Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AEGONTHECONQUEROR 6 2 11 1½   1½ 1 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 44% 1.30 0.50 W
PAID THE PREACHER 2 3 21 2½   2½ 2 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 3.50 3.50 P
CALL ME PEAK 3 5 3 32   3 35 (russell rand)AYALA J 124 4.50 7.30 S
BISHI 4 4 5 54   4 4 (schneider ki)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 9.40  
TUDOX I DON'T BRAG 5 1 4 43   5 510¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 116 12.00 14.40  
MY FREEDOM 1 6 63 64   6 613¼ (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 122 10.00 18.70  
SCR  LEONARD'S LEGACY               (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
PID-2   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HINDENBURG 5 4 24 21   11 1 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00 2.30  
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 3 3 3 3   33 2 (russell rand)AYALA J 121 15.00 14.30  
MULETRAIN 1 7 713¼ 6   65 3 (connelly ter)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 6.40 S
MOCA MONSTER 6 1 4 4   55 4 (cooper thomas)WALKER M 124 12.00 16.70  
SHEA D CAPTURE 2 6 511 5   4 5 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 121 4.00 4.90  
PAPA CHARLES 4 5 613 7   77 6 (gotera juan )BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.50 9% 10.70 2.50  
SPIRITED DEBATE 7 2 14 11   21 78 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 8.00 3.90  
SCR  GRAVE DANGER               (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  PITON               (antus la)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   10/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:263   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZTEC PRINCESS 4 4 5 4 34 3½ 1½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 56% 0.80 0.80 W
COMPASS RISES 6 7 7 6 4 5 2½ (caramori caio)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00 12.80  
TOTAL SMOKESHOW 3 3 2 2 2 2½ 3¾ (calvo ke)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 29.90 S
VIVID EXPOSURE 1 1 1 1 1 1½ 44 (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00 8.30  
CLOUDY BAY 5 5 6 7 5 42 5 (davis christophe)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 2.30  
EYE OF THE STORM 7 6 4 5 77 6 611½ (blair jordan)SPIETH S 120 10.00 8.60  
ESTABLISHMENT 2 2 3 3 6 711¼ 722 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 8.00 16.70  
SCR  SAL'S BLUE JACKET               (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
PID-4   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETTIN OUT 7 6 6 6   6 1nk (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 3.70  
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 1 8 54 5   5 2nk (hayes l)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 3.00 P
CLAW 5 4 75 9   7 3¼ (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 13.80  
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 4 7 3 21   1nk 41 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 124 4.00 22% 3.70 3.50  
10  SUNSHINE CHARLIE 10 1 22 31   2nk 5 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 5.00 8% 11.40 4.20  
K'S LITTLE BILL 3 3 4 4   41 6 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 43% 1.40 7.80  
STRETCH RUNNER 2 10 10 7   8 7 (girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 10.80  
DONALD 6 5 12 11   3½ 87 (hogue james )AYALA J 122 12.00 22.50  
ANOTHER BREEZE 9 9 99 8   9 9 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 63.30  
WHISKEY DASH 8 2 8 10   1012¼ 1014½ (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 20.00 70.60  
 
PID-5   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :452 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINS AND TINS 2 3 11 11   1 1 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 10% 8.50 8.00 W
CALL ME LATER 5 2 21 31   32 2 (grace john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 10.90  
LIFE MISSION 1 5 42 21   2 3 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 5.50 S
WHERE YOU WAS 6 4 32 42   43 4 (rogers r)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 7.50  
KASIM 7 1 7 6   5 5 (synnefias dimi)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00 6.40  
SUMMERFEST 8 8 8 8   77 65 (antus la)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 20.50  
TWIRLING MAMBA 3 6 64 7   65 75 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 58% 0.70 1.10  
FUEL THE BERN 4 7 5 53   8 8 (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 6.00 6% 17.10 9.60  
SCR  FLATTER ME PLEASE               (hayes leland)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:114 1:362   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGES DROPPED 2 3 6 53 42 3.2 13 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 1.60  
FORGOTTEN PEACE 3 2 3 3 3 2nk 23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 57% 0.70 2.10 P
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 4 1 1 11 11 1nk 3 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 27.90  
10  SHE'S DANCING 7 9 8 85 7 4 45 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 13.70  
11  VILLAGE QUEEN 8 6 5 6 6 6 5 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 6.00 6% 16.30 9.20  
BATTLE CHARGE 5 5 4 4 52 8 6 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 4.70  
TWILA MAE 6 7 7 75 86 7 7 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 15.00 22.40  
SWEET SANDY 1 8 9 96 9 9 8 (gorham mic)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00 17.40  
12  TOOLCAT 9 4 2 21 21 5 910½ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 21.50  
SCR  DO YOU LOVE ME               (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
SCR  MISS MIKAELA               (guciardo john)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  SHOSHANAH               (horlacher kyl)WALKER M 118 10.00    
 
PID-7   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:111 1:362   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO VENTURE (GB) 1 2 32 3 21 1nk 1¾ (stidham )GALLARDO A 117 4.50 2.90  
MISS MIKAELA 7 3 12 1 11 2nk 2¾ (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 8.30 P
LAKE LUCERNE 3 8 7 75 8 3 3 (walsh brenda)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 12.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
GLADYS 5 5 44 43 4 6 4 (danner kelsey)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 10.80  
DECIDING VOTE 6 7 8 8 6 8 5 (graham edw)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 10% 9.40 4.10  
TASS (GB) 2 4 55 54 5 5 6 (martin f)MARTINEZ W 121 12.00 12.90  
DANA'S BEAUTY 4 1 22 2 3 4 7 (rogers mic)AYALA J 119 12.00 25.80  
10  CHRISTMAS DIAMOND (GB) 8 6 6 6 7 7 8 (connelly teres)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 62% 0.60 3.10  
SCR  BYE BYE BERTIE               (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 12.00    
SCR  GEORGETOWN ROAD               (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 113 12.00    
SCR  VIBURNUM               (danner kelsey)TBA 121 8.00    
 
PID-8   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:254 :51 1:16 1:403   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE 1 6 76 6 63 1nk 1 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 9% 9.80 0.80 W
THISAINTJUMPSTREET 6 7 4 43 21 2nk 2 (rojas eduardo )CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 9% 10.20 6.10 P
MAMA LONGLEGS 4 3 12 1 11 3.2 3 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 8.90  
10  FED UP FIRED UP 7 5 6 7 74 4 4 (cain crystal)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 5.20  
MIDNIGHT LEAP 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 (blackhurst rand)STANLEY O 122 15.00 31.00  
MAUK'S TUFF 3 1 3 32 42 7 613¼ (finucane richard)SPIETH S 122 2.50 14% 6.20 3.70  
BEE WINGS 2 2 22 2 31 6 714¼ (norris stephan)JURADO EDDIE 122 12.00 36.10  
SCR  AT LEAST               (grace jo)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
SCR  GO YEOWOMEN               (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF               (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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