Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FREEDOM Oct20 Jul01 Jun09 Jun01   (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 122 10.00    
PAID THE PREACHER Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul12 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 3.50    
SCR  LEONARD'S LEGACY Oct20 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
CALL ME PEAK Oct05 Jul26 Jul07     (russell rand)AYALA J 124 4.50    
BISHI Oct20 Oct12 Sep27 Sep20 Aug16 (schneider ki)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
TUDOX I DON'T BRAG Oct04 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 116 12.00    
AEGONTHECONQUEROR Oct20 Sep20 Sep08 Aug08   (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
PID-2   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULETRAIN Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Jul07 (connelly ter)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
SCR  GRAVE DANGER Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Jul30 Jul02 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
SHEA D CAPTURE Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Jul10 Jun19 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 121 4.00    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD Oct10 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 (russell rand)AYALA J 121 15.00    
PAPA CHARLES Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (gotera juan )BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.50 9% 10.70    
HINDENBURG Oct08 Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
SCR  PITON Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug09 Jul25 (antus la)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MOCA MONSTER Oct18 Sep21 Aug17 Jul20 May21 (cooper thomas)WALKER M 124 12.00    
SPIRITED DEBATE Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug22 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 8.00    
 
PID-3   10/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVID EXPOSURE Oct04 Sep19 Aug15 Jul04 Jun19 (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00    
ESTABLISHMENT Oct13 Oct05       (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00    
TOTAL SMOKESHOW Oct10 Sep21 Sep09 Aug23 Aug06 (calvo ke)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
AZTEC PRINCESS Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
CLOUDY BAY Sep22 Aug21       (davis christophe)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50    
COMPASS RISES Oct04         (caramori caio)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
EYE OF THE STORM Oct04         (blair jordan)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
SCR  SAL'S BLUE JACKET Sep19         (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
PID-4   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Oct12 Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 Jul21 (hayes l)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50    
STRETCH RUNNER Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Jul13 Jun27 (girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
K'S LITTLE BILL Oct12 Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 43% 1.40    
CAPTAIN MAD JACK Oct13 Oct05 Sep26 Sep20 Aug31 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 124 4.00 22% 3.70    
CLAW Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
DONALD Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 Jul26 (hogue james )AYALA J 122 12.00    
JETTIN OUT Oct07 Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
WHISKEY DASH Oct19 Jul13 Jun30 Jun16 May25 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
ANOTHER BREEZE Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 Aug01 Jul05 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
10  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug28 Aug08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 5.00 8% 11.40    
 
PID-5   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE MISSION Sep29 Sep19 Aug16 Jul20 Jul06 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
GINS AND TINS Sep29 Sep19 Aug16 Aug08 Jul20 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 10% 8.50    
SCR  FLATTER ME PLEASE Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 May24 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
TWIRLING MAMBA Oct10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
FUEL THE BERN Oct03 Sep19 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 6.00 6% 17.10    
CALL ME LATER Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug16 (grace john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
WHERE YOU WAS Oct12 Sep23 Sep05 Aug16 Jul27 (rogers r)GALLARDO A 124 8.00    
KASIM Oct08 Jul22 Jun17 Apr29 Mar25 (synnefias dimi)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
SUMMERFEST Oct12 Oct05 Sep19 Sep08 Aug16 (antus la)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SANDY Sep01 Aug13       (gorham mic)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00    
SCR  MISS MIKAELA Oct10 Sep29 Sep06 Aug03 Jul04 (guciardo john)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
CHARGES DROPPED Sep17 Aug20 Jul22 Apr17 Mar26 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00    
SCR  SHOSHANAH Sep28 Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 (horlacher kyl)WALKER M 118 10.00    
FORGOTTEN PEACE Oct12 Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 Jun30 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 57% 0.70    
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug09 Jul27 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
BATTLE CHARGE Sep19 Aug17 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
SCR  DO YOU LOVE ME Oct06 Sep08 Jan26     (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
TWILA MAE Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 15.00    
10  SHE'S DANCING Oct12 Sep22 Sep05 Aug15 Jun09 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
11  VILLAGE QUEEN Oct11 Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 6.00 6% 16.30    
12  TOOLCAT Oct12 Sep19 Aug15 Aug03 Jul05 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
 
PID-7   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO VENTURE (GB) Sep29 Aug22 Jul08 Jun10 May14 (stidham )GALLARDO A 117 4.50    
SCR  VIBURNUM Sep13 Sep01 Aug13 Jul11 Jun08 (danner kelsey)NO RIDER 121 8.00    
TASS (GB) Oct02 Sep24 Sep07 Jul27 Jun24 (martin f)MARTINEZ W 121 12.00    
LAKE LUCERNE Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Jun05 May06 (walsh brenda)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
DANA'S BEAUTY Oct10 Sep19 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 (rogers mic)AYALA J 119 12.00    
GLADYS Oct02 Sep10 Aug16 Jul09 Jun14 (danner kelsey)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  BYE BYE BERTIE Sep17 Sep05 Jul23 Jun18 May21 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 12.00    
DECIDING VOTE Oct03 Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 Apr23 (graham edw)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 10% 9.40    
MISS MIKAELA Oct10 Sep29 Sep06 Aug03 Jul04 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
10  CHRISTMAS DIAMOND (GB) Oct10 Sep19 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (connelly teres)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  GEORGETOWN ROAD Oct05 Sep15 May26 Apr27 Mar26 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 113 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE Oct18 Oct10 Apr15 Feb22   (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  AT LEAST Oct17 Aug03 Jul26 Jul14   (grace jo)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
BEE WINGS Oct12 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 May23 (norris stephan)JURADO EDDIE 122 12.00    
MAUK'S TUFF Oct10 Oct05 Sep21 Sep13 Aug17 (finucane richard)SPIETH S 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
MAMA LONGLEGS Sep27 Sep14 Aug17 Aug01 Mar02 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF Oct20 Oct12 Sep28 Sep22 Sep12 (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
MIDNIGHT LEAP Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug17 (blackhurst rand)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
SCR  GO YEOWOMEN Sep13 Aug17 Jun23 May06 Apr16 (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
THISAINTJUMPSTREET Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (rojas eduardo )CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
10  FED UP FIRED UP Oct10 Sep14 Aug14 Aug03 Jun19 (cain crystal)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.