Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS ADDIE LYNN   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 21.88  
5  GOODBETTERBEST   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.50 2.23 P
4  LUCKY PHOENIX   (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 14.00  
2  FREE SPIRITED   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 38% 1.60 3.10  
7  TOP MULE   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.94  
1  BEST SELLER   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 22% 3.60 1.69  
6  UNLEASH THE SPIRIT   (bright de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 47.61  
3  TATTERED HEART   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 9.61  
 
CD-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOUSED   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 44% 1.30 1.75 W
5  DUPLANTIS   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 ★ 3.48 P
2  LED TASSO   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 10.25  
7  CAMBIASO   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 23.35  
6  CONNECT ME   (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
10  AFFAMATO   (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 54.99  
13  CRACK THE MOON   (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 6% 17.10 16.72  
8  DRIVEN BY PRESSURE   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 29% 2.50 5.07  
11  HOME SCHOOL (IRE)   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 26.94  
9  MIDNIGHT DREAMING   (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00 7.11  
SCR  AIRTIME   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
SCR  GHOSTSTRYDER   (morey will)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
SCR  ROCKING ROCKET   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
CD-3   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRACE'S SECRET   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 122 1.60 1.65  
5  BALLYKEEN   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 2.77  
2  JE SUIS RAPIDE   (radcliffe robert )DIAZ RENE 113 5.00 29% 2.50 2.53 S
4  BEACH KITTEN   (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 6.14  
6  SOLAR REIGN   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 31% 2.20 5.80  
SCR  SUM MORE BIZZNESS   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
 
CD-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  APPEAL DENIED   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 34% 2.00 5.46 W
3  ICEATUDE   (pierce lac)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 36.98 P
4  ARROGATES SPIRIT   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 5.88  
7  WAR ROOM   (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 6.00 1.57  
8  MAYAN   (mott i)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.06  
5  IT'S A BANG BANG   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 8.87  
1  ISLAND MISCHIEF   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 5% 19.00 43.53  
6  MOUNT KISCO   (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 19.64  
 
CD-5   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MO'S TREASURE   (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 12.45  
3  GHOST NATION   (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 17.23  
11  JOKING WAY   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 26% 2.90 5.11 S
5  ENDPOINT   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 2.69  
6  KING RUSSELL   (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 5% 18.90 11.20  
10  SINGLE RULER   (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00 10.64  
2  KOOPS   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.04  
12  WILD SEAN   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 18.90 31.43  
7  LEOLA   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 48.44  
1  RIO MOON   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.65  
8  TEAM LEADER   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 29% 2.50 2.44  
SCR  CODE ONE   (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER   (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE   (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 21% 3.80 2.26 W
5  STEINBECK   (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9% 9.90 7.33 P
4  CARBONITE   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.46  
2  CIVICS CLASS   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 120 4.00 6.00  
7  WRITEITONTHEICE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 3.97  
8  ORO DE MORO MORO   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.52  
3  LANSDOWNE (GB)   (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL null   10.81  
SCR  BUTTON BOY   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50    
 
CD-7   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RUN CLASSIC   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.80 4.76 W
6  MARSALIS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 40% 1.50 1.87 P
1  SPARTAN ARMY   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 19% 4.30 6.04 S
8  EMBRACE (IRE)   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH null   58.72  
5  LET MY PEOPLE GO   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 8.70  
2  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY   (jones larr)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9.88  
9  PAGE ONE   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 6% 16.10 7.02  
4  BADGEBALL   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50 12.49  
13  GO EMI   (gonzalez li)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 51.13  
3  MARCHING   (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 41.02  
11  FLINT RIDGE   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 20.03  
7  SCHMOOZIN   (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.11  
SCR  MALIBU MIKE   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
SCR  SEAL BEACH   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  TRASHTALKINYANKEE   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  YOU VEE CEE   (deville j)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00    
 
CD-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CLOSED CAPTION   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 ★ 4.78  
10  EYES OF GOLD   (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 17% 4.90 4.91 P
4  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 47% 1.10 1.80 S
11  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 7.16  
5  STAGE BELL   (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 29.58  
8  DREAMING ALWAYS   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 55.87  
7  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 9.57  
3  MOR HAPPY HOURS   (vance davi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 51.56  
2  CONNELMAURA   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.37  
6  CLOUDY BAY   (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 11% 8.50 6.09  
12  LADY BRETT ASHLEY   (heitzman er)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00 59.60  
SCR  FROSTALICIOUS   (mason ingrid)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
SCR  HAPPYSECRET   (wohlers lau)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
SCR  LADAN   (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  PIONEER PARADE   (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TRIBAL SPIRIT   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.