The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
FL-1   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
:241 :484 1:151 1:452   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALICIA'S WAY 5 7 69 58½ 3½ 1½ 1nk (englehart chris)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 0.80 55% 0.80 1.05 W
3  DARE TO BE GREAT 3 5 46½ 610½ 612½ 59½ 2nk (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 5.00 ★ 6.50 P
4  AZOGAR 4 4 710 815½ 815½ 710 32 (morales samuel)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 42.75  
8  COUPS DE PARTY 8 8 812 714½ 713½ 69½ 43 (babcock edward)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 ★ 13.20  
2  MOCLIPS 2 2 22 22½ 1nk 2½ 55½ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 4.00 15% 5.60 1.55  
1  CERTIFIED FREAK 1 1 12 12½ 2nk 33 66½ (shaffer richard)GOMEZ O 121 12.00 14.80  
6  GRACIE O'MALLEY 6 3 34½ 36½ 43½ 47 711 (buckley b)DAVIS A 121 10.00 ★ 18.60  
7  WINE TRAIL 7 6 57 48 58½ 817 824¼ (progno s)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00 82.50  
 
FL-2   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:221 :454 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLE STORM 1 4 13 13   12½ 12¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 25% 3.00 0.60 W
3  EYE'S ON YOU 3 5 44½ 33½   22½ 22¼ (shaffer richard)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 8.00 6% 15.30 3.85 P
4  CLARA'S GONE WEST 4 1 23 23   35½ 33¾ (breed a)PIERMARINI T 121 15.00 ★ 24.25 S
2  OUCH THAT HURT 2 3 33½ 45½   48 47 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 18% 4.60 3.90  
5  THE NEW MIAMI 5 7 78 69½   610½ 58 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 33.75  
7  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING 6 2 55½ 58½   510 68¾ (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 121 4.50 10.60  
8  CAT GLASSES KATHY 7 6 65½ 79½   714½ 713¾ (wright t)DE EMANUEL 119 12.00 20.50  
SCR  HANNAH DANCES               (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.50 30% 2.30    
 
FL-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CIVIL SERVICE 2 7 710¼ 65¾   61¾ 12¼ (ferraro michael)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 3.65  
5  DOC ADVANTAGE 5 3 3½ 3.2   1nk 22¼ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 10% 8.60 8.10 P
3  BREAKING STONES 3 5 53¾ 41¾   2nk 35¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.50 15% 5.80 3.15 S
7  GIMMEDAMONEY 7 1 2nk 1nk   31 46½ (d'alessandro ralph)DE EMANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70 2.45  
1  MOMMIE'S JEWEL 1 6 43½ 54¾   51¾ 56¾ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00 10% 8.70 9.60  
6  ORB IN THE TOWER 6 4 69¾ 77¾   77¾ 68¼ (baker charlton)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 23.80  
4  KHALI'S DREAM 4 2 1nk 2nk   41½ 710 (englehart chris)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50 ★ 3.25  
 
FL-4   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:25 :493 1:142 1:414   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DATESFREEDOM 5 6 63 53¼ 43 22½ 1¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 ★ 2.75  
6  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 6 8 76 75¾ 56 43½ 2¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 10.00 11.50  
3  WHITTINGTON PARK 2 3 42½ 43 33 53¾ 32 (englehart c)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 26% 2.80 0.60 S
2  SHANTY SHACK 1 1 11 11 1½ 12½ 42¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 4.00 9% 10.20 24.25  
1  BIG GEORGES KINGDM 3 2 31½ 21 2½ 32½ 58¼ (ferraro anthony)COA J 124 3.00 43% 1.30 6.30  
4  ASAP RESTORATION 4 4 53 64¼ 66½ 613¾ 614½ (ronen assaf)DAVIS A 121 6.00 17.70  
7  CLINGMAN 7 7 98½ 97¾ 87¾ 814¾ 717¾ (buckley b)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 ★ 48.25  
8  MOUNT VERNON BOY 9 5 21 31 76¾ 714¾ 818¼ (ashley julius)GOMEZ O 121 12.00 81.00  
1A  REINER 8 9 86½ 85¾ 913¾ 926¾ 952½ (ferraro anthony)NAVARRO J 124 3.00 6.30  
 
FL-5   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
:221 :454 :584     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CAPE COD GEM 9 1 1½ 12½   13½ 1¼ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 18% 4.70 4.60 W
5  DEVIL OR ANGEL 5 5 66 57½   37½ 2¼ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00 3.20  
7  FLIPPING FUN 7 4 55 46½   48 31 (davis g)DAVIS A 124 12.00 8.40  
3  NOBLE JOURNEY 3 8 77½ 69½   611½ 42½ (englehart chris)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 9% 10.40 6.30  
8  C J'S GRAND SLAM 8 2 2½ 22½   23½ 53 (wright t)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 17.30 9.10  
1  UP FOR ADVENTURE 1 9 914 916¾   815½ 63¾ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.90  
4  COUSIN GREG 4 7 88 810¾   714½ 77¼ (acquilano james)COA J 121 3.50 8.10  
2  DROSEL DIEM 2 6 44 36½   59½ 87½ (sabine t)PEREZ E 121 15.00 6.70  
6  ZEALIN IT 6 3 3½ 710½   933½ 934¼ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 14% 5.90 47.50  
 
FL-6   10/18/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
:243 :501 1:153 1:424   1:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BENCH WALK 10 6 72¼ 71½ 11 12½ 12¼ (huertas nirka)DAVIS A 121 10.00 4.50  
1  INTERSTATE 1 2 52 41¼ 21 22½ 22¼ (ferraro michael)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 1.60 45% 1.20 0.65 P
9  TRISAETUM 9 5 62¼ 61½ 52¾ 38½ 34¼ (acquilano james)NAVARRO J 124 4.00 9.80  
5  JERUSALEM GATES 5 7 94¾ 82½ 84¾ 511 48¼ (englehart s)COA J 124 6.00 17% 5.00 6.00  
2  DUTCHMEN FOREVER 2 8 117¼ 94½ 95¾ 611 59 (lecesse michael)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 ★ 18.00  
4  SWINGING STICKS 4 10 1210¼ 126 106¾ 815 614¼ (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 87.00  
7  KINSALER 7 4 1½ 11 31 410½ 715¼ (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 12% 7.30 10.30  
6  NAPOLEON COMPLEX 6 3 31 21 42½ 714 818½ (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00 ######  
11  THERESA'S BOY 11 9 84¼ 105½ 118¾ 917 923¾ (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 81.50  
3  SEA CAPTAIN 3 1 41 51¼ 63¾ 1019 1027¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 20.00 60.75  
12  BEAUMONT BEAUX 12 11 2½ 31 74¾ 1129 1145¼ (iorio jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00 80.50  
8  GATEWAY GUARDIAN 8 12 105¼ 116 1216¾ 1245 1269¼ (barrow paul)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 ######  
 
FL-7   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
:223 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OLD MAN WINTER 2 5 52¼ 43   22 11¼ (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 2.50 32% 2.20 1.25 W
7  SON OF DARKNESS 6 3 1nk 12   12 21¼ (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 2.85  
3  LETTERCARRIERHENRY 3 4 31 54   46 35 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 ★ 7.00 S
5  MATTY'S EXPRESS 4 7 65¼ 65½   58 48¼ (oyola david)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 12.60  
8  HIT BY A WAVE 7 2 42 22   35 58¾ (henry n)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 ★ 5.30  
6  DOUBLE VISION 5 1 2nk 33   69 612½ (d'alessandro ralph)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 20% 4.00 6.40  
1  DUCK POND ROAD 1 6 79¼ 710½   714 713½ (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 120 10.00 36.00  
SCR  BUSTIN HOFFMAN               (progno christopher)DAVIS A 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
FL-8   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:214 :462 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MACHO MIAH 5 8 711½ 710½   43 1nk (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 3.60  
8  TOWN JAK 9 4 812 810¾   63¾ 2nk (tebbutt john)DAVIS A 124 6.00 17% 4.90 3.00 P
11  HEYITSNRICOPALAZO 11 1 47½ 37½   31 3½ (murphy p)PIERMARINI T 124 12.00 7.60  
6  VICTORY ELEMENT 6 9 915 914¾   910¾ 45¾ (hillegass alexandra)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 14% 6.20 57.25  
9  TAKE IT TO SCALE 10 7 37½ 47½   53¼ 56½ (d'alessandro ralph)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
1A  PROFESSOR DAVE 8 5 68½ 610   75¾ 68¾ (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★ 4.40  
2  WINNING WITHHONOUR 1 6 58 59   86¾ 79¼ (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 25.50  
7  RALLY CAP 7 2 24 23½   21 89½ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 40% 1.50 4.60  
4  DREMAS BOY 3 11 1015½ 1116¾   1113¾ 910¼ (bartlett h)COA J 124 15.00 29.00  
3  HAMPTONS HOLIDAY 2 10 1117½ 1016¾   1011¾ 1010½ (breed jr)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 72.00  
1  IRON LAD 4 3 14 13½   11 1113½ (lecesse michael)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 4.40  
SCR  DEAN VERDILE               (marino e)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.