The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
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PID-1   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:233 :471 :59     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIDNIGHT PIRATE 2 4 32 31½   3½ 12½ (wismer s)WALKER M 124 1.20 29% 2.40 2.00 W
1  POQUITO ROSE 1 2 11 1½   1½ 22½ (radosevich r)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
4  WATERLOO SUNSET 4 1 21 2½   2½ 33 (schneider kim)AYALA J 124 4.00 ★ 3.40 S
3  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 3 5 53½ 42½   42½ 43½ (buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 14% 6.30 2.00  
6  DANCE OR STROLL 5 3 42½ 54   55½ 58¼ (radosevich r)SPIETH S 122 4.50 16% 5.10 4.60  
SCR  THE TWO NANCY'S               (buhrow d)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
 
PID-2   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOX I DON'T BRAG 1 4 24½ 24   23 1¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00 5.70  
8  SHEER ALICE (GB) 5 1 14½ 14   13 2¾ (walsh d)WALKER M 121 3.00 35% 1.90 0.80 P
3  CARINA'S WAY 2 2 46 45½   36 32 (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.50 ★ 3.90 S
7  MY GIRL MELLY 4 3 34½ 34½   46½ 45¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.50 ★ 2.60  
6  GIO'S MY DAD 3 5 58½ 58½   58 57¼ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 10.00 22.30  
SCR  BUTTON CANDY               (hillegass alexandra)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  LADY KALAMATA               (worton elisabeth)DELGADO DAVID 121 15.00    
SCR  MAPLELINE               (burnett henry)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
PID-3   10/04/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:232 :463 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY 1 2 11 11½   11½ 1½ (russell randall)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 ★ 3.10  
6  BEACH HOLIDAY 6 1 52½ 42   31½ 2½ (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 119 2.50 ★ 3.30 P
5  ZOOMBIE 5 5 31 21½   42½ 33¾ (walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 119 5.00 30% 2.30 1.80 S
2  CROWLEY'S WAR 2 4 21 31½   21½ 44½ (wismer s)WALKER M 124 3.00 14% 6.10 7.30  
3  GOLOVKIN 3 6 63½ 66½   55 55 (guciardo john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 13% 6.90 7.30  
4  BACKDOORPARTY 4 3 41½ 55½   66 67 (martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.00 6.30  
 
PID-4   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
:232 :47 1:124 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TEMPUS 4 5 79¼ 64½ 54 31 13½ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 6.70  
8  NOTACATBUTACARD 7 6 34 32½ 1½ 1nk 23½ (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 16% 5.30 3.00 P
5  FARAT 5 3 56½ 54 32½ 42½ 35 (markgraf david)WALKER M 124 10.00 18.10  
7  C THE KING 6 4 69 74¾ 2½ 2nk 45¾ (depasquale kimberly)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 6% 15.80 16.50  
2  ON BASE 2 7 46½ 42½ 65 57½ 57½ (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00 ★ 2.10  
3  HONORABLE 3 2 2½ 2½ 43 613½ 623¼ (pappada c)ALLEN D 122 4.00 28% 2.50 2.30  
1  MAKES GOOD SENSE 1 1 1½ 1½ 78½ 728½ 774½ (roman d)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 22% 3.60 8.70  
SCR  HOLY TRUTH               (martin n)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   10/04/2022 6270ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:251 :503 1:154 1:40   1:581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DECLARED 2 3 36 36 23 12½ 15½ (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.40 41% 1.40 0.30 W
1  DON'T POKE THE CAT 1 1 24 25 33½ 33½ 25½ (gomez alejandro)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★ 6.40 P
4  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE 3 2 14 15 13 22½ 35¾ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 2.00 34% 1.90 2.70 S
5  LIGHTNING ROUND 4 4 49½ 48 46½ 414 420¼ (valdez moises)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 21.00  
SCR  SWINGING STICKS               (smith julie)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  UNION LEADER               (rivera justin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 4.50 ★    
 
PID-6   10/04/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:241 :484 1:123 1:363   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODIE GOOMER 1 1 33½ 52½ 42½ 21 11¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★ 4.20  
2  DRIFTWOOD 2 2 13 11 11 11 21¾ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 1.80 32% 2.10 3.00 P
4  WHISKEY DOUBLE 4 5 55½ 63 63½ 33½ 32¾ (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 ★ 1.70 S
5  HARROW 5 3 44½ 41½ 52½ 43½ 45 (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 124 10.00 11% 7.90 6.60  
3  ALABAMA SLAMMER 3 4 23 21 21 66¾ 510¾ (russell randall)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 7.20  
6  VALENTINE BUG 6 6 65½ 31 31½ 56½ 610¾ (connelly teresa)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 22% 3.50 5.60  
 
PID-7   10/04/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
:224 :454 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIR LANCELOT 6 1 13 11   14 17 (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 47% 1.10 0.60 W
3  DAWGMENTALITY 2 4 33½ 43   45½ 27 (potts g)WALKER M 118 6.00 15.30  
6  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 5 6 611½ 66   67½ 38¼ (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 4.00 ★ 16.10 S
1  LEGEND OF CHARLIE 1 5 56½ 53   56 48¼ (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 10.00 18.70  
5  HANDSOME PLAYBOY 4 3 43½ 21   24 58½ (bennett s)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 ★ 6.70  
8  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 7 7 717½ 710   79 69¼ (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00 64.90  
4  SHAMMAH 3 2 23 32   34 710 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 28% 2.50 2.50  
SCR  HENDRICKSON               (motion graham)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 10.00 ★    
 
PID-8   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
:243 :484 1:132 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SMOKEY LEE 7 5 43½ 41½ 52½ 51¾ 1¼ (fletcher kevin)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 3.50 4.40  
3  LAKE NAKURU 3 6 32½ 31½ 31 3.2 2¼ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 43% 1.30 1.70 P
6  WHISKYFORBREAKFAST 5 1 64½ 52½ 41½ 2nk 3¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 ★ 12.00 S
1  NO TIME TO YAWN 1 3 11 1½ 2nk 1nk 41½ (fiesman l)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 16.20  
10  ALPHA PREDATOR 9 7 88 86¼ 74 61¾ 52½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 20% 4.00 2.00  
9  TITRATE 8 4 75 62¾ 63 72¾ 63¾ (worton elisabeth)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 8% 11.10 10.30  
2  NIP OF BOURBON 2 9 910½ 96¾ 85 84¼ 74¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 15.00 17.90  
4  LUPI 4 2 21 2½ 1nk 4¾ 85½ (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 35.50  
7  GOLD FELLOW 6 8 54½ 72¾ 96½ 96¼ 98 (valdez moises)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 37.00  
SCR  EASTON ROCKS               (pappada c)WALKER M 122 30.00    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS               (smith m)AYALA J 118 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.