The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 22, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:00
:231 :47 1:13 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS ADDIE LYNN 8 8 31½ 32 2½ 2nk 1nk (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 21.88  
5  GOODBETTERBEST 5 4 11 12 1½ 1nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 30% 2.40 2.23 P
4  LUCKY PHOENIX 4 3 53½ 54½ 33 33½ 34 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 8% 11.40 14.00 S
2  FREE SPIRITED 2 5 75¾ 69½ 58 47 46½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 35% 1.90 3.10  
7  TOP MULE 7 7 21 22 45 58 516¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 ★ 14.94  
1  BEST SELLER 1 1 65½ 79¾ 712 612½ 619½ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 ★ 1.69  
6  UNLEASH THE SPIRIT 6 6 86¾ 816¼ 816 716 723 (bright derrick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 47.61  
3  TATTERED HEART 3 2 41½ 43½ 611 824 848¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 9.61  
 
CD-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
:224 :461 1:123 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOUSED 2 1 76¾ 57 43½ 2½ 13½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 49% 1.00 1.75 W
5  DUPLANTIS 3 2 55½ 44½ 1½ 1½ 23½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 ★ 3.48 P
2  LED TASSO 1 8 1012¼ 1013¼ 79½ 55½ 35½ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 10.25  
7  CAMBIASO 5 3 33½ 33½ 32½ 32½ 46 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 23.35  
6  CONNECT ME 4 9 87¾ 68½ 67 67 57¾ (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 ★ 9.20  
10  AFFAMATO 8 6 22½ 23½ 54 77 612 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 54.99  
13  CRACK THE MOON 10 5 12½ 13½ 2½ 44½ 714¾ (gutierrez faustio)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 7% 13.30 16.72  
8  DRIVEN BY PRESSURE 6 10 98¼ 89¼ 818 826 840¾ (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 23% 3.40 5.07  
11  HOME SCHOOL 9 7 43½ 911¼ 1022½ 930 959 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 26.94  
9  MIDNIGHT DREAMING 7 4 65¾ 78¾ 921 1033 1066 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00 7.11  
SCR  AIRTIME               (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
SCR  GHOSTSTRYDER               (morey e)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
SCR  ROCKING ROCKET               (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
CD-3   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
:244 :494 1:142 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRACE'S SECRET 2 5 56 57½ 33 2½ 11¾ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 122 1.60 29% 2.50 1.65 W
5  BALLYKEEN 4 1 11 11½ 1nk 1½ 21¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 ★ 2.77 P
2  JE SUIS RAPIDE 1 2 44½ 46 510 47½ 37½ (radcliffe w)DIAZ RENE 113 5.00 20% 4.00 2.53 S
4  BEACH KITTEN 3 4 32½ 32 2nk 34½ 411¾ (scherer marianne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 6.14  
6  SOLAR REIGN 5 3 21 21½ 46 59½ 514¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 4.80 5.80  
SCR  SUM MORE BIZZNESS               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
 
CD-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:214 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  APPEAL DENIED 2 6 41½ 2nk   12½ 12½ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 34% 1.90 5.46 W
3  ICEATUDE 3 7 710¾ 76¼   46 22½ (pierce lacy)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 36.98 P
4  ARROGATES SPIRIT 4 5 52 42   34½ 35¼ (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★ 5.88 S
7  WAR ROOM 7 3 2½ 1nk   22½ 47 (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 1.57  
8  MAYAN 8 4 62¼ 31½   58 515 (mott i)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 33% 2.00 2.06  
5  IT'S A BANG BANG 5 2 1½ 53   610 617¼ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 5% 17.90 8.87  
1  ISLAND MISCHIEF 1 8 813¾ 811¾   818 720¾ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 43.53  
6  MOUNT KISCO 6 1 31½ 66   714 822½ (howell jessica)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 19.64  
 
CD-5   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
:23 :463 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MO'S TREASURE 3 2 42½ 31   1nk 11¾ (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.45 W
3  GHOST NATION 2 6 53 53½   32½ 21¾ (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 17.23  
11  JOKING WAY 10 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 31¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 29% 2.40 5.11 S
5  ENDPOINT 4 3 3½ 41½   43 42¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 2.69  
6  KING RUSSELL 5 10 108¼ 1010¼   79¼ 54¼ (moquett e)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
10  SINGLE RULER 9 7 86¼ 98¾   69 65½ (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00 10.64  
2  KOOPS 1 9 1½ 1nk   55 78¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.04  
12  WILD SEAN 11 11 1112¾ 1113¼   914¾ 813½ (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 31.43  
7  LEOLA 7 8 96¾ 78½   812¼ 914¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 48.44  
1  RIO MOON 6 5 65 88¾   1016¾ 1019¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 17.80 23.65  
8  TEAM LEADER 8 4 75¼ 68   1119¾ 1130¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 25% 3.10 2.44  
SCR  CODE ONE               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
:23 :462 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 2 61¾ 41½   42¼ 1¾ (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★ 2.26  
5  STEINBECK 5 6 31 31   1nk 2¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7% 12.60 7.33 P
4  CARBONITE 4 5 2½ 2nk   2nk 31¾ (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 2.46 S
2  CIVICS CLASS 2 1 1½ 1nk   3.2 43 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 120 4.00 6.00  
7  WRITEITONTHEICE 6 7 72¾ 61¾   54¾ 56½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 3.97  
8  ORO DE MORO MORO 7 4 41½ 72¾   77¼ 68½ (morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 ★ 13.52  
3  LANSDOWNE 3 3 51½ 51¾   66¼ 710½ (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 10.81  
SCR  BUTTON BOY               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
CD-7   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
:212 :444 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RUN CLASSIC 10 1 74½ 63¼   3½ 1¾ (calhoun bret)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 8% 11.70 4.76 W
6  MARSALIS 6 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 2¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 47% 1.10 1.87 P
1  SPARTAN ARMY 1 4 41½ 51¼   41 33 (stewart dallas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.04  
8  EMBRACE 8 9 98½ 107¾   64 43 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 58.72  
5  LET MY PEOPLE GO 5 5 64 73¾   74¼ 53¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 8.70  
2  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 2 2 1½ 2nk   2½ 64¼ (jones larry)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9.88  
9  PAGE ONE 9 11 52 41¼   53 74¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10% 9.30 7.02  
4  BADGEBALL 4 8 86 86¾   87¾ 88½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50 10% 8.60 12.49  
13  GO EMI 12 7 1110½ 1110¼   98¼ 99¼ (gonzalez lilia)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 51.13  
3  MARCHING 3 12 1010 97¼   109¾ 1010¼ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 41.02  
11  FLINT RIDGE 11 6 31 31   1111¼ 1113½ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 20.03  
7  SCHMOOZIN 7 10 1211½ 1210¾   1212¼ 1214¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 15.00 20.11  
SCR  MALIBU MIKE               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
SCR  SEAL BEACH               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  TRASHTALKINYANKEE               (van thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  YOU VEE CEE               (deville j)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00    
 
CD-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 8:23
:214 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CLOSED CAPTION 8 7 43½ 31½   12 11½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 5.00 15% 5.60 4.78 W
10  EYES OF GOLD 9 1 53½ 42   32 21½ (demeritte larry)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 6% 16.10 4.91 P
4  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 3 5 76½ 65   44 32 (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 44% 1.20 1.80 S
11  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 10 2 21½ 2nk   22 45 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 ★ 7.16  
5  STAGE BELL 4 9 88½ 88½   59½ 511 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 29.58  
8  DREAMING ALWAYS 7 11 109¾ 99   711 614 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 55.87  
7  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE 6 10 1114¼ 1012   1013¼ 714¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 9.57  
3  MOR HAPPY HOURS 2 8 66 78   911¾ 815 (vance r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 51.56  
2  CONNELMAURA 1 6 32 53   610½ 915½ (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 13.37  
6  CLOUDY BAY 5 4 11½ 1nk   811½ 1018 (davis christopher)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 13% 6.40 6.09  
12  LADY BRETT ASHLEY 11 3 99½ 1114   1121¼ 1132¾ (heitzman eric)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00 59.60  
SCR  FROSTALICIOUS               (mason ingrid)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
SCR  HAPPYSECRET               (wohlers laura)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  PIONEER PARADE               (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TRIBAL SPIRIT               (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.