOY CHRISTIAN Sep23 Sep11 Jul22 Jun30 Jun11 (desouza bancrof)JADOO STEVE 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
3  MY REDEMPTION Sep23 Aug26 Aug19 Jul24 Jun11 (attard jamie)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 4.50 42% 1.40    
4  LATE SURGE Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul15 (depaulo michael)BOULANGER G 118 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  CAM WOOLLEY Sep25 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 (mcpherson alex)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00    
6  SLIGO CALLING Sep19 Sep06 Aug02 Jul26 Jul11 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.50 9% 10.30    
7  SALT MINE TEDDY Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 Aug01 Jul25 (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 ★    
 
FE-6   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A. A. SWEET CHILLI Sep16 Jul29 Jul09 Jun16 May22 (desruisseaux dal)SALLES LEO 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
2  SPEEDY FIRE Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 (mitchell joan)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.50 ★    
3  CHALDEA Jul17 Jun27       (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 ★    
4  THE GREEN PLANET Sep12 Sep06 Aug14 Aug01 Jun26 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00    
5  DANCE FOR GOLD Sep13 Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 May31 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  LINDA LOVES LACE Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 (po)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
FE-7   10/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORA Sep20 Aug29 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 117 6.00 ★    
2  THY KINGDOM Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug14 Jul25 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  C BY THE SEA Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00    
4  JOCULARITY Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 Jul05 Mar16 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 ★    
5  RADCLIFFE Sep20 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 May31 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 12.00    
6  KING OF AWESOME Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 Aug01 Jul12 (albu ken)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00 ★    
7  MAMMOTH SPRING Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug02 Jul15 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
FE-8   10/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIE'S ALL IN Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 (crete )ALDERSON IAN 118 12.00    
2  DYNAMIC MISSION Sep23 Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 (rabstein clau)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 8.00    
3  PRINCESS LAVENDER Sep20 Aug22 Aug11 Jul19 Jun27 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 115 6.00 11% 8.50    
4  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Sep19 Sep01 Aug13 Jul15 Jun19 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50    
5  OMEGNA Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 10.00    
SCR  SASKATCHEWAN Aug05 Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 May13 (attard kevin)JONES SLADE 115 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  MAXIMUM DANGER Sep01 Aug19 Jul19 Jul08 Jun19 (leblanc warren)SINGH S 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
8  MAYITO Sep18 Aug29       (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
9  SYNCHROMESH Sep27 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
FE-9   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET Sep13 Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 4.00 ★    
2  ALLPAIDUP Sep19 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul14 (thompson randy )MORENO OMAR 118 8.00    
3  BLONDE ATTITUDE Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul05 Jun27 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
4  LOADED ONCE MORE Sep19 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
5  HOLD THE APPLAUSE Sep20 Sep05 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  SHOW SOME SKIN Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
7  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Sep19 Sep12 Aug29 Aug14 Aug08 (davies)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00    
 
FE-10   10/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALMING INFLUENCE Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 (jolin ch)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00    
2  LOQUACIOUS Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun27 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 6% 16.80    
3  ENGLISH CLASSIC Sep05 Aug16 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 (carter)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOODLE DANDY Sep19 Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 Aug08 (hoad lindse)WENC C 117 20.00    
5  DIAMONDBACK Sep19 Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jun10 (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
6  FADE AWAY Aug09 Jul11 Jun19 May31 Apr08 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 ★    
7  DEEP EXPLORER Sep12 Sep05 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  A I INITIATIVE Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jun28 Jun13 (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  BOCELLI (IRE) Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.