Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRADITUDE 5 1 21 21   21 1½ (rogers ronal)AYALA J 120 4.50 ★ 1.50  
2  RAINAS ROLLIN 2 3 11 11   11 2½ (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 117 2.50 10% 9.20 3.90 P
1  GOLDBAR 1 6 43 42½   32 3½ (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 1.60 63% 0.60 1.00 S
4  SLENDER BETSY 4 2 32 32   42 44¼ (rice kevin)WALKER M 117 6.00 ★ 37.90  
3  CHANGE THE HOUR 3 5 53 54   56 57¾ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00 59.90  
6  TIDDLY WINK 6 4 64½ 65   67 69¾ (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 ★ 13.40  
 
PID-2   10/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:134 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CRAZY KATER 6 4 35 34½ 31 3.2 1½ (aguirre anth)AYALA J 122 3.00 ★ 6.00  
5  AULT 5 1 24 24 21 2nk 2½ (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 124 1.80 52% 0.90 3.10 P
1  TEMPUS 1 5 56½ 56½ 63¾ 51¾ 31¼ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 4.10  
4  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX 4 3 45½ 45½ 53¼ 4¼ 41¼ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 19% 4.40 26.90  
3  ORAZIO 3 6 66½ 66½ 43 62 51½ (walsh ry)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 5.10  
2  UNCLE ANDREW 2 2 14 14 11 1nk 62 (lawrence jame)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 ★ 1.30  
 
PID-3   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISSIN THE BIG DOG 2 5 1½ 11   11 12 (farrior antho)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00 W
5  SPIRIT ANIMAL 5 2 42½ 21   21 22 (caramori)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 ★ 3.00 P
4  CAPTAIN MAD JACK 4 1 31½ 32   32 32 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 122 5.00 7% 13.60 6.70 S
3  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE 3 3 2½ 43½   43½ 44½ (weaver c)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 2.70  
1  I BELONG TO BECKY 1 4 53½ 55   56½ 511 (hay r)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 16% 5.20 11.60  
SCR  MORETHANSOULTITLE               (connelly teres)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
SCR  PATROL               (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JARETH 3 3 21 2nk   2nk 1½ (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 2.00 23% 3.40 1.50 W
1  BIG CHICKEN MAN 1 2 11 1nk   1nk 2½ (russell rand)AYALA J 124 6.00 ★ 3.90 P
5  SPICY SHOT 4 5 53¼ 53¾   32½ 34½ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 18% 4.40 2.80 S
2  ATTUCK 2 4 43 43½   43 48½ (patterson kev)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.10  
6  LET PEACE PREVAIL 5 1 31 32½   56½ 510¼ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 26.40  
SCR  NO DRAMA               (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
 
PID-5   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO 1 3 31½ 41½   3½ 12 (davis sc)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 35% 1.80 10.50 W
8  FAST MULE 5 5 62½ 31   41½ 22 (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 4.00 10% 9.30 3.20 P
3  E Z TOLL 2 4 21 2nk   1nk 32½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 ★ 1.10 S
9  YOU LOOKING AT ME 6 1 11 1nk   2nk 43 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 3.50 32% 2.10 2.40  
5  WINE WITH A ROSE 3 6 52½ 53   53½ 53¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.50 ★ 16.30  
7  ESTABLISHMENT 4 2 42 64   65 66¼ (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00 12.30  
SCR  AIR ONE               (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
SCR  BELLA'S CUPID               (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
SCR  NOT LIKE MY ROAD               (agnew naoise)AYALA J 120 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) 3 4 11 11   13 14¾ (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 31% 2.20 1.00 W
5  WATERLOO SUNSET 5 2 42½ 42   23 24¾ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 20.80  
2  GRAND MAMOO 2 6 53½ 65   44½ 34¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 2.90  
4  SONG OF INDY 4 3 21 21   34 45¼ (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 5.00 10% 8.70 9.80  
1  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 1 1 66 54½   55½ 57 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 6% 15.90 7.20  
6  LAWN DART 6 5 31½ 31½   67 69 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 2.50 25% 3.00 3.60  
SCR  MIDNIGHT FROST               (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-7   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PERFECT HIDEAWAY 7 1 34½ 35 22½ 2½ 1¾ (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 15% 5.70 2.90 W
5  KICK OUT THE JAMS 5 6 711 613 66¼ 33 2¾ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 6.00 ★ 15.00 P
2  STARSHIP MACYS 2 3 13 14 12½ 1½ 36¼ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 2.50 19% 4.40 2.30 S
1  READY TO FILM 1 4 23 24 32½ 43½ 46¼ (bennett gerald)ALLEN D 118 5.00 ★ 5.80  
6  TAKE TO THE SKIES 6 2 58 47½ 45 53½ 58½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 17.60  
3  SHE NASTY 3 7 69½ 59½ 56 6100 6100 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 8.90  
4  IRISH DREAM GIRL 4 5 46½ 715½ 7100 7100 7100 (bennett )GALLARDO A 122 3.50 40% 1.50 2.40  
 
PID-8   10/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:144 1:392   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHIC N WILBUR 6 1 11½ 11 1nk 1½ 11¼ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.30 W
2  MR. MAGICO 2 4 32½ 31½ 41½ 2½ 21¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 8.00 25.70  
3  K. K. ICHIKAWA 3 2 65 64 72¾ 41½ 31¼ (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 6% 16.00 4.20 S
11  INCLUSIVE 11 9 76 74½ 62½ 52½ 41½ (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00 10% 9.40 5.40  
10  GREAT 10 5 21½ 21 2nk 3½ 52¾ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 8.70  
7  GOLD WING 7 10 109 107½ 96¾ 73¼ 63½ (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★ 35.70  
1  NAMARUNU (GER) 1 11 1110 119½ 106¾ 84¼ 74 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 14% 6.30 7.10  
4  THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 43 42½ 31 62¾ 84½ (hay r)STANLEY O 122 12.00 26.20  
5  LEBASI 5 8 96½ 85½ 83¾ 96¼ 96¾ (hogue james )AYALA J 122 20.00 36.30  
9  RED CAT (CHI) 9 6 54 53½ 52 109¼ 1012¼ (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 15.00  
8  PLEASE SIT DOWN 8 7 86½ 96½ 1110¾ 1114¼ 1119 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 20.00 60.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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