Handicappers' Racing Form

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PID-1   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POQUITO ROSE Sep22 Aug17 Jul21 Jun27 Jun02 (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 (wismer s)WALKER M 124 1.20 29% 2.40    
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Sep22 May23       (buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
WATERLOO SUNSET Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 (schneider kim)AYALA J 124 4.00    
SCR  THE TWO NANCY'S Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 May18 (buhrow d)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
DANCE OR STROLL Aug24 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (radosevich r)SPIETH S 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
PID-2   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUDOX I DON'T BRAG Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Jul20 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00    
SCR  MAPLELINE Sep14 Sep06 Aug05 Jun22 Jun01 (burnett armstro)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
CARINA'S WAY Sep14 Aug16 Jan22     (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.50    
SCR  BUTTON CANDY Sep14 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Jun16 (hillegass alexa)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
SCR  LADY KALAMATA Sep02 Aug07 Jun26     (worton dorothy )DELGADO DAVID 121 15.00    
GIO'S MY DAD Sep14 Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 10.00    
MY GIRL MELLY Sep14 Aug16 Jul11 Jun30   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.50    
SHEER ALICE (GB) Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jun21 Jun16 (walsh d)WALKER M 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
PID-3   10/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Sep26 Sep15 Jul21 Jun29   (russell ra)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
CROWLEY'S WAR Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 (wismer s)WALKER M 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
GOLOVKIN Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 (guciardo john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
BACKDOORPARTY Aug03 Jun30 Jun08 Jun01 May16 (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.00    
ZOOMBIE Sep15 Aug29 Jul28 Jul20 Jun15 (walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
BEACH HOLIDAY Sep19 Aug30 Jul12 Jun02 May26 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 119 2.50    
 
PID-4   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKES GOOD SENSE Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (roman malv)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
ON BASE Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jul25   (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00    
HONORABLE Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 (pappada michael )ALLEN D 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
TEMPUS Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Jul22 Jul13 (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
FARAT Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Aug03 (markgraf david)WALKER M 124 10.00    
SCR  HOLY TRUTH Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 Jun29 Jun06 (martin william)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
C THE KING Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 (depasquale)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 6% 15.80    
NOTACATBUTACARD Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 Jul27 Jun27 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
PID-5   10/04/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T POKE THE CAT Sep19 Aug31 Aug22 Aug15 Jul21 (gomez alejandr)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
DECLARED Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.40 41% 1.40    
SCR  UNION LEADER Sep01 Jul20 Mar27 Mar11 Jan30 (rivera justi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 4.50    
A COTSWOLD VILLAGE Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun16 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
LIGHTNING ROUND Sep22 Sep07 Aug17 Aug11 Jul15 (valdez moi)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00    
SCR  SWINGING STICKS Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 (smith julie)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   10/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODIE GOOMER Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 Jun29 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00    
DRIFTWOOD Sep13 Aug23 Aug06 Jul14 Jun21 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
ALABAMA SLAMMER Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jun12 May07 (russell ra)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
WHISKEY DOUBLE Aug21 Jul16 Jun23 May21 Mar05 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
HARROW Sep07 Jun30 Jun07 May24 Apr13 (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
VALENTINE BUG Sep19 Sep08 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 (connelly teresa)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PID-7   10/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGEND OF CHARLIE Sep20 Aug22 Jul19     (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
SCR  HENDRICKSON Aug22 Jul15       (motion graha)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 10.00    
DAWGMENTALITY Sep07 Aug22 Jul14     (potts g)WALKER M 118 6.00    
SHAMMAH Sep20 Aug23 Aug02     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
HANDSOME PLAYBOY Sep03         (bennett ge)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Sep20 Aug20 Jul14 Jun14   (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 4.00    
SIR LANCELOT Sep09         (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Sep20 Aug22 Jul28 Jul14 Jun14 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00    
 
PID-8   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TIME TO YAWN Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 May26   (fiesman ro)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
NIP OF BOURBON Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jun18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 15.00    
LAKE NAKURU Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug10 Jul23 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
LUPI Sep21 Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
SCR  EASTON ROCKS Sep21 Sep04 Aug21 Mar05 Feb16 (pappada michael)WALKER M 122 30.00    
WHISKYFORBREAKFAST Sep13 Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 Jun19 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
GOLD FELLOW Sep27 Jul28 Jun11 May12 Apr29 (valdez moises)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
SMOKEY LEE Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug05 Jul20 (fletcher kevi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
TITRATE Sep17 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20 Jul12 (worton dorothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 8% 11.10    
10  ALPHA PREDATOR Sep06 Aug03 Jul21 Jul11 Jun07 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS Sep22 Sep15 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 (smith lawrence)AYALA J 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.