Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY STAR 5 2 1 1nk   13 1 (weaver cassondr)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.50 3.30  
MARK THE MOOSE 1 5 33 3½   23 2 (radosevich r)SPIETH S 119 1.80 36% 1.70 2.10 P
LEONARD'S LEGACY 4 1 2 2nk   34 38 (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 18% 4.40 3.40 S
SONGWRITER 6 3 44 4   46 4 (caramori caio)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.50 15% 5.80 5.10  
MY FREEDOM 2 6 65 66   610½ 514¼ (roman malv)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 19.40  
UNCAPTURED LYON 3 4 55 5   59 616 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 119 10.00 3.50  
 
PID-2   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMODORE BARRY 1 4 4 3   3½ 1 (cooper tho)MARTINEZ A 122 1.60 68% 0.50 0.70 W
SHOOT YOUR CUFFS 6 6 6 53   4¾ 2 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.50 3.90 P
AEGONTHECONQUEROR 3 3 1 11   1nk 34 (rotunno sydney)AYALA J 122 3.00 4.00 S
BRADITUDE 4 1 2 21   2nk 4 (rogers w)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 6.90  
BISHI 5 2 5 4   5 5 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 37.20  
PURE SPRING 2 5 3 65   6 6 (boyer jr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 10.90  
 
PID-3   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 (carr-rozantz c)AYALA J 122 5.00 10% 9.10 3.80 W
KLAYTON'S KANDY 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 (salvaggio )GALLARDO A 122 4.00 3.10 P
ANTIGONE 6 6 611 5 54 45 3 (davis scooter)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 65% 0.50 0.70 S
HONEY BOURBON 5 4 5 68 6 5 4 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 122 10.00 8.90  
LIGHTNING ROUND 1 5 4 4 43 35 5 (valdez moises)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00 26.10  
BLARNEY GIRL 3 2 33 3 3 611 618¼ (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 24.40  
SCR  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00    
 
PID-4   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:263 :514 1:171 1:421   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA HONOR 1 3 11 1½ 11 11 12 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 50% 1.00 0.40 W
MAKES MO CENTS 6 5 21 3 4 21 22 (nuesch patrick)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 12% 7.70 3.40 P
WHISTLE ME HOME 5 4 65 63 75 31 3 (guciardo john)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 11% 8.20 10.40 S
FIGHTIN PHIL 3 1 31 2½ 21 42 45 (antus lawrence)ROMERO RAMON 124 5.00 12.60  
RED CAT (CHI) 2 2 4 4 3 54 5 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 16.50  
STORM ALFEET 7 6 54 52 64 7 6 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 124 12.00 13.80  
CAKE AND EAT IT TO 4 7 76 7 5 6 7 (schaber debbie)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00 32.80  
 
PID-5   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:253 :51 1:153 1:402   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A REAL HERO 4 1 12 11 11 11 1 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 9% 10.40 0.70 W
ETELKA 3 2 47 53 42 21 2 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 122 12.00 6% 16.50 23.30 P
BOURBON BLAST 2 5 5 43 6 3 35 (cheeks p)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 6.70 S
SWEET MOOCHIE 1 6 710 75 75 53 45 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 4.30  
TIZ PROMISING RVF 5 7 6 6 5 7 5 (valdez moises)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 50.90  
ROLLING MO 6 3 22 21 21 4 66 (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 51% 1.00 6.20  
IJUSTWANTAHAVEFUN 7 4 3 3 31 6 7 (west m)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 8% 11.00 8.20  
SCR  LACEE               (carr-rozantz c)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WROTE IN STONE 3 1 11 11   12 11 (fennessy john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 6.80  
ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN 7 4 4 5   22 21 (trombetta )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 9% 10.10 1.20 P
KEYSTONE HANK 6 5 74 6   6 3 (morrell r)SPIETH S 121 4.00 13.10 S
BEACH HOLIDAY 4 7 64 42   5 4 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 119 3.50 8.00  
CROWLEY'S WAR 1 2 5 32   4 5 (wismer s)WALKER M 124 8.00 11.40  
STRANGE ARRANGE 2 6 32 21   32 6 (kintz matthew)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00 64% 0.60 1.90  
MAMBA TWENTY FOUR 5 3 21 7   711¼ 715 (stephen anthony)STANLEY O 122 12.00 33.10  
 
PID-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESIST THE DEVIL 1 5 67 6   5 1¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 1.20  
BIZ BIZ BUZZ 5 4 45 54   2nk 2¾ (trombetta micha)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00 3.40  
SAN COSTANTINO 6 2 3 3   3.2 3¾ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 12.00 13.60  
WORLDS ON HIGH 3 7 57 4   4¾ 4 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 122 12.00 8.70  
GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 4 1 12 1   1nk 5 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 4.50 7.20  
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 7 3 22 2   6 6 (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00 41% 1.50 12.90  
HEY PADRE 2 6 7 77   7 78 (nagle sarah)ALLEN M 122 4.00 35% 1.80 4.60  
SCR  GAMBLER ROCKET               (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
SCR  HEATHER'S GOLD               (rogers m)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIRJUS DREAM 8 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (stephen anthony)STANLEY O 124 5.00 9.30  
SHE'S REDNECKER 4 3 4 31   2 2 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 3.50 34% 1.90 1.30 P
DETERMINED CHARM 6 6 5 5   5 3 (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 1.80 S
RACING QUEEN 3 4 31 4   4 4 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 121 12.00 15.80  
FINE FABRIC 1 8 6 6   6 5 (graham edwar)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00 14.80  
MIDNIGHT FAME 7 2 1nk 1nk   3 6 (carr-rozantz cat)ROMERO RAMON 124 4.50 8.60  
IN BEAUTIFULDREAMS 2 7 7 7   714¾ 728½ (russell randal)AYALA J 124 15.00 14.90  
GYPSY TAILWIND 5 5 827½ 819¼   823¼ 836½ (hogue l)ALLEN D 124 12.00 24.30  
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN               (rogers ron)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 41% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.