Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED FREAK Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 (shaffer richard)GOMEZ O 121 12.00    
2  MOCLIPS Sep10 Aug05 Jul09 Mar24 Feb17 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  DARE TO BE GREAT Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 Jun14 May24 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 5.00 ★    
4  AZOGAR Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (morales)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
5  ALICIA'S WAY Sep26 Sep07 Jul26 Jun29 Jun17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 0.80 55% 0.80    
6  GRACIE O'MALLEY Sep27 Sep06 Jul26 Apr21 Mar11 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 10.00 ★    
7  WINE TRAIL Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
8  COUPS DE PARTY Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 ★    
 
FL-2   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLE STORM Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug03 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  OUCH THAT HURT Oct04 Jul29       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  EYE'S ON YOU Oct04 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul18 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 8.00 6% 15.30    
4  CLARA'S GONE WEST Sep19 Jul11       (breed a)PIERMARINI T 121 15.00 ★    
5  THE NEW MIAMI Oct04 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00    
SCR  HANNAH DANCES Sep20 Aug15 Jul22 Jan29   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.50 30% 2.30    
7  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Feb21 Feb06 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 121 4.50    
8  CAT GLASSES KATHY Oct03 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 119 12.00    
 
FL-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMIE'S JEWEL Oct05 Jul18 Jun20 Jun07   (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
2  CIVIL SERVICE Sep26 Aug25 May13 Mar31   (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00    
3  BREAKING STONES Sep28 Sep04 Aug05 Jul08 Jun12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
4  KHALI'S DREAM Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 Jul05 Jun21 (englehart chr)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50 ★    
5  DOC ADVANTAGE Sep14 Aug08 Jul18 Jun20   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  ORB IN THE TOWER Aug08 Jul19 May31 Jan20   (baker c)NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
7  GIMMEDAMONEY Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
FL-4   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Aug09 Jul13 Jun22     (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
1A  REINER Sep28 Sep07 Aug21 Apr13 Feb25 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 124 3.00    
2  SHANTY SHACK Sep28 Jul25 Jul04 Jun21 May31 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 4.00 9% 10.20    
3  WHITTINGTON PARK Sep18 Aug20 Jul08     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  ASAP RESTORATION Sep27 Aug30       (ronen as)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
5  DATESFREEDOM Sep13 Aug11 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 ★    
6  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jun21 Jun05 Apr21 Apr02 Feb24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 10.00    
7  CLINGMAN Sep26 Aug30 Aug15 Jul22 Jul14 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 ★    
8  MOUNT VERNON BOY Sep28 Sep13 Jul25 Jul13   (ashley julius)BAEZ JOSE 121 12.00    
 
FL-5   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UP FOR ADVENTURE Oct04 Sep07 Jul25 Jun28 Jun07 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  DROSEL DIEM Sep27 Aug31 Aug02 Jun29   (sabine t)PEREZ E 121 15.00    
3  NOBLE JOURNEY May01 Mar18 Feb18     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
4  COUSIN GREG         (acquilano jame)COA J 121 3.50    
5  DEVIL OR ANGEL Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 Aug05 Jul10 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00    
6  ZEALIN IT Sep19 Aug31 Aug14 Jun16   (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 14% 5.90    
7  FLIPPING FUN Oct04 Sep17 Aug03 Jun22   (davis ro)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
8  C J'S GRAND SLAM Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 17.30    
9  CAPE COD GEM Oct04 Aug15 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
 
FL-6   10/18/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERSTATE Sep28 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  DUTCHMEN FOREVER Sep20 Sep05 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 ★    
3  SEA CAPTAIN Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
4  SWINGING STICKS Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
5  JERUSALEM GATES May21 Apr29 Apr02 Mar20 Feb11 (englehart jeff)COA J 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  NAPOLEON COMPLEX Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 Jul20 (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00    
7  KINSALER Sep28 Sep01 Jul13 Jun09 Apr29 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
8  GATEWAY GUARDIAN Sep20 Aug24 Jul20 Jun28   (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00    
9  TRISAETUM Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 Jul12 (acquila)NAVARRO J 124 4.00    
10  BENCH WALK Oct04 Sep21 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 10.00    
11  THERESA'S BOY Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Jul06 Jun22 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  BEAUMONT BEAUX Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Jan28   (iorio jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
 
FL-7   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCK POND ROAD Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 120 10.00    
2  OLD MAN WINTER Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Jul06 Jun20 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Oct04 Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  BUSTIN HOFFMAN Sep05         (progno c)DAVIS A 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
5  MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct04 Sep20 Aug26 Aug20 Jul18 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
6  DOUBLE VISION Oct04 Aug30 Aug17 Jul11 Jun13 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  SON OF DARKNESS Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
8  HIT BY A WAVE Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 (henry n)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 ★    
 
FL-8   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON LAD (IRE) Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 Jun20 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
1A  PROFESSOR DAVE Sep21 Aug29 Aug10     (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★    
2  WINNING WITHHONOUR Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
3  HAMPTONS HOLIDAY Aug02 Jul19 Jun06 May18   (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
4  DREMAS BOY Aug30 Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 Jun07 (bartlett willi)COA J 124 15.00    
5  MACHO MIAH Oct03 Sep13 Jul05 Jun21 May30 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00    
6  VICTORY ELEMENT Oct05 Sep20 Jun01 Feb23 Feb01 (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 14% 6.20    
7  RALLY CAP Sep20 Jul11 Jun27     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
8  TOWN JAK Sep21 Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 May17 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
9  TAKE IT TO SCALE Oct05 Jul13 May21 Apr27 Mar30 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEAN VERDILE Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16   (marino jose)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 15.00    
11  HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Oct03 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.