Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDBAR Sep20         (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 1.60 63% 0.60    
2  RAINAS ROLLIN Sep29 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20   (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 117 2.50 10% 9.20    
3  CHANGE THE HOUR Oct05 Sep20       (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00    
4  SLENDER BETSY Sep29 Sep20 Sep07 Aug08 Jul13 (rice kevin)WALKER M 117 6.00 ★    
5  BRADITUDE Sep20 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 120 4.50 ★    
6  TIDDLY WINK Sep20 Sep14 Aug29 Jul18 Jul08 (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 ★    
 
PID-2   10/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPUS Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Jul22 (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00    
2  UNCLE ANDREW Sep30 Aug25 Aug09 Jul22 Jun16 (lawrence jame)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 ★    
3  ORAZIO Sep27 Aug23 Aug09 Jul14 Jun15 (walsh ry)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
4  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 Jun27 Jun16 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 19% 4.40    
5  AULT Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
6  CRAZY KATER Sep16 Aug09 Jul18 Jun15 Jan25 (aguirre anth)AYALA J 122 3.00 ★    
 
PID-3   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I BELONG TO BECKY Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jun22 (hay r)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
2  MISSIN THE BIG DOG Sep16 Aug17 Jul22 Jun29 Jun03 (farrior antho)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Mar23 Mar02 (weaver c)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
4  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Oct05 Sep26 Sep20 Aug31 Aug22 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 122 5.00 7% 13.60    
5  SPIRIT ANIMAL Sep29 Aug31 Jul29 Jul13 May30 (caramori)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  MORETHANSOULTITLE Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul19 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
SCR  PATROL Sep21         (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CHICKEN MAN Sep27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (russell rand)AYALA J 124 6.00 ★    
2  ATTUCK Sep15 Aug10 Jul21 May07 Mar31 (patterson kev)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  JARETH Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  NO DRAMA Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
5  SPICY SHOT Sep13 Jun15 May30     (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  LET PEACE PREVAIL Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul11 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AIR ONE Aug30 Aug17 Jul26     (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
2  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Sep20 Sep06       (davis sc)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 35% 1.80    
3  E Z TOLL Jun25         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  BELLA'S CUPID Sep15 Aug10 Jul26     (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
5  WINE WITH A ROSE Aug30 Jul26 Jul11     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  NOT LIKE MY ROAD Aug30         (agnew naoise)AYALA J 120 12.00    
7  ESTABLISHMENT Oct05         (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00    
8  FAST MULE Sep19 Sep05 Aug16     (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 4.00 10% 9.30    
9  YOU LOOKING AT ME Oct03         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
PID-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Oct04 Sep22 May23     (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
2  GRAND MAMOO Jun13 Jun06 May24 Apr24 Apr06 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
3  RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) Sep26 Sep06 Aug16 Jul12 Jun13 (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
4  SONG OF INDY Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Jul19 Jul04 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
5  WATERLOO SUNSET Oct04 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug08 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
6  LAWN DART Sep22 Sep16 Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FROST Sep29 Sep13 Sep06 Aug16 Jul11 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-7   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO FILM Sep23 Aug07 Jul23 Apr02 Mar02 (bennett gerald)ALLEN D 118 5.00 ★    
2  STARSHIP MACYS Sep29 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jul28 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  SHE NASTY Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jul12 Jun23 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
4  IRISH DREAM GIRL Sep21 Aug22 Jul23 Apr03 Mar09 (bennett )GALLARDO A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  KICK OUT THE JAMS Sep29 Sep20 Sep09 Aug18 Aug01 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 122 6.00 ★    
6  TAKE TO THE SKIES Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jul01 Jun11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
7  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Aug29 Jul08 May26 May05 Apr07 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
PID-8   10/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAMARUNU (GER) Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 May25   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  MR. MAGICO Aug31 Aug14 Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 8.00    
3  K. K. ICHIKAWA Sep28 Sep06 Jul26 Jul05 Jun08 (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 6% 16.00    
4  THIRSTY ACTOR Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 Jun28 Jun07 (hay r)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
5  LEBASI Sep20 Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 Aug15 (hogue james )AYALA J 122 20.00    
6  CHIC N WILBUR Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  GOLD WING Sep05 Aug16 Jul19 Jun07 Jan12 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
8  PLEASE SIT DOWN Aug16 Aug03 Jun15 Jun02 Apr15 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 20.00    
9  RED CAT (CHI) Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 Aug02 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
10  GREAT Sep28 Sep08       (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
11  INCLUSIVE Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 Jul25 Jul06 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.