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Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


MVR-1			10/22/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($31.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	LATE DATE									(lopez carlos)HALDAR J 123						3.50		★				1.30
5	I'M JAC'D									(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126						2.00		31%		2.20		3.20	P
7	GIMME CLEARANCE									(silva fernand)BRACHO A 126						8.00						7.60
3	SWEETER THAN HONEY									(lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 123						10.00						43.30
4	KISS THE RED HEAD									(maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123						3.00		33%		2.00		3.60
1	MOTOWN HARBOR									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 126						6.00		★				21.70
6	BOLD NICKY									(londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 118						8.00		8%		11.90		5.10

MVR-2			10/22/2022		3630ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($4K)					Purse ($10.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CANT BUY COOL									(johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121						6.00						8.50
3	THIRTYSILVERPIECES									(brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 121						2.00		★				1.60	P
6	HARD N'SWEET									(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126						2.50		19%		4.30		1.70	S
1	GEMO									(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126						3.50		★				2.70
2	JROCK									(hernandez de)ROSARIO L 126						4.00		21%		3.80		13.00
4	BIG GAME BOB									(horrigan )HOLLINGSWORTH L 126						12.00		17%		5.10		32.60

MVR-3			10/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($6.5K)					Purse ($17.1K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MUCHO PRIMO									(guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124						2.50		12%		7.70		0.30	W
4	THANKSDAD									(poole m)AVILES YAN 116						6.00		★				9.60	P
6	DAVIS HAT									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 124						5.00						13.60
3	SERENDIPITOUS									(hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121						4.00		60%		0.70		8.20
1	TAMMY'S TOY									(cline robert)HALDAR J 121						2.00		★				5.60
2	SPLIT MY BRITCHES									(maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 124						8.00		★				24.10

MVR-4			10/22/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($6.5K)					Purse ($14.1K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	FLYING GUILLOTINE									(bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 121						6.00						5.00
5	THISPOINTINTIME									(morelos mate)HALDAR J 121						2.50		32%		2.20		2.10	P
2	RAMIRIN									(londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 119						4.00		★				6.50	S
3	VALHALLA AIR BASE									(zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124						3.50		21%		3.90		1.70
1	PASION AZTECA									(morelos mate)ROSARIO L 124						8.00						18.00
7	LEND AMERICA									(radosevich jake )BAEZ M 119						5.00		21%		3.90		11.10
6	STAYIN OR STRAYIN									(faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124						8.00		★				7.60

MVR-5			10/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Starter Allowance ($7.5K)					Purse ($19K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:07
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	ZELIG									(johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121						2.00		★				1.10
4	ELLE'SBIGSEACRET									(shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 126						6.00		10%		8.80		5.90	P
3	TRAGICALLY QUEWICK									(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126						8.00						2.60
5	AMERICAN UNION									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 124						12.00		★				17.40
1	COOL RUNNINGS									(evans micha)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126						4.00						8.80
6	KEYED ON TOP									(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124						15.00						15.40
8	ICONIC									(jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124						8.00		20%		4.00		7.90
SCR	PRINCE JERSEY TOWN									(cash l)AVILES YAN 119						2.50		46%		1.20

MVR-6			10/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($25.9K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	AUNT BEE									(cash l)AVILES YAN 119						2.50		14%		5.90		2.00	W
4	DESTINY'S DARLING									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124						4.00		20%		4.10		3.40	P
5	FLASH TOWN									(bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124						6.00		★				7.70	S
8	KENDAL GRACE									(aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 121						3.50		28%		2.50		3.80
6	PACIFIC COAST									(hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121						8.00						7.60
1A	WHOVILLE									(ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124						10.00		11%		8.30		5.40
2	DIVA POWER									(johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119						10.00						27.40
1	TRUMPET LILLY									(rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						10.00		★				5.40
7	FUTURE FLAY									(esquivel jes)HALDAR J 124						20.00						24.40
SCR	LOADED ONCE MORE									(bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124						10.00

MVR-7			10/22/2022		3300ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($40K)					Purse ($30.3K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	AYE AYE SIR									(rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126						8.00		★				5.90
6	WOODLAND WALK									(shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124						2.50		46%		1.20		2.60	P
3	AHIMELECH									(skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119						4.00						2.20
1A	PLAY BALL									(murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124						3.00		16%		5.10		2.40
1	MAS CHIKILIN									(murillo rodr)TAPARA BRANDON 124						3.00		★				2.40
5	HAPPILEA									(wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124						3.50		★				6.90
2	ASTRO JAK									(vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124						6.00		9%		9.60		18.00
7	SHADOW SURPRISE									(pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124						20.00						40.80

MVR-8			10/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($15K)					Purse ($17.7K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MAGICAL EXPRESS									(skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124						3.00		24%		3.10		5.30	W
8	LAZARUS PROJECT									(bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						3.50		★				2.10	P
6	MAKING ME CRAZY									(mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124						8.00						5.80
7	BREEZY MONEY									(rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124						6.00						3.40
5	CUMBER									(urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124						10.00						9.30
4	SAMURAI SAINT									(esquivel jes)HALDAR J 124						5.00		★				6.30
3	TOMATO BILL									(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124						4.00		27%		2.60		6.20
SCR	UNCLE EARL									(brownfield cl)BRACHO A 124						12.00		19%		4.30

MVR-9			10/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.1K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:59
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1A	VALIANT SPARK									(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121						4.00		44%		1.30		1.20	W
5	GRAN MAMIBELLA									(radosevich jake )BAEZ M 116						3.00		19%		4.30		1.90	P
4	MAGESTAL BASTIDA									(silva fern)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124						15.00						21.50
7	PLAYFUL SUMMER									(flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 121						15.00						9.90
3	TIPARILLO									(buckner)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						8.00		12%		7.60		6.90
2	BAROLA									(zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124						6.00		5%		19.00		4.40
1	POOLSIDE COCKTAILS									(dacosta j)CORREA L 124						4.00		★				1.20
SCR	ARTUME									(west m)BARBARAN ERIK 121						1.40		★



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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