The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - November 10, 2022
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MVR-1   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:254 :51 1:17 1:304   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FLAXEN 5 3 42 3.2 1nk 12 12½ (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 17% 4.90 3.90 W
7  BOURBON BUNS 6 1 53 42¼ 3½ 32 22½ (jackson d)YARANGA Y 122 3.50 ★ 5.20 P
4  HIGH HEAVEN 3 2 32 2nk 2nk 22 33½ (bernardini p)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 11% 8.50 10.60 S
5  RED PIXIE 4 6 67 66¾ 67 66¾ 48½ (connelly teresa)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 40% 1.50 5.00  
2  SHEZA HOOT 2 4 21 52¼ 54 55¼ 510¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 1.20  
1  NINJA KITTEN 1 5 11 1nk 42 45 614¼ (lopez a)HALDAR J 126 10.00 5.40  
SCR  HOMEROOM ANGEL               (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 17.40    
 
MVR-2   11/10/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:224 :471 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEY SACH 5 1 21½ 21½   2nk 11¼ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 9% 9.80 2.80 W
1  KAPHAVATA 1 4 11½ 11½   1nk 21¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 124 1.40 22% 3.50 1.10 P
3  SUNNY BEAST 3 3 47 410   35 35½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 46% 1.20 2.60 S
6  PASION AZTECA 6 2 57½ 511½   57¼ 49 (morelos mateo)ROSARIO L 124 4.50 ★ 8.80  
2  CLASSIC VOLUME 2 5 35½ 37½   47 514¾ (barnes a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 15.00 37.90  
4  STOP MAKING SENSE 4 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★ 11.00  
 
MVR-3   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:24 :481 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JOCULARITY 2 2 1nk 11   12 14¾ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 22% 3.60 2.00 W
5  CALL PAPA 5 6 65¾ 44   22 24¾ (feebeck h)HALDAR J 126 3.00 ★ 2.80 P
6  AJWIBAH 6 7 45½ 55   46 310 (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5.10  
4  GET ALONG 4 1 32½ 34   56 410½ (barnes a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 15.00 12% 7.70 46.10  
7  CRY MACHO 7 3 2nk 21   34 511 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 17% 4.80 2.80  
1  MIDNIGHT ALIBI 1 4 55¾ 69   67½ 613¾ (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 122 6.00 13% 6.80 5.40  
3  FLYING GUILLOTINE 3 5 79¾ 713   711½ 715½ (bailey ricardo)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00 23.90  
 
MVR-4   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:232 :472 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANCIN' ROSIE 3 2 2nk 32½   33 11½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 1.80 28% 2.60 3.10 W
5  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 5 3 41¼ 2½   2nk 21½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 41% 1.40 0.50 P
6  QUEEN AIR 6 1 1nk 1½   1nk 32 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40 S
4  KIST 4 6 62¾ 56½   47 46 (murillo-rodriguez rafael)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 ★ 5.10  
2  GIFT FROM MOM 2 5 3.2 45   59½ 520¾ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 11.80  
1  J J'S FANCY 1 4 51¾ 610½   615½ 623½ (morales m)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 8.00 30.70  
 
MVR-5   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:224 :472 1:011     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  INTO GOLD 9 2 48 22   12 13½ (diehl candace)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00 2.40  
7  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 7 6 913½ 815½   510½ 23½ (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 4.00 ★ 2.30 P
8  SQUEAKY CLEAN 8 1 58½ 511½   710¾ 35 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 24% 3.30 21.70 S
1  LINO'S KID 1 7 34 47½   49 49 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 2.50 39% 1.60 2.60  
5  OXBOW'S RIDE 5 3 69½ 714½   610½ 510¼ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00 43.00  
4  WHISKEY HELPS 4 9 710 612½   812¾ 611¼ (cline c)HALDAR J 126 15.00 36.10  
3  EL CONDOR CAZA 3 8 812½ 917½   915¼ 711½ (zielinski richard)PILARES P 126 6.00 7% 13.50 13.50  
2  FAST AS FAST CAN B 2 4 14 12   22 813¼ (guidry terrance)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 10.10  
6  BUCKEYE RED 6 5 24 34   36 914¾ (maddox rachael)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 8.30  
SCR  KREG'S RUN               (hernandez debbie)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:242 :474 1:142 1:281   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VASARIANO 6 1 32 31 15 17 113¾ (cash l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 8.00 11% 8.10 3.80 W
4  SNOWSCAPE 4 6 69 410 36 27 213¾ (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 3.50 16% 5.10 6.20 P
5  CARMEL BAY 5 4 47 510½ 610½ 511½ 320¾ (grubbs l)BRACHO A 124 6.00 11.60  
3  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 3 2 21 21 25 38 421¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.50 ★ 4.70  
1  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 1 3 58 612 510 410½ 526¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 ★ 5.90  
2  ICON 2 5 11 11 49 618½ 652¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 37% 1.70 1.00  
 
MVR-7   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:223 :471 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STONE COLD CAT 6 6 713 78   63¼ 1¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 25.90  
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK 5 3 45 43   41¼ 2¼ (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 61% 0.60 2.50 P
7  KISSINGER 7 8 814½ 88   52¼ 34¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★ 4.00 S
3  BLUE MONARCH 3 5 611 67   73¼ 44¼ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 ★ 6.10  
8  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 8 1 33 2½   21 55¼ (zielinski richard)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 ★ 2.90  
4  FOREIGN 4 2 21½ 31   31 67 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 15.00 48.80  
1  MA MOO POWER 1 7 56 55   83¾ 77¼ (inirio carlos)HALDAR J 124 15.00 20.50  
2  OL' NED 2 4 11½ 1½   11 810¼ (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 5.00 9% 10.60 3.10  
 
MVR-8   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:262 :512 1:162 1:284   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STAR HAWK 5 1 41 41¼ 3.2 11 17¾ (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 3.00 34% 1.90 2.00 W
6  FAT DADDY 6 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 27¾ (urieta johanna)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.00 26% 2.80 4.30 P
1A  THRU THE VINE 3 4 3½ 1nk 1nk 33 311½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 1.60  
2  DYRDEK 1 7 1nk 3.2 45¼ 49 418¼ (vecchio caryn)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 8% 10.80 5.80  
7  PICKFORD 7 3 63 65¼ 59¼ 513 525¼ (conto kevin)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 7% 13.30 13.10  
4  CLAW 4 5 74 75¼ 610¾ 613 626¼ (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 20.00 22.00  
3  SHELL FIRE 2 6 51½ 54¼ 711¾ 715½ 726¼ (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 126 8.00 15.80  
SCR  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.