Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST SELLER Aug26 Aug06 Jul04     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 22% 3.60    
2  FREE SPIRITED Aug26         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  TATTERED HEART Aug26 Aug04       (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
4  LUCKY PHOENIX Aug21         (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
5  GOODBETTERBEST Aug26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.50    
6  UNLEASH THE SPIRIT Sep02 Jul26 Jul09     (bright de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
7  TOP MULE Aug21 Jul22       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MISS ADDIE LYNN Aug06 Jul15 Jun23     (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKING ROCKET Aug21         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
2  LED TASSO Aug28 Jul30       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  GHOSTSTRYDER Aug28         (morey will)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
4  HOUSED Aug27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  DUPLANTIS Aug05 Jun10       (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 ★    
6  CONNECT ME Jul30         (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAMBIASO Aug27 Jul24 Jul10     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
8  DRIVEN BY PRESSURE Jul23         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
9  MIDNIGHT DREAMING Jul30 Jun26 Jun08     (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00    
10  AFFAMATO Aug28         (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 119 20.00    
11  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Sep05 Aug05       (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
SCR  AIRTIME Aug21         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
13  CRACK THE MOON         (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 6% 17.10    
 
CD-3   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUM MORE BIZZNESS Aug24 Jul15       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
2  JE SUIS RAPIDE Sep05 Aug09 Jun25     (radcliffe robert )DIAZ RENE 113 5.00 29% 2.50    
3  GRACE'S SECRET Aug10 Jul15 Jun12 May29 Jan02 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 122 1.60    
4  BEACH KITTEN Jun24 Jun08 May19 May09 Apr27 (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
5  BALLYKEEN Jul29 May22 Apr02     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50    
6  SOLAR REIGN Aug27 Jul30 Jul10     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
CD-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLAND MISCHIEF Aug21         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  APPEAL DENIED Aug13 Jun19       (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  ICEATUDE         (pierce lac)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARROGATES SPIRIT         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
5  IT'S A BANG BANG Aug21         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00    
6  MOUNT KISCO Aug21 Aug07 Jul03     (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
7  WAR ROOM         (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
8  MAYAN         (mott i)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
CD-5   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIO MOON         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CODE ONE         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
2  KOOPS         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
3  GHOST NATION Aug20         (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
4  MO'S TREASURE Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 Jun02 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
5  ENDPOINT Aug28         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
6  KING RUSSELL         (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 5% 18.90    
7  LEOLA         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
8  TEAM LEADER Jul30         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
10  SINGLE RULER Aug28         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00    
11  JOKING WAY         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
12  WILD SEAN         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER         (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
 
CD-6   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  CIVICS CLASS Aug30 Jul27 May28 Apr09   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 4.00    
3  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jul22 Jun30 May30 May08 Apr10 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL null      
4  CARBONITE Aug08         (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
5  STEINBECK Aug20 Aug08 Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  BUTTON BOY Sep03 Aug15       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50    
7  WRITEITONTHEICE Aug10 Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
8  ORO DE MORO MORO Aug12 Jul31       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARTAN ARMY         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 19% 4.30    
2  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Jun19 May28 May07 Apr16 Mar13 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
3  MARCHING Aug20         (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00    
4  BADGEBALL Jun25         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
5  LET MY PEOPLE GO Jul30 Jul02 May22 Apr29 Mar27 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
6  MARSALIS Mar26 Feb19       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  SCHMOOZIN Jun25 May30 May04 Mar18 Jan23 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  EMBRACE (IRE) Sep06 Aug07 Jun19 May22   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH null      
9  PAGE ONE         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
10  RUN CLASSIC         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
11  FLINT RIDGE Jul30         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
SCR  MALIBU MIKE Aug10 Jul19       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
13  GO EMI Aug23 Aug04 May31 May10   (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
SCR  TRASHTALKINYANKEE Sep06 Aug08 Jul10     (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  SEAL BEACH Sep03 Aug17 Jul03 Jun12   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  YOU VEE CEE May08 Apr23 Apr02 Mar20 Feb26 (deville j)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00    
 
CD-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRIBAL SPIRIT         (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
2  CONNELMAURA         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOR HAPPY HOURS         (vance davi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
4  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Aug28         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  STAGE BELL         (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
6  CLOUDY BAY Aug21         (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 11% 8.50    
7  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
8  DREAMING ALWAYS         (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
9  CLOSED CAPTION Sep10         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 ★    
10  EYES OF GOLD Aug13 Jul04 Jun08     (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
11  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Aug13         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
12  LADY BRETT ASHLEY Aug23         (heitzman er)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00    
SCR  LADAN Jul31 Jun29       (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  HAPPYSECRET         (wohlers lau)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
SCR  PIONEER PARADE         (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  FROSTALICIOUS Aug18         (mason ingrid)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.