Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Laurel Park
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LRL-1   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIQUIDATOR 5 2 24 28   1 1 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 4.50 3.60  
LUV U MARY JANE 3 3 4 3   34 2 (gonzalez c)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 2.50 3.60 P
ICE CUBE BABY 2 1 14 18   2 312 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 4.50  
ONE LAS OLAS 1 5 3 510½   515 418½ (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 26% 2.80 1.10  
DONNA'S COURAGE 4 4 56 410½   412 520¾ (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00 20% 3.90 6.20  
SCR  MY THIRD CHARM               (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
LRL-2   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CLAIRE'S DARLING 8 1 2½ 2nk   12 1 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 8.00 6.40  
12  TIZ SUSAN ANN 9 9 5 6   45 2 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 23.30  
FOGGY DREAMS 6 10 1012¼ 910¼   8 34 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 17.30  
PROPER ATTIRE 7 6 7 5   35 4 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.50 14% 6.30 1.20  
13  BAHAMA PEARL 10 5 43 4   5 55 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 126 20.00 13.90  
ALWAYS SOMETHING 2 2 1½ 1nk   22 6 (testerma)RODRIGUEZ A 112 30.00 16.30  
KLAYTON'S KANDY 4 8 8 810¼   9 77 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00 5.60  
CAROLINA ICE 3 4 6 7   7 87 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 30.00 29.50  
ODRAMARK 5 7 32 33   6 9 (gonzalez claudio)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.00 27% 2.70 3.90  
TRIKKI NIKKI 1 3 910¼ 1012¼   1013¾ 1027½ (mcfarlane bra)ALVELO C 123 20.00 32.40  
SCR  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)               (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
SCR  FAST LANI               (frock ch)BUTTERFLY L 123 10.00    
SCR  PEACE WITH HONOR               (mcmahon hug)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
LRL-3   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 2 F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDESCENDING 4 1 13 1   1½ 1 (servis john )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 3.00 21% 3.90 1.40 W
ALAS AND ALACK 1 4 45 3   33 2 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00 13.40  
1A  LARAMORE 5 2 23 2   2½ 3 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 1.40 46% 1.20 1.00  
LUCIDITY 3 5 512 513   49 410¼ (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 3.30  
HEARDITALL 2 3 35 4   510½ 520¼ (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 115 15.00 40.00  
SCR  AYY LADIES               (west m)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  BAYLIS STREET               (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.40    
SCR  COM ON               (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 115 6.00    
SCR  ROARINGLIKETHUNDER               (brooks m)CONNER TYLER 115 15.00    
 
LRL-4   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:16 1:421   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF NONE 3 1 21 2nk 1½ 11 1 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 33% 2.10 4.00 W
ENERGY EFFICIENT 1 2 53 4 44 21 2 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 8% 11.30 3.10 P
BONDED (IRE) 6 5 42 3 3 32 36 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 21.60  
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI 5 4 11 1nk 2½ 42 48 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 5.00 8% 11.00 4.70  
GENERAL J R 7 7 6 6 55 5 5 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 25% 3.00 1.30  
DISCREETLY THRIFTY 4 6 32 5 611 616½ 623 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00 7.60  
SNIP THE ROSES 2 3 7 7 726 741½ 756½ (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 46.00  
SCR  DA BEERS ON ICE               (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
 
LRL-5   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE 9 2 1½ 1 14 15 1 (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 9.10  
KING TSUNAMI 5 7 4 2 24 25 2 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 2.50  
16  BODE LYNX 10 5 914¼ 912¾ 611¾ 310 3 (milosevic )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 30.00 28.30  
BYRON'S GOLD 2 10 1026¼ 1027¾ 1017¾ 719½ 415¾ (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 30.00 48.60  
ORO GRIS 6 3 5 6 712¾ 515½ 516¾ (graham r)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 6% 16.50 8.90  
SOLOMON'S CHOICE 4 6 6 5 310 414 619¾ (geralis emanue)BOYCE FOREST 122 2.50 16% 5.10 2.00  
LIGHTNING LAD 3 9 814 811¾ 511½ 616½ 720¾ (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 119 12.00 9.40  
I'M NOT A BABY 1 8 710½ 711½ 915¼ 823½ 828½ (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
10  FIRST FORCE 8 1 3½ 4 411½ 927½ 936¼ (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00 24.90  
BROTHER MERLE 7 4 2½ 3 813¼ 1027½ 1036¼ (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 123 12.00 25.90  
SCR  BLAMEITONTHEFUN               (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 20.00    
SCR  DRAKON               (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 1.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  FROG PRINCE               (stettinius suzan)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SCR  ICANDOTHAT               (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
SCR  RIP IT               (haughton donnov)GARCIA LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  SWALLOW BEACH               (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   10/13/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:392   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE IRISH 6 3 13 12 1 12 1 (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50 16% 5.20 3.30 W
DIXIE DRAWL 8 7 5 3 3 22 2 (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50 41% 1.40 3.20 P
FORTUNE'S FOOL 2 1 6 6 4 3 3 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 5.90  
PLOT THE DOTS 5 6 75 76 7 57 48 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 123 3.50 11% 8.50 2.00  
SAVOY 3 2 33 54 5 46 513½ (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 15.00 21.60  
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 7 8 87 8 810¼ 710 616¾ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 15.00 25.60  
MONEY RIDE 1 5 23 4 6 813 724 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 15.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
BUSTOFF 4 4 4 22 2 610 824¾ (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00 6.20  
SCR  TREASURE TROVE               (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 5.00 6% 16.00    
 
LRL-7   10/13/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:124 1:382   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AMERICAN D'ORO 4 3 37 34 2 1 1 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 123 10.00 7.30  
HE'SPUREGOLD 2 2 24 24 3 2 2 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 4.00 24% 3.20 0.60 P
PRAIRIE 1 1 14 14 1 34 310½ (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 7.80  
ATTENTIVE 3 4 48 4 410½ 414 430¾ (handal raymon)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 36% 1.80 3.00  
11  BROKER'S REWARD 5 5 5 57 515 522 542¼ (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00 7.30  
SCR  SAND DANCER               (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 123 15.00    
SCR  POWER BACK               (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 126 12.00    
SCR  MY BOY PADDY               (rivera justin)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BORDER TOWN               (maker j)CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG AGENDA               (sharp joe)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  SARANAC (FR)               (hodsdon daniel)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
SCR  B DETERMINED               (stettinius suz)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00    
 
LRL-8   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSPICIOUS LAD 5 1 12 1 12 1 1 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 20% 3.90 3.90 W
CALIPARI 4 4 4 49 4 47 2 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 3.00 3.30 P
MOON WARRIOR 3 3 3 32 35 3 33 (hemingway mi)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 3.10  
GRAND MANNER 6 2 22 2 22 2 4 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10  
PLAYING GOLD 1 5 5 510 517½ 522 527¼ (mcmahon )BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00 10% 8.70 17.90  
CAN'T DREAM ALONE 2 6 612½ 617 625½ 634 643½ (roadc)LABARRE GRACE 122 30.00 38.70  
SCR  MAILMAN'S A FLYER               (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.