Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUNAWAY STAR 5 2 12½ 1nk   13 13¼ (weaver casson)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.50 ★ 3.30  
1  MARK THE MOOSE 1 5 33 3½   23 23¼ (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 119 1.80 36% 1.70 2.10 P
4  LEONARD'S LEGACY 4 1 22½ 2nk   34 38 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 18% 4.40 3.40 S
6  SONGWRITER 6 3 44 42½   46 49¾ (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.50 15% 5.80 5.10  
2  MY FREEDOM 2 6 65 66   610½ 514¼ (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 19.40  
3  UNCAPTURED LYON 3 4 55 53½   59 616 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 ★ 3.50  
 
PID-2   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMODORE BARRY 1 4 41¾ 32½   3½ 11¾ (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 1.60 68% 0.50 0.70 W
6  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS 6 6 63¼ 53   4¾ 21¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.50 ★ 3.90 P
3  AEGONTHECONQUEROR 3 3 11½ 11   1nk 34 (rotunno sydn)AYALA J 122 3.00 ★ 4.00 S
4  BRADITUDE 4 1 21½ 21   2nk 44½ (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 6.90  
5  BISHI 5 2 52¼ 42½   53¾ 57½ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 ★ 37.20  
2  PURE SPRING 2 5 31½ 65   66¾ 69¾ (boyer j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 ★ 10.90  
 
PID-3   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 4 1 12½ 11½ 11½ 12½ 13¾ (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 5.00 10% 9.10 3.80 W
3  KLAYTON'S KANDY 2 3 22½ 21½ 21½ 22½ 23¾ (salvaggi)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 ★ 3.10 P
7  ANTIGONE 6 6 611 57½ 54 45 36¾ (davis scooter)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 65% 0.50 0.70 S
6  HONEY BOURBON 5 4 58½ 68 65½ 55½ 47½ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 10.00 8.90  
1  LIGHTNING ROUND 1 5 45½ 43½ 43 35 58¼ (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00 26.10  
4  BLARNEY GIRL 3 2 33 31½ 32½ 611 618¼ (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 ★ 24.40  
SCR  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:263 :514 1:171 1:421   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA HONOR 1 3 11 1½ 11 11 12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 50% 1.00 0.40 W
6  MAKES MO CENTS 6 5 21 31½ 42½ 21 22 (nuesch patric)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 12% 7.70 3.40 P
5  WHISTLE ME HOME 5 4 65 63 75 31 33½ (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 11% 8.20 10.40 S
3  FIGHTIN PHIL 3 1 31 2½ 21 42 45 (antus lawrence)ROMERO RAMON 124 5.00 12.60  
2  RED CAT (CHI) 2 2 43½ 41½ 31½ 54 56¼ (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 ★ 16.50  
7  STORM ALFEET 7 6 54 52 64 77½ 67¾ (huertas )DAVIS A 124 12.00 13.80  
4  CAKE AND EAT IT TO 4 7 76 73¼ 53½ 66½ 79½ (schaber debb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★ 32.80  
 
PID-5   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:253 :51 1:153 1:402   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  A REAL HERO 4 1 12 11 11 11 12½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 9% 10.40 0.70 W
4  ETELKA 3 2 47 53 42 21 22½ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 12.00 6% 16.50 23.30 P
3  BOURBON BLAST 2 5 57½ 43 63½ 31½ 35 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 ★ 6.70 S
1  SWEET MOOCHIE 1 6 710 75 75 53 45 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 4.30  
6  TIZ PROMISING RVF 5 7 69½ 64½ 52½ 75½ 55¾ (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 50.90  
7  ROLLING MO 6 3 22 21 21 42½ 66 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 51% 1.00 6.20  
8  IJUSTWANTAHAVEFUN 7 4 35½ 32½ 31 64½ 76½ (west m)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 8% 11.00 8.20  
SCR  LACEE               (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WROTE IN STONE 3 1 11 11   12 11 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 6.80  
7  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN 7 4 42½ 52¼   22 21 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 9% 10.10 1.20 P
6  KEYSTONE HANK 6 5 74 63¼   63¾ 32¾ (morrell r)SPIETH S 121 4.00 ★ 13.10 S
4  BEACH HOLIDAY 4 7 64 42   53¾ 43¼ (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 119 3.50 ★ 8.00  
1  CROWLEY'S WAR 1 2 53½ 32   43½ 53¼ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 124 8.00 11.40  
2  STRANGE ARRANGE 2 6 32 21   32 64¾ (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00 64% 0.60 1.90  
5  MAMBA TWENTY FOUR 5 3 21 74¾   711¼ 715 (stephen anthony)STANLEY O 122 12.00 ★ 33.10  
 
PID-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESIST THE DEVIL 1 5 67 65½   51¾ 1¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 ★ 1.20  
7  BIZ BIZ BUZZ 5 4 45 54   2nk 2¾ (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00 3.40  
8  SAN COSTANTINO 6 2 34½ 32½   3.2 3¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 12.00 13.60  
4  WORLDS ON HIGH 3 7 57 43½   4¾ 43¼ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 8.70  
6  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 4 1 12 12½   1nk 55¼ (walsh d)WALKER M 122 4.50 7.20  
9  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 7 3 22 22½   64¼ 65¾ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00 41% 1.50 12.90  
3  HEY PADRE 2 6 78½ 77   77¼ 78 (nagle sarah)ALLEN M 122 4.00 35% 1.80 4.60  
SCR  GAMBLER ROCKET               (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  HEATHER'S GOLD               (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
 
PID-8   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SIRJUS DREAM 8 1 2nk 2nk   11½ 12½ (stephen anthony)STANLEY O 124 5.00 ★ 9.30  
4  SHE'S REDNECKER 4 3 41½ 31   21½ 22½ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 3.50 34% 1.90 1.30 P
7  DETERMINED CHARM 6 6 54½ 52¼   53¼ 33¼ (schoenth)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 ★ 1.80 S
3  RACING QUEEN 3 4 31 41¼   41¾ 44½ (huertas )DAVIS A 121 12.00 15.80  
1  FINE FABRIC 1 8 66½ 65¼   64¾ 56½ (graham edw)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00 14.80  
8  MIDNIGHT FAME 7 2 1nk 1nk   31½ 67½ (carr-rozantz c)ROMERO RAMON 124 4.50 ★ 8.60  
2  IN BEAUTIFULDREAMS 2 7 77½ 77¼   714¾ 728½ (russell rand)AYALA J 124 15.00 14.90  
6  GYPSY TAILWIND 5 5 827½ 819¼   823¼ 836½ (hogue l)ALLEN D 124 12.00 24.30  
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN               (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.