Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTOWN HARBOR Oct06 Aug19       (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 ★    
2  LATE DATE Oct06 Sep06 Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 123 3.50 ★    
3  SWEETER THAN HONEY Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
4  KISS THE RED HEAD Oct03 Sep14 Jul26 Jun27 Jun11 (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  I'M JAC'D Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  BOLD NICKY         (londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 8% 11.90    
7  GIMME CLEARANCE Oct06 Sep06 Jul29 Jul12 Jun03 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   10/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMO Apr18 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 ★    
2  JROCK Oct04 Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jul22 (hernandez de)ROSARIO L 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  THIRTYSILVERPIECES Sep21         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 2.00 ★    
4  BIG GAME BOB Aug31 Aug17 Jul31 Jun28 May30 (horrigan )HOLLINGSWORTH L 126 12.00 17% 5.10    
5  CANT BUY COOL Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 Jul06   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00    
6  HARD N'SWEET Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-3   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMMY'S TOY Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 (cline robert)HALDAR J 121 2.00 ★    
2  SPLIT MY BRITCHES Jul12 Jun11 May07 Apr15 Apr04 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 124 8.00 ★    
3  SERENDIPITOUS Sep23 Aug30       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.00 60% 0.70    
4  THANKSDAD Oct13 Sep20 Sep05 Aug08 Jul27 (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 6.00 ★    
5  MUCHO PRIMO Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul05 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 2.50 12% 7.70    
6  DAVIS HAT Oct13 Sep20 Aug24 Aug03 Mar08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   10/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASION AZTECA Oct04 Aug26 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 (morelos mate)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
2  RAMIRIN Oct11 Sep26 Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 (londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 ★    
3  VALHALLA AIR BASE Sep26 Jul02 Jun19 Jun12 May22 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
4  FLYING GUILLOTINE Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00    
5  THISPOINTINTIME Oct04 Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 (morelos mate)HALDAR J 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
6  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Oct11 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jul11 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 ★    
7  LEND AMERICA Oct10 Aug08 Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 119 5.00 21% 3.90    
 
MVR-5   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL RUNNINGS Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul22 (evans micha)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 4.00    
2  ZELIG Oct12 Sep23 Aug09 Jul15 Mar04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 ★    
3  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 8.00    
4  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Sep30 Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 126 6.00 10% 8.80    
5  AMERICAN UNION Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 Jul10 Jun16 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 ★    
6  KEYED ON TOP Sep12 Jul21 Jun25 Jun07 May16 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE JERSEY TOWN Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
8  ICONIC Sep12 Aug04 Jul07 May31 May11 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-6   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUMPET LILLY Sep27 Aug25 Aug09 Jul05 Jun22 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
1A  WHOVILLE Oct03 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
2  DIVA POWER Apr28 Jan26       (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
3  AUNT BEE Oct05 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 14% 5.90    
4  DESTINY'S DARLING Oct12 Sep12 Sep02 Aug19 Aug03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  FLASH TOWN Oct13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★    
6  PACIFIC COAST Oct05 Aug25 Jul28 Jun29 Jun03 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 8.00    
7  FUTURE FLAY Sep22 Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
8  KENDAL GRACE Oct13 Jul04 Jun22 Apr16 Mar10 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  LOADED ONCE MORE Oct03 Sep19 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   10/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAS CHIKILIN Oct10 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 (murillo rodr)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 ★    
1A  PLAY BALL Oct10 Sep27 Sep19 Sep01 Aug17 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  ASTRO JAK May25 Apr25 Apr15 Mar31 Mar15 (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 9% 9.60    
3  AHIMELECH Oct13 Oct04 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
4  AYE AYE SIR Oct10 Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 ★    
5  HAPPILEA Jul13 Jun13 Apr28 Mar15 Feb19 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★    
6  WOODLAND WALK Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 May30   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  SHADOW SURPRISE May23 May01 Apr05 Mar22 Jan19 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE EARL Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 (brownfield cl)BRACHO A 124 12.00 19% 4.30    
2  MAGICAL EXPRESS Sep29 Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul07 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  TOMATO BILL Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 27% 2.60    
4  SAMURAI SAINT Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 Aug12 Jul15 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 124 5.00 ★    
5  CUMBER Oct14 Sep28 Sep21 Aug16 Jul28 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
6  MAKING ME CRAZY Sep29 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jun25 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
7  BREEZY MONEY Jul27 Jul01 Jun08 May25 Apr11 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00    
8  LAZARUS PROJECT Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 Sep05 Aug22 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-9   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 (dacosta j)CORREA L 124 4.00 ★    
1A  VALIANT SPARK Oct13 Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  BAROLA Oct06 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIPARILLO Oct10 Sep21 Sep13     (buckner)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Oct06 Sep22       (silva fern)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
5  GRAN MAMIBELLA Oct06 Sep21 Jul28 Jun11 Mar24 (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 116 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ARTUME Oct05 Aug08 Jul14 Jun06 Mar31 (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.40 ★    
7  PLAYFUL SUMMER Oct06 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jun12 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.