Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belterra Park
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:15 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZIPPER ZAPPER 4 1 21½ 21 21 13½ 14 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 54% 0.80 0.40 W
2  CODAS HONOR 2 3 33½ 32 34½ 23½ 24 (huffman g)MCKEE J 118 2.00 ★ 4.00 P
3  MAJESTIC MR. JONES 3 4 43½ 43 46½ 46½ 37¾ (bogart robe)JIMENEZ J 125 4.00 ★ 15.30 S
1  TRUST FUND ROBBER 1 2 11½ 11 11 33½ 48 (manning j)FELIX E 125 3.50 ★ 4.40  
5  EL MIC TIESUN 5 5 511½ 515 511½ 510 510¾ (platt noah)BRACHO A 125 4.50 ★ 10.00  
 
BTP-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:13 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EMPEROR'S GOLD 7 6 42½ 43 32½ 21½ 11¾ (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 6.00 12% 7.60 5.70 W
6  WIND TWIST 6 5 75¼ 66 55½ 33½ 21¾ (sandy stephen)BRACHO A 125 5.00 16% 5.20 5.00 P
2  LONTANI 2 3 31½ 32 12 11½ 33¼ (smith larry)REYES R 125 2.00 0.90  
3  JIMMYS LIFESTYLE 3 2 1nk 11 22 46 49 (melancon paul)BUSH V 125 8.00 16% 5.10 15.40  
1  CELTIC MISCHIEF 1 1 2nk 21 45 58½ 516¼ (cook k)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.00 ★ 8.30  
4  LIZZY'S LURE 4 7 53½ 56 713½ 616½ 630¼ (locker timothy)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00 55.90  
5  FORT RAMSEY 5 4 63¾ 76¼ 613½ 721½ 744 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 3.00 22% 3.70 3.70  
 
BTP-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FUTURE FLAY 3 2 11 11   2nk 1¼ (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 2.50 56% 0.80 0.80 W
5  LITTLE DUTCH GIRL 5 1 21 21   1nk 2¼ (baez sergio)REYES R 121 1.80 12% 7.40 1.90 P
4  CRUZIN TATUM 4 5 52½ 32   32 31½ (goodman doug )DE AZAEL 121 3.50 ★ 4.90 S
2  CHINA STAR 2 4 41½ 43   45½ 410¼ (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 ★ 6.80  
1  CALIFORNIA KITTY 1 3 31 58   510½ 520¾ (jordan rick)BUSH V 118 6.00 ★ 18.50  
 
BTP-4   09/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
1:432         1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LEA RO 5 1 33½ 21 21 1nk 1nk (cox e)MCKEE J 121 8.00 ★ 7.30  
6  TALK RADIO 6 5 22½ 31½ 31½ 3.2 2nk (smith larry)REYES R 123 3.50 ★ 4.30 P
1  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO 1 2 65 63½ 65 4¾ 3½ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 ★ 14.40 S
3  THROMBOCYTOPENIA 3 4 54 42 42½ 2nk 41 (obert daniell)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00 34.60  
4  PRINCESS NINA 4 7 75½ 74½ 75 63¼ 51½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 24% 3.10 2.10  
2  ANTALYA 2 3 43½ 53½ 54 52¼ 63 (granitz j)FELIX E 123 1.80 45% 1.20 1.40  
7  CIDSTAYINURLAINE 7 6 12½ 11 11 74¼ 75¼ (axmaker cody )BRACHO A 123 10.00 8.80  
SCR  TELLER TO SING               (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
BTP-5   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:154 1:282   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MULLING 2 3 2½ 2½ 11½ 14 16¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.60 ★ 0.40  
4  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER 4 1 42 42½ 21½ 24 26¾ (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.50 ★ 5.20 P
3  TAMI ANN 3 5 53½ 53½ 42 34½ 36¾ (manning j)FELIX E 123 4.50 19% 4.20 4.30 S
1  CHORIST 1 2 1½ 1½ 31½ 45 47½ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 4.00 12.40  
5  LA CUMPARSITA 5 4 31½ 31½ 52¼ 56 510¼ (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 114 6.00 20% 4.00 16.30  
6  CONNECT IT 6 6 64 64½ 68¼ 614 634¼ (rodak ger)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 8.00 20% 4.00 31.60  
 
BTP-6   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:142 1:283   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE DANCER 1 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 16 111¼ (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 64% 0.60 0.20 W
5  SPUN PRETTY 5 2 42½ 2½ 2½ 26 211¼ (evans michae)HALDAR J 121 3.00 ★ 4.30 P
4  JUST ZOEY 4 5 63½ 54 610½ 38½ 314¼ (lowry kathleen)FELIX E 123 4.50 ★ 12.00 S
2  LACY QUEEN 2 4 2½ 3½ 34½ 410½ 419¾ (antonuik jerr)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 ★ 10.10  
3  FOREVER FACTUM 3 1 31½ 42 46½ 511½ 522½ (kerr randy )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 ★ 42.60  
6  SWEETER THAN HONEY 6 6 52½ 65½ 56½ 619½ 639¾ (rodriquez)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 10.00 57.40  
 
BTP-7   09/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
1:381         1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED HORNET 3 2 31½ 41½ 52¼ 2nk 11 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 35% 1.80 0.50 W
1  BERN N ASH 1 6 63¼ 52½ 63¾ 51¼ 21 (dunn d)REYES R 123 4.00 34% 2.00 3.80 P
4  SARGEANT BARGER 4 3 53¼ 73¾ 3.2 1nk 33¼ (evans michae)HALDAR J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 15.90 S
6  BOONE'S SPIRIT 6 8 74¼ 63½ 41¼ 62¼ 44¼ (hughes byron )BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
5  KENTUCKY MIST 5 7 84¾ 84¾ 97¼ 73¼ 54½ (dyer john)MOJICA JR 119 3.50 7.70  
2  KING OF STING 2 1 1nk 11 2nk 31 66¼ (sharp joe)MCKEE J 119 8.00 15.30  
7  HOLY CROSS 7 4 41¾ 31½ 1nk 41¼ 76¼ (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00 ★ 19.50  
10  WEAPON 10 9 95¾ 95¼ 85¾ 83½ 812¼ (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 123 30.00 96.50  
8  DOWN TO BIZZNESS 8 10 108¾ 1010¼ 108¼ 105½ 913 (waltermire bruce)FELIX E 119 12.00 42.30  
9  HOWARD ROARK 9 5 2nk 21 73¾ 94½ 1015¼ (martinez matt)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00 70.20  
 
BTP-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUPORB 7 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 1nk (edwards will)HALDAR J 120 4.00 ★ 3.20 DQ↓3
3  DANCE ON OVER 3 7 68¼ 43½   1nk 2nk (green troy)REYES R 123 2.50 52% 0.90 0.90 W
6  SEQUAYA 6 2 31 31½   32½ 35¼ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 4.50 5.50  
4  MAGESTAL BASTIDA 4 5 58 57   57½ 410½ (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00 ★ 21.60  
2  MISS HATTIE 2 6 711¼ 79¼   69 511¾ (thompson daniel)BUSH V 123 15.00 45.60  
5  DEVILISH TRUTH 5 3 1nk 2nk   44½ 612 (lyster stephen )MOJICA JR 123 3.00 16% 5.20 4.10  
1  EASY IS GOOD 1 4 45 67¼   712½ 718½ (deville j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 5.00 ★ 19.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.