Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINJA KITTEN Nov02 Oct26 Oct17 Oct11 Sep20 (lopez a)DAVILA M 126 10.00    
2  SHEZA HOOT Nov02 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug10 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00    
SCR  HOMEROOM ANGEL Sep20 Aug30 May27 May13 Mar19 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 17.40    
4  HIGH HEAVEN Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug22 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
5  RED PIXIE Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 Apr15 Feb22 (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  FLAXEN Oct18 Oct04 Aug15 Jun28 Jun14 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  BOURBON BUNS Oct24 Sep29 Sep06 Aug30 Aug14 (jackson d)YARANGA Y 122 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-2   11/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAPHAVATA Oct26 Oct04 Aug23 Jul25 Apr15 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 1.40 22% 3.50    
2  CLASSIC VOLUME Oct31 Oct04 Sep23     (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 15.00    
3  SUNNY BEAST Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Jul25 Jun29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  STOP MAKING SENSE Oct26 Oct04 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★    
5  HEY SACH Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
6  PASION AZTECA Oct22 Oct04 Aug26 Aug10 Jul28 (morelos mate)ROSARIO L 124 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep20 Sep05 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  JOCULARITY Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 Jul05 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  FLYING GUILLOTINE Nov03 Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 (bailey ricar)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00    
4  GET ALONG Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug23 (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 15.00 12% 7.70    
5  CALL PAPA Oct26 Oct04 Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 (feebeck thom)HALDAR J 126 3.00 ★    
6  AJWIBAH Oct16 Sep20 Aug29     (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
7  CRY MACHO Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 Aug03 Jul25 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-4   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S FANCY Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug15 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 8.00    
2  GIFT FROM MOM Oct05 Sep02 Aug13 Aug01 May24 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
3  DANCIN' ROSIE Sep14 Aug13 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  KIST Oct11 Sep22 Aug08 Jul14 Jun28 (murillo-rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 ★    
5  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug09 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
6  QUEEN AIR Oct25 Oct13 Sep28 Jul12 Jun14 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINO'S KID Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  FAST AS FAST CAN B Oct06 Jun21 Jan25 Jan11   (guidry terr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
3  EL CONDOR CAZA Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Jul14 Jun30 (zielins)PILARES P 126 6.00 7% 13.50    
4  WHISKEY HELPS Oct07 Aug19 Aug03 Jul12 Mar07 (cline robert)HALDAR J 126 15.00    
5  OXBOW'S RIDE Oct27         (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00    
6  BUCKEYE RED Aug01         (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
7  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 Jul26 Jul07 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
8  SQUEAKY CLEAN Oct07 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug19 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 24% 3.30    
9  INTO GOLD Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Jul14 Jun21 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00    
SCR  KREG'S RUN         (hernandez debbie)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Aug16 Jun13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 ★    
2  ICON Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jul24 Jun23 (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 Jul13 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.50 ★    
4  SNOWSCAPE Aug22 Jul19 Jun08 Apr22 Mar03 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  CARMEL BAY Oct20 Sep25 Sep14 Aug24 Jun29 (grubbs jamie )BRACHO A 124 6.00    
6  VASARIANO Oct27 Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug18 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
MVR-7   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MA MOO POWER Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 Aug13 (inirio carlo)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
2  OL' NED Aug16 Jul06 Jun03 May02 Apr13 (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
3  BLUE MONARCH Oct10 Sep29 Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
4  FOREIGN Sep02 Aug17 Jul14 Jun02 May17 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 61% 0.60    
6  STONE COLD CAT Nov03 Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
7  KISSINGER Oct26 Oct14 Sep15 Aug30 May25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★    
8  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Oct10 Aug30 Jun25 Jun08 May25 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  THRU THE VINE Oct31 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Jul17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Nov09 Oct07 Aug28 Jul18 Jun19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 ★    
2  DYRDEK Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
3  SHELL FIRE Oct24 Oct14 Oct05 Sep22 Jun20 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 126 8.00    
4  CLAW Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Sep06 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
5  STAR HAWK Oct14 Sep29 Jun14 May18 Apr11 (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  FAT DADDY Oct14 Sep27 Aug16 Jul14 Jun20 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
7  PICKFORD Oct11 Aug17 Jul24 Jul10 May30 (conto kevin)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 7% 13.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.