The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 13, 2022
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PID-1   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:222 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRADITUDE 5 1 21 21   21 1½ (rogers w)AYALA J 120 4.50 ★ 1.50  
2  RAINAS ROLLIN 2 3 11 11   11 2½ (rogers w)MARTINEZ A 117 2.50 10% 9.20 3.90 P
1  GOLDBAR 1 6 43 42½   32 3½ (stidham michael)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 63% 0.60 1.00 S
4  SLENDER BETSY 4 2 32 32   42 44¼ (rice kevin)WALKER M 117 6.00 ★ 37.90  
3  CHANGE THE HOUR 3 5 53 54   56 57¾ (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00 59.90  
6  TIDDLY WINK 6 4 64½ 65   67 69¾ (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 ★ 13.40  
 
PID-2   10/13/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
:251 :493 1:134 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CRAZY KATER 6 4 35 34½ 31 3.2 1½ (aguirre jr)AYALA J 122 3.00 ★ 6.00  
5  AULT 5 1 24 24 21 2nk 2½ (radosevich r)SPIETH S 124 1.80 52% 0.90 3.10 P
1  TEMPUS 1 5 56½ 56½ 63¾ 51¾ 31¼ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 4.10  
4  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX 4 3 45½ 45½ 53¼ 4¼ 41¼ (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 19% 4.40 26.90  
3  ORAZIO 3 6 66½ 66½ 43 62 51½ (walsh d)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 5.10  
2  UNCLE ANDREW 2 2 14 14 11 1nk 62 (lawrence lee)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 ★ 1.30  
 
PID-3   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:222 :452 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISSIN THE BIG DOG 2 5 1½ 11   11 12 (farrior anthony)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00 W
5  SPIRIT ANIMAL 5 2 42½ 21   21 22 (caramori eduardo)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 ★ 3.00 P
4  CAPTAIN MAD JACK 4 1 31½ 32   32 32 (radosevich r)STANLEY O 122 5.00 7% 13.60 6.70 S
3  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE 3 3 2½ 43½   43½ 44½ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 2.70  
1  I BELONG TO BECKY 1 4 53½ 55   56½ 511 (hay r)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 16% 5.20 11.60  
SCR  MORETHANSOULTITLE               (connelly teresa)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
SCR  PATROL               (ferraro anthony)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
:221 :451 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JARETH 3 3 21 2nk   2nk 1½ (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 2.00 23% 3.40 1.50 W
1  BIG CHICKEN MAN 1 2 11 1nk   1nk 2½ (russell randall)AYALA J 124 6.00 ★ 3.90 P
5  SPICY SHOT 4 5 53¼ 53¾   32½ 34½ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 18% 4.40 2.80 S
2  ATTUCK 2 4 43 43½   43 48½ (patterson kevin)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.10  
6  LET PEACE PREVAIL 5 1 31 32½   56½ 510¼ (pappada c)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 26.40  
SCR  NO DRAMA               (rogers michael)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
 
PID-5   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 3:18
:223 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO 1 3 31½ 41½   3½ 12 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 35% 1.80 10.50 W
8  FAST MULE 5 5 62½ 31   41½ 22 (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 4.00 10% 9.30 3.20 P
3  E Z TOLL 2 4 21 2nk   1nk 32½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 ★ 1.10 S
9  YOU LOOKING AT ME 6 1 11 1nk   2nk 43 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 3.50 32% 2.10 2.40  
5  WINE WITH A ROSE 3 6 52½ 53   53½ 53¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 120 4.50 ★ 16.30  
7  ESTABLISHMENT 4 2 42 64   65 66¼ (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00 12.30  
SCR  AIR ONE               (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
SCR  BELLA'S CUPID               (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
SCR  NOT LIKE MY ROAD               (agnew naoise)AYALA J 120 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:223 :454 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) 3 4 11 11   13 14¾ (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 31% 2.20 1.00 W
5  WATERLOO SUNSET 5 2 42½ 42   23 24¾ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 20.80  
2  GRAND MAMOO 2 6 53½ 65   44½ 34¾ (russell randall)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 2.90  
4  SONG OF INDY 4 3 21 21   34 45¼ (rogers michael)AYALA J 122 5.00 10% 8.70 9.80  
1  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 1 1 66 54½   55½ 57 (buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 6% 15.90 7.20  
6  LAWN DART 6 5 31½ 31½   67 69 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 2.50 25% 3.00 3.60  
SCR  MIDNIGHT FROST               (estvanko richard)BRACHO A 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-7   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:241 :474 1:122 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PERFECT HIDEAWAY 7 1 34½ 35 22½ 2½ 1¾ (beattie m)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 15% 5.70 2.90 W
5  KICK OUT THE JAMS 5 6 711 613 66¼ 33 2¾ (estvanko richard)BRACHO A 122 6.00 ★ 15.00 P
2  STARSHIP MACYS 2 3 13 14 12½ 1½ 36¼ (pappada c)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 2.50 19% 4.40 2.30 S
1  READY TO FILM 1 4 23 24 32½ 43½ 46¼ (bennett s)ALLEN D 118 5.00 ★ 5.80  
6  TAKE TO THE SKIES 6 2 58 47½ 45 53½ 58½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 17.60  
3  SHE NASTY 3 7 69½ 59½ 56 6100 6100 (guciardo john)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 8.90  
4  IRISH DREAM GIRL 4 5 46½ 715½ 7100 7100 7100 (bennett s)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 40% 1.50 2.40  
 
PID-8   10/13/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
:252 :501 1:144 1:392   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHIC N WILBUR 6 1 11½ 11 1nk 1½ 11¼ (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.30 W
2  MR. MAGICO 2 4 32½ 31½ 41½ 2½ 21¼ (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 8.00 25.70  
3  K. K. ICHIKAWA 3 2 65 64 72¾ 41½ 31¼ (lecesse michael)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 6% 16.00 4.20 S
11  INCLUSIVE 11 9 76 74½ 62½ 52½ 41½ (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00 10% 9.40 5.40  
10  GREAT 10 5 21½ 21 2nk 3½ 52¾ (martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 8.70  
7  GOLD WING 7 10 109 107½ 96¾ 73¼ 63½ (guciardo john)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★ 35.70  
1  NAMARUNU (GER) 1 11 1110 119½ 106¾ 84¼ 74 (pappada c)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 14% 6.30 7.10  
4  THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 43 42½ 31 62¾ 84½ (hay r)STANLEY O 122 12.00 26.20  
5  LEBASI 5 8 96½ 85½ 83¾ 96¼ 96¾ (hogue l)AYALA J 122 20.00 36.30  
9  RED CAT (CHI) 9 6 54 53½ 52 109¼ 1012¼ (barron rory)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 15.00  
8  PLEASE SIT DOWN 8 7 86½ 96½ 1110¾ 1114¼ 1119 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 20.00 60.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.