Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:151 1:452   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALICIA'S WAY 5 7 69 58½ 3½ 1½ 1nk (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 0.80 55% 0.80 1.05 W
3  DARE TO BE GREAT 3 5 46½ 610½ 612½ 59½ 2nk (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 5.00 ★ 6.50 P
4  AZOGAR 4 4 710 815½ 815½ 710 32 (morales)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 42.75  
8  COUPS DE PARTY 8 8 812 714½ 713½ 69½ 43 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 ★ 13.20  
2  MOCLIPS 2 2 22 22½ 1nk 2½ 55½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00 15% 5.60 1.55  
1  CERTIFIED FREAK 1 1 12 12½ 2nk 33 66½ (shaffer richard)GOMEZ O 121 12.00 14.80  
6  GRACIE O'MALLEY 6 3 34½ 36½ 43½ 47 711 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 10.00 ★ 18.60  
7  WINE TRAIL 7 6 57 48 58½ 817 824¼ (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00 82.50  
 
FL-2   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLE STORM 1 4 13 13   12½ 12¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 25% 3.00 0.60 W
3  EYE'S ON YOU 3 5 44½ 33½   22½ 22¼ (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 8.00 6% 15.30 3.85 P
4  CLARA'S GONE WEST 4 1 23 23   35½ 33¾ (breed a)PIERMARINI T 121 15.00 ★ 24.25 S
2  OUCH THAT HURT 2 3 33½ 45½   48 47 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 18% 4.60 3.90  
5  THE NEW MIAMI 5 7 78 69½   610½ 58 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 33.75  
7  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING 6 2 55½ 58½   510 68¾ (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 121 4.50 10.60  
8  CAT GLASSES KATHY 7 6 65½ 79½   714½ 713¾ (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 119 12.00 20.50  
SCR  HANNAH DANCES               (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.50 30% 2.30    
 
FL-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CIVIL SERVICE 2 7 710¼ 65¾   61¾ 12¼ (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 3.65  
5  DOC ADVANTAGE 5 3 3½ 3.2   1nk 22¼ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 10% 8.60 8.10 P
3  BREAKING STONES 3 5 53¾ 41¾   2nk 35¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 15% 5.80 3.15 S
7  GIMMEDAMONEY 7 1 2nk 1nk   31 46½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70 2.45  
1  MOMMIE'S JEWEL 1 6 43½ 54¾   51¾ 56¾ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00 10% 8.70 9.60  
6  ORB IN THE TOWER 6 4 69¾ 77¾   77¾ 68¼ (baker c)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 23.80  
4  KHALI'S DREAM 4 2 1nk 2nk   41½ 710 (englehart chr)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50 ★ 3.25  
 
FL-4   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:142 1:414   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DATESFREEDOM 5 6 63 53¼ 43 22½ 1¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 ★ 2.75  
6  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 6 8 76 75¾ 56 43½ 2¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 10.00 11.50  
3  WHITTINGTON PARK 2 3 42½ 43 33 53¾ 32 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 26% 2.80 0.60 S
2  SHANTY SHACK 1 1 11 11 1½ 12½ 42¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 4.00 9% 10.20 24.25  
1  BIG GEORGES KINGDM 3 2 31½ 21 2½ 32½ 58¼ (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.00 43% 1.30 6.30  
4  ASAP RESTORATION 4 4 53 64¼ 66½ 613¾ 614½ (ronen as)DAVIS A 121 6.00 17.70  
7  CLINGMAN 7 7 98½ 97¾ 87¾ 814¾ 717¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 ★ 48.25  
8  MOUNT VERNON BOY 9 5 21 31 76¾ 714¾ 818¼ (ashley julius)GOMEZ O 121 12.00 81.00  
1A  REINER 8 9 86½ 85¾ 913¾ 926¾ 952½ (ferraro)NAVARRO J 124 3.00 6.30  
 
FL-5   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CAPE COD GEM 9 1 1½ 12½   13½ 1¼ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 18% 4.70 4.60 W
5  DEVIL OR ANGEL 5 5 66 57½   37½ 2¼ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00 3.20  
7  FLIPPING FUN 7 4 55 46½   48 31 (davis ro)DAVIS A 124 12.00 8.40  
3  NOBLE JOURNEY 3 8 77½ 69½   611½ 42½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 9% 10.40 6.30  
8  C J'S GRAND SLAM 8 2 2½ 22½   23½ 53 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 17.30 9.10  
1  UP FOR ADVENTURE 1 9 914 916¾   815½ 63¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.90  
4  COUSIN GREG 4 7 88 810¾   714½ 77¼ (acquilano jame)COA J 121 3.50 8.10  
2  DROSEL DIEM 2 6 44 36½   59½ 87½ (sabine t)PEREZ E 121 15.00 6.70  
6  ZEALIN IT 6 3 3½ 710½   933½ 934¼ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 14% 5.90 47.50  
 
FL-6   10/18/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:153 1:424   1:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BENCH WALK 10 6 72¼ 71½ 11 12½ 12¼ (huertas )DAVIS A 121 10.00 4.50  
1  INTERSTATE 1 2 52 41¼ 21 22½ 22¼ (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 1.60 45% 1.20 0.65 P
9  TRISAETUM 9 5 62¼ 61½ 52¾ 38½ 34¼ (acquila)NAVARRO J 124 4.00 9.80  
5  JERUSALEM GATES 5 7 94¾ 82½ 84¾ 511 48¼ (englehart jeff)COA J 124 6.00 17% 5.00 6.00  
2  DUTCHMEN FOREVER 2 8 117¼ 94½ 95¾ 611 59 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 ★ 18.00  
4  SWINGING STICKS 4 10 1210¼ 126 106¾ 815 614¼ (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 87.00  
7  KINSALER 7 4 1½ 11 31 410½ 715¼ (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 12% 7.30 10.30  
6  NAPOLEON COMPLEX 6 3 31 21 42½ 714 818½ (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00 ######  
11  THERESA'S BOY 11 9 84¼ 105½ 118¾ 917 923¾ (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 81.50  
3  SEA CAPTAIN 3 1 41 51¼ 63¾ 1019 1027¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 20.00 60.75  
12  BEAUMONT BEAUX 12 11 2½ 31 74¾ 1129 1145¼ (iorio jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00 80.50  
8  GATEWAY GUARDIAN 8 12 105¼ 116 1216¾ 1245 1269¼ (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 ######  
 
FL-7   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OLD MAN WINTER 2 5 52¼ 43   22 11¼ (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 2.50 32% 2.20 1.25 W
7  SON OF DARKNESS 6 3 1nk 12   12 21¼ (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 2.85  
3  LETTERCARRIERHENRY 3 4 31 54   46 35 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 ★ 7.00 S
5  MATTY'S EXPRESS 4 7 65¼ 65½   58 48¼ (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 12.60  
8  HIT BY A WAVE 7 2 42 22   35 58¾ (henry n)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 ★ 5.30  
6  DOUBLE VISION 5 1 2nk 33   69 612½ (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 20% 4.00 6.40  
1  DUCK POND ROAD 1 6 79¼ 710½   714 713½ (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 120 10.00 36.00  
SCR  BUSTIN HOFFMAN               (progno c)DAVIS A 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
FL-8   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:214 :462 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MACHO MIAH 5 8 711½ 710½   43 1nk (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 3.60  
8  TOWN JAK 9 4 812 810¾   63¾ 2nk (tebbutt )DAVIS A 124 6.00 17% 4.90 3.00 P
11  HEYITSNRICOPALAZO 11 1 47½ 37½   31 3½ (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 124 12.00 7.60  
6  VICTORY ELEMENT 6 9 915 914¾   910¾ 45¾ (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 14% 6.20 57.25  
9  TAKE IT TO SCALE 10 7 37½ 47½   53¼ 56½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
1A  PROFESSOR DAVE 8 5 68½ 610   75¾ 68¾ (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★ 4.40  
2  WINNING WITHHONOUR 1 6 58 59   86¾ 79¼ (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 25.50  
7  RALLY CAP 7 2 24 23½   21 89½ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 40% 1.50 4.60  
4  DREMAS BOY 3 11 1015½ 1116¾   1113¾ 910¼ (bartlett willi)COA J 124 15.00 29.00  
3  HAMPTONS HOLIDAY 2 10 1117½ 1016¾   1011¾ 1010½ (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 72.00  
1  IRON LAD (IRE) 4 3 14 13½   11 1113½ (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 4.40  
SCR  DEAN VERDILE               (marino jose)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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