Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK THE MOOSE Oct05 Sep12 Aug24 Jul25 Jul11 (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 119 1.80 36% 1.70    
2  MY FREEDOM Jul01 Jun09 Jun01     (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
3  UNCAPTURED LYON Sep18 Aug21       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 ★    
4  LEONARD'S LEGACY Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jul13 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
5  RUNAWAY STAR Sep21 Aug31 Aug15 Jul21 Jun29 (weaver casson)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.50 ★    
6  SONGWRITER Oct02 Aug31 Jul26 Jun14 Mar09 (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
PID-2   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMODORE BARRY Sep27 Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul11 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 1.60 68% 0.50    
2  PURE SPRING Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 (boyer j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 ★    
3  AEGONTHECONQUEROR Sep20 Sep08 Aug08     (rotunno sydn)AYALA J 122 3.00 ★    
4  BRADITUDE Oct13 Sep20 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
5  BISHI Oct12 Sep27 Sep20 Aug16 Aug02 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 ★    
6  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.50 ★    
 
PID-3   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING ROUND Oct12 Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 Aug17 (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
SCR  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Sep22 Aug30 Jun09 Mar31 Mar03 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00 ★    
3  KLAYTON'S KANDY Oct13 Sep17 Aug19 Jun30 Jun22 (salvaggi)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 ★    
4  BLARNEY GIRL Sep13 Aug03 Jul11 Jun23 May13 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
5  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Sep29 Sep08 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 5.00 10% 9.10    
6  HONEY BOURBON Oct10 Sep21 Sep13 Aug26 Aug17 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
7  ANTIGONE Sep26 Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 Jun25 (davis scooter)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
 
PID-4   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA HONOR Oct09 Sep18 Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
2  RED CAT (CHI) Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 ★    
3  FIGHTIN PHIL Oct11 Sep28 Sep13 Sep06 Aug15 (antus lawrence)ROMERO RAMON 124 5.00    
4  CAKE AND EAT IT TO Sep13 Sep05 Aug17 Aug08 Jul19 (schaber debb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
5  WHISTLE ME HOME Sep20 Jul07 Jun14 Apr29 Apr15 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 11% 8.20    
6  MAKES MO CENTS Sep05 Aug09 Jul20     (nuesch patric)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 12% 7.70    
7  STORM ALFEET Oct04 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 12.00    
 
PID-5   10/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MOOCHIE Oct10 Sep22 Sep13 Aug29 Aug16 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
SCR  LACEE Oct06 Sep29 Sep22 Sep12 Aug29 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 12.00    
3  BOURBON BLAST Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul21 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 ★    
4  ETELKA Sep20 Sep06 Jul26 Jun22 May31 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
5  A REAL HERO Sep13 Aug09 Jul21 Jun27 Jun11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 9% 10.40    
6  TIZ PROMISING RVF Oct12 Sep28 Sep22 Sep12 Aug31 (valdez moise)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
7  ROLLING MO Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  IJUSTWANTAHAVEFUN Sep29 Sep06 Jul18 Jun30 Jun16 (west m)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 8% 11.00    
 
PID-6   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWLEY'S WAR Oct04 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Jul27 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 124 8.00    
2  STRANGE ARRANGE Sep15 Aug24 Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00 64% 0.60    
3  WROTE IN STONE Sep12 Aug31 Jul20 Jul11 Jun15 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
4  BEACH HOLIDAY Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Jul12 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 119 3.50 ★    
5  MAMBA TWENTY FOUR Oct05 Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 Jul01 (stephen antho)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00 ★    
6  KEYSTONE HANK Oct12 Sep27 Sep06 Aug24 Aug08 (morrell r)SPIETH S 121 4.00 ★    
7  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Sep25 Aug17 Aug07 Jul20 May13 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 9% 10.10    
 
PID-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESIST THE DEVIL Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug13 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  GAMBLER ROCKET Sep18 Jul29 Jul10 Jun19   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 ★    
3  HEY PADRE Sep29 Sep03 Aug16 Jul18 Jun18 (nagle sarah)ALLEN M 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
4  WORLDS ON HIGH Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 Jul01 Jun03 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
SCR  HEATHER'S GOLD Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
6  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Sep26 Aug01 Jul21 Jun27 Jun09 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 4.50    
7  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Sep12 Jul28 Jun16     (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
8  SAN COSTANTINO Oct11 Aug31 Jul28 Jul06 Jun15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
9  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Sep29 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00 41% 1.50    
 
PID-8   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE FABRIC         (graham edw)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00    
2  IN BEAUTIFULDREAMS         (russell rand)AYALA J 124 15.00    
3  RACING QUEEN Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
4  SHE'S REDNECKER Oct03 Sep15 Aug08 Jul20 May21 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 41% 1.40    
6  GYPSY TAILWIND         (hogue l)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
7  DETERMINED CHARM Sep18 Aug24       (schoenth)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 ★    
8  MIDNIGHT FAME Oct03 Sep22 Sep15     (carr-rozantz c)ROMERO RAMON 124 4.50 ★    
9  SIRJUS DREAM Sep25 Sep14 Aug01     (stephen antho)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.