Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODE BY YOU 5 5 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (potts ron )GALLARDO A 119 2.50 49% 1.00 0.60 W
HIGH DOLLAR DATE 7 1 6 6   5 2 (kintz matthew)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 46.50  
MORE RANSOM 6 6 5 54   6 3 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 10% 8.50 4.70 S
CHARGINA 1 8 88 8   7 4 (kocijan boris)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 7.10  
RIO DEL ARMOUR 2 7 77 7   44 5 (guciardo john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 37.40 DH
MUY CHISTOSA 4 3 1½ 2nk   2½ 5 (connelly t)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 10% 8.70 4.50 DH
A WISH FOR TRISH 3 4 4 43   34 710½ (kurtinecz lill)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 8.00 26.20  
GREGS POSSE 8 2 3 31   8 812 (fennessy john)ALLEN D 122 12.00 44.40  
 
PID-2   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF KONA 4 4 1½ 1½   14 1 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00 4.40  
DIAMONDHARD STONE 1 6 4 44   3 2 (cooper thomas)WALKER M 120 10.00 19.00  
NIGHT RIDE 5 3 3 33   4 310 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 120 3.00 3.10 S
COLONEL POPPY 3 5 5 66   6 413¼ (kintz ma)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 32% 2.20 7.00  
SLICK EVANS 2 7 6 55   57 514¾ (motion g)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 3.30  
AZTEC LEGEND 7 1 2½ 2½   24 614¾ (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.00 38% 1.60 3.10  
SOPHIA'S PRINCE 6 2 7 78   715½ 730¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 6.30  
 
PID-3   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERY RILL 2 3 1½ 11   12 1 (clement christo)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 24% 3.10 2.00 W
HIDEKI 4 1 2½ 21   32 2 (walsh d)WALKER M 119 2.50 48% 1.10 2.50 P
SWEET AMY 1 5 42 3   22 3 (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 7.30  
WILD IRISH 5 2 5 55   5 4 (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 6.50  
DETERMINED HOPE 3 4 32 4   4 5 (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 5% 19.00 1.80  
SCR  MOTITO               (girten tim)ALLEN D 119 5.00    
 
PID-4   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMA DILLON 6 5 4 4   4 1¼ (nunn douglas)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 47% 1.10 2.90 W
GOLDEN SURVIVOR 2 4 3 32   22 2¼ (kintz ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 22% 3.60 0.90 P
DUN RIGHT 1 3 12 12   12 3¾ (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 6.80 S
HOMEMADE MOONSHINE 3 6 55 54   32 4 (rotunno sydney )VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 11.80  
GOLDEN OAK 8 8 88 8   6 55 (schneider kim)AYALA J 122 8.00 19.20  
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN 5 7 7 66   7 67 (cheeks p)DELGADO DAVID 119 12.00 24.90  
UP FOR THE CHANCE 4 2 22 22   5 7 (fennessy john)WALKER M 119 5.00 13.70  
BUMMER 7 1 6 7   811¾ 821¼ (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
 
PID-5   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEIL 7 9 5 32   2 11 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 124 3.00 54% 0.80 2.00 W
LIMONATA 6 5 8 85   4 21 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 124 8.00 19.30 P
PLATINUM SKY 2 8 7 7   55 3 (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 124 4.50 5.80 S
COZAR'S QUEEN 4 1 21 2½   1 4 (russell randall)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00 14.60  
NEVER KNOW CHRISTY 3 6 64 5   3 5 (cowans william )MORALES PABLO 124 4.00 17% 4.90 2.40  
AT LEAST 9 4 97 97   8 6 (grace john)ROMERO RAMON 124 20.00 92.70  
LETS RACE LADYS 5 2 3 4   6 7 (russell randall)ALLEN M 124 12.00 15.00  
LADY MARVEL 8 3 11 1½   76 812¼ (skawinski carol)WALKER M 124 12.00 44.90  
SCAT ATTACK 1 7 43 6   9 913¼ (silva pabl)DELGADO DAVID 121 3.50 7% 13.30 3.20  
 
PID-6   10/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:124 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUNDED 1 1 11 11 11 12 1 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 W
AMERICA'S JUSTICE 4 3 3 32 3 22 2 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 6% 16.10 2.70 P
PEACE OF EKATI 3 4 21 21 21 33 3 (silva pablo)STANLEY O 122 6.00 4.60  
PATRIOT DRIVE 5 5 5 4 4 5 4 (radosevich)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 39% 1.60 2.00  
D'CRAZINESS 2 2 4 54 5 4 5 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 19.20  
SCR  BLESSED JOURNEY               (silva pab)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   10/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:134 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA DANCER 3 1 1 1 11 12 12 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 37% 1.70 1.40 W
BALI BELLE 4 3 5 3 32 22 22 (clement christo)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 5% 17.40 1.90 P
SHE FLED THE SCENE 5 2 4 5 64 34 3 (o'connell kathl)WALKER M 122 10.00 5% 19.00 33.30 S
LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE 1 8 8 7 9 55 4 (matz r)AYALA J 118 12.00 14.40  
ONE MORE KELLY 9 6 33 4 43 7 511¾ (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 10.00 21.40  
THISLADYIS THE LAW 2 9 9 9 85 8 611¾ (rice linda)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 25% 3.00 6.20  
STARSHIP BELMONT 8 4 2 2 21 45 712½ (walsh d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 10.20  
MAXINE MACHINE 6 5 7 8 7 66 813 (nunn dougl)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
NIGHT COMMAND 7 7 6 6 5 9 915 (matz r)ALLEN D 118 12.00 33.80  
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE               (wismer s)WALKER M 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.