Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGINA Sep12 Aug14 Jul28 Jun21 Jun05 (kocijan boris)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
2  RIO DEL ARMOUR Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 Jun30 Jun14 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 ★    
3  A WISH FOR TRISH Sep27 Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jun22 (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 8.00    
4  MUY CHISTOSA Sep20 Aug16 Jun10 May14 Mar27 (connelly)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  BODE BY YOU Sep20 Sep08 Aug01 May22 Apr10 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  MORE RANSOM Sep06 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May23 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 10% 8.50    
7  HIGH DOLLAR DATE Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul01 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00    
8  GREGS POSSE Oct05 Sep19 Aug25 Aug18 Aug02 (fennessy john)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
 
PID-2   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDHARD STONE         (cooper thomas)WALKER M 120 10.00    
2  SLICK EVANS         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 ★    
3  COLONEL POPPY Sep07 Jul19 Jun28     (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 32% 2.20    
4  DREAMING OF KONA         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
5  NIGHT RIDE Sep28         (stokes lance)ALLEN D 120 3.00 ★    
6  SOPHIA'S PRINCE         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 ★    
7  AZTEC LEGEND Sep28         (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
PID-3   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AMY Oct06 Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 Jul20 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
2  SILVERY RILL Sep22 Jul19 Jun02 Apr10 Mar13 (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 24% 3.10    
3  DETERMINED HOPE Oct03 Sep18 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOTITO Sep28 Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 (girten tim)ALLEN D 119 5.00 ★    
5  HIDEKI Sep22 Sep07 Feb26 Jan22   (walsh d)WALKER M 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  WILD IRISH Sep26 Aug29 Aug08 Jul20 Jun30 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUN RIGHT Sep08 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun13 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
2  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Jul05 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  HOMEMADE MOONSHINE Oct03 Sep19 Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 (rotunno sydne)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 ★    
4  UP FOR THE CHANCE Oct05 Sep21 Aug20     (fennessy john)WALKER M 119 5.00    
5  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 Aug30 Aug16 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 119 12.00    
6  JAMA DILLON Sep24 Aug29 Aug02 Jul29 Jul09 (nunn douglas)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  BUMMER Oct03 Aug24 Jul29 Jul13 Jun23 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOLDEN OAK Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 Aug24 Jul26 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCAT ATTACK Oct09 Sep19 Sep10 May07 Mar08 (silva pa)DELGADO DAVID 121 3.50 7% 13.30    
2  PLATINUM SKY Oct03 Sep14 Jul26 May23 May02 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 4.50 ★    
3  NEVER KNOW CHRISTY Aug01 Apr01 Mar02 Jan15   (cowans willia)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
4  COZAR'S QUEEN Sep22 Aug08 Jul20 Jul07   (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00    
5  LETS RACE LADYS Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 (russell randall)ALLEN M 124 12.00    
6  LIMONATA Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 Aug24 Aug01 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 124 8.00 ★    
7  VEIL Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 Jun18 May22 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
8  LADY MARVEL Oct03 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 Jul26 (skawinski car)WALKER M 124 12.00    
9  AT LEAST Aug03 Jul26 Jul14     (grace john)ROMERO RAMON 124 20.00    
 
PID-6   10/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUNDED Sep13 Aug22 Jun29 Jun21 Mar09 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  D'CRAZINESS Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  BLESSED JOURNEY Oct11 Sep25 Jul23 Jun11 May05 (silva p)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 ★    
4  PEACE OF EKATI Aug21 Jul30 May21 Mar19 Feb10 (silva pa)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00    
5  AMERICA'S JUSTICE Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun07 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 6% 16.10    
6  PATRIOT DRIVE Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 Jun29 Jun21 (radosevi)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
PID-7   10/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Sep23 Aug26 Aug05     (matz michael)AYALA J 118 12.00    
2  THISLADYIS THE LAW Sep26 Sep05 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 (rice linda)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  DAKOTA DANCER Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 Aug15 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  BALI BELLE Oct07 May27 Apr24 Mar12   (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 5% 17.40    
5  SHE FLED THE SCENE Sep30 Sep10 Aug21 Jul23 Jul01 (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAXINE MACHINE Sep23 Sep10 Aug08 Jun23 Apr14 (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  NIGHT COMMAND Sep23 Aug05       (matz r)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
8  STARSHIP BELMONT Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 Aug10 Jul17 (walsh d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
9  ONE MORE KELLY Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 Jul18 Jun29 (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT ONA LIMB Oct05 Sep15 Sep06 Aug06 Jul20 (hay r)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
2  BOURBON GAL Oct05 Sep26 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 5.00 ★    
3  SAILOR'S SALUTE Oct10 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17   (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 12.00 ★    
4  RUN LAUGHING Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 Jul20   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 60% 0.70    
5  PINCH MINE Aug31 Aug17 Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 15.00    
6  KEYPIT Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
7  WOW FACTOR Oct09 Sep26 Sep15 Aug11 Jul13 (valdez moises)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00    
8  SO MOXIE Oct03 Sep21 Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
9  SQUAD UP Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50    
10  BOURBON BLAST Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul21 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.