Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST FUND ROBBER Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Aug10 Jul01 (manning j)FELIX E 125 3.50 ★    
2  CODAS HONOR Aug30 Aug03       (huffman g)MCKEE J 118 2.00 ★    
3  MAJESTIC MR. JONES Sep01 Aug19 Aug03 Jul13   (bogart robe)JIMENEZ J 125 4.00 ★    
4  ZIPPER ZAPPER Sep09 Jun20 May25 Apr30 Apr15 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
5  EL MIC TIESUN Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 Jun12 May30 (platt noah)BRACHO A 125 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTIC MISCHIEF Sep02 Aug19 May21     (cook k)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.00 ★    
2  LONTANI Aug02         (smith larry)REYES R 125 2.00    
3  JIMMYS LIFESTYLE Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul26 Jun30 (melancon paul)BUSH V 125 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  LIZZY'S LURE Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul13 Mar26 (locker timothy)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00    
5  FORT RAMSEY Aug23 May03 Apr18 Mar15   (reed r)MCKEE J 125 3.00 22% 3.70    
6  WIND TWIST Sep13 Aug25 Jul13 Jun24 May24 (sandy stephen)BRACHO A 125 5.00 16% 5.20    
7  EMPEROR'S GOLD Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
BTP-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIFORNIA KITTY Aug17 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 May31 (jordan rick)BUSH V 118 6.00 ★    
2  CHINA STAR Sep06 Aug22 Jun24 May27 May14 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 ★    
3  FUTURE FLAY Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul07 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  CRUZIN TATUM Sep07 Aug05 Jul07 Mar04 Feb19 (goodman doug )DE AZAEL 121 3.50 ★    
5  LITTLE DUTCH GIRL Sep07 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jul12 (baez sergio)REYES R 121 1.80 12% 7.40    
 
BTP-4   09/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Aug30 Jun09 Mar31 Mar03   (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 ★    
2  ANTALYA Aug24 Jun23       (granitz j)FELIX E 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  THROMBOCYTOPENIA Aug18 Aug07 May19 Apr26 Apr06 (obert daniell)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
4  PRINCESS NINA Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 Jul01 Jun21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 24% 3.10    
5  LEA RO Jul23 Jul05 May21 Mar04 Jan28 (cox e)MCKEE J 121 8.00 ★    
6  TALK RADIO Aug25 Aug09 Jun22 May20 Apr14 (smith larry)REYES R 123 3.50 ★    
7  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 Jun28 (axmaker cody )BRACHO A 123 10.00    
SCR  TELLER TO SING Aug22 Jul27 Jul05 Jun06 May13 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
BTP-5   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHORIST Aug10 May24 Mar24     (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
2  MULLING Aug10 Jun08 May24 Apr10 Mar22 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.60 ★    
3  TAMI ANN Sep09 Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 (manning j)FELIX E 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER Sep09 Aug09 Jul19 Jun30 Jan01 (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.50 ★    
5  LA CUMPARSITA Sep01 Jul27 Jun29 May10 Mar26 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 114 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  CONNECT IT Sep03 Jul30 Jul06 Jun03 May14 (rodak ger)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
BTP-6   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE DANCER Sep08 Aug12 Jul04 May20 Apr13 (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 64% 0.60    
2  LACY QUEEN Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 Jun22 (antonuik jerr)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 ★    
3  FOREVER FACTUM Sep09 Aug19 Aug02 Jun10 Jun03 (kerr randy )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 ★    
4  JUST ZOEY Aug30 Aug24 Aug12 Jul12 Jun22 (lowry kathleen)FELIX E 123 4.50 ★    
5  SPUN PRETTY Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul22 Jun22 (evans michae)HALDAR J 121 3.00 ★    
6  SWEETER THAN HONEY Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 Jun10 (rodriquez)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 10.00    
 
BTP-7   09/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERN N ASH Sep01 Jun23 May27 Apr15 Jan15 (dunn d)REYES R 123 4.00 34% 2.00    
2  KING OF STING Sep06 Jul02 Jun18 May19 Apr15 (sharp joe)MCKEE J 119 8.00    
3  RED HORNET Sep05 Aug06 May28 May06 Apr08 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  SARGEANT BARGER Sep12 Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 Jul05 (evans michae)HALDAR J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  KENTUCKY MIST Sep05 Aug12 Aug04 Jul24 Jul01 (dyer john)MOJICA JR 119 3.50    
6  BOONE'S SPIRIT Aug24 Jul11 Jun20 Apr01 Mar12 (hughes byron )BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLY CROSS Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul22 Jul12 (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00 ★    
8  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Sep07 Aug17 Jul24 Jun21 Jun08 (waltermire bruce)FELIX E 119 12.00    
9  HOWARD ROARK         (martinez matt)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
10  WEAPON Sep12 Sep06 Aug09     (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 123 30.00    
 
BTP-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY IS GOOD Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun23 Jan14 (deville j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 5.00 ★    
2  MISS HATTIE Sep08 Aug09 Jul28 Jul08 Jun17 (thompson daniel)BUSH V 123 15.00    
3  DANCE ON OVER Sep09 Aug25 Mar22 Jan22 Jan01 (green troy)REYES R 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  MAGESTAL BASTIDA         (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00 ★    
5  DEVILISH TRUTH Jun23 May31 May11 Apr22 Mar03 (lyster stephen )MOJICA JR 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  SEQUAYA Sep08 Aug22 Jul15 Jun17 May31 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 4.50    
7  SUPORB Aug31 Aug16 Jul15 Jun28 Jun17 (edwards will)HALDAR J 120 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.