The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arizona Downs
Monday - September 19, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
AZD-4   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
:223 :47       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HA HA FOR YOU 4 6 42½ 43½   2½ 1¼ (roberson don)BARBER R 122 8.00 4.80  
8  BITCOIN BURGLAR 7 7 89¾ 86½   42½ 2¼ (zimmerman p)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 10.00 30.00  
3  PAISLEY'S VISION 3 1 1½ 11   1½ 3½ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00 3.20  
2  PANZER PRIDE 2 3 32½ 32½   31 42 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 8.00 3.40  
1  BIG SANDY 1 8 79¾ 76   63 52¼ (bratcher ryan)LULL E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
7  JOHN'S KID 6 5 64¾ 55½   53 62½ (rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.50 39% 1.50 1.90  
6  NEEDLES AND PINS 5 4 54½ 66   85½ 79¼ (zimmerman p)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
10  LOTSA LOU 8 2 2½ 21   73½ 810¼ (eikleberry kevin)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00 5.10  
SCR  KATAR               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  LOTSA SKY               (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WESTERBERG               (alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 2.00    
 
AZD-5   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
:222 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS FORUM 1 5 41½ 52¼   31½ 11 (barraza s)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.40 1.10 W
4  WAY TO FIRE 4 1 3½ 1nk   1½ 21 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 11% 8.30 2.10 P
8  LIP'S OF WINE 7 7 69 67¼   66 31¼ (salas eliazar)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00 10.50  
7  BONITA DIXIE 6 3 53 42   53½ 44 (barrio sergio)LEON A 120 15.00 13.30  
3  BOLD INTENTION 3 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 56 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 15% 5.60 4.40  
2  MISS REBEKAH 2 2 1½ 3½   42 68 (barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 11% 8.40 11.20  
6  CAROLYN'S WAY 5 6 79½ 78¾   710 710 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 20.00 19.40  
SCR  STOLEN HALO               (gleason m)VERGARA P 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  TRINNI SUNSET               (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
 
AZD-6   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAMBLIN' MAN 3 5 11 12½   13 11½ (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 1.20 34% 2.00 0.80 W
2  RONAMO 2 4 52½ 34   33 21½ (barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 ★ 1.90 P
6  BRAZEN NOW 4 1 21 44   45½ 35¼ (eikleberry kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 118 12.00 17.60  
1  BOTERO 1 2 31 22½   23 45¾ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 17% 4.90 5.70  
7  THIEF IN THE NIGHT 5 3 41½ 55½   57 57¾ (scott jr)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 6.00 ★ 5.60  
SCR  HEY PILGRIM               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SHANE ZAIN               (soto antonio)LEON A 124 15.00    
 
AZD-7   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
:22 :441 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DAZZLING MIST 2 3 2½ 21   11½ 11¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.50 15% 5.50 3.30 W
4  TWITTERATI 4 4 42½ 44   34 21¼ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 47.50  
6  WE ALL AGREE 6 5 53½ 55½   45 31¼ (rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 118 15.00 9.20  
7  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 7 1 1½ 11   21½ 46½ (kereluk edward)LEON A 124 2.50 1.30  
9  PALACE STAR 9 9 76 79   78 58 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 29.50  
5  MADISON'S QUARTERS 5 8 66 67½   67 68¾ (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 39% 1.60 3.50  
3  TIZ TENACIOUS 3 2 31 33   56½ 79¼ (leon priscilla)LULL E 124 8.00 18.40  
8  IZANAMI 8 7 86½ 810   88½ 89½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
10  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 10 10 1011¾ 1014½   109 910¾ (villamar candelario)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 7% 13.10 16.10  
1  QUEEN OF LOVE 1 6 96¾ 910   99 1012¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 12% 7.30 12.50  
 
AZD-8   09/19/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($18.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
:253 :504 1:143 1:391   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIMONITE 7 2 21 2½ 1nk 11½ 13 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 126 0.60 53% 0.90 0.30 W
6  FAMILY BIZ 6 6 85¾ 73¾ 31½ 21½ 23 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50 14% 6.00 3.90 DQ↓5
4  RAIL HUGGER 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 32 35¾ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 18.50 8.60 P
3  PAYNTER'S BOY 3 8 44 43½ 47 410 416½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 ★ 26.50 S
2  FINAL FINAL 2 4 74¾ 53½ 69 512½ 519¾ (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 6% 14.60 13.30  
8  INCLUDE HOO 8 7 64¼ 63¾ 58½ 614 619¾ (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 53.10  
5  LUCKY STEPPER 5 5 54 84¾ 811 714 721¾ (weaver gordon)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 15.00 30.40  
1  FOUR O'FIVE 1 3 32½ 32 710½ 822 832 (villamar candelario)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 35.90  
 
AZD-9   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
:222 :442 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LARRY'S LEGEND 9 5 31 2½   1nk 1hd (barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 ★ 4.30  
8  GATES OF HEAVEN 7 4 65¼ 64¼   32½ 2hd (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 28% 2.60 1.50 P
4  FIRST PROMISE 3 1 1nk 1½   2nk 3½ (george cynthia)YBARRA MICHAEL 117 5.00 6.00  
6  GRAY MAGICIAN 5 3 43½ 44   44 4¾ (ferguson curt)LEON A 122 10.00 2.80  
7  AUDACE 6 7 76¾ 76¾   56½ 53¼ (wheeler travis)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.10  
10  GOOD BYE PUTIN 8 8 2nk 32   67 65½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 17.50  
5  KAT'S HITMAN 4 6 88¾ 97¾   79 710 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 42.40  
1  MACCHIATO D'ORO 1 9 53¾ 54   810½ 810¾ (campo stacy)LULL E 122 15.00 19% 4.20 5.70  
3  AUTISM WARRIOR 2 2 98¾ 87¼   913 914½ (elston brent)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 49.60  
SCR  RES IPSA LOQUITUR               (campo stacy)BARBER R 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  THE THIRD RING               (chattong vichien)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 30.00    
 
AZD-10   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
:222 :441 :571     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCAT ATTACK 1 1 1nk 1½   12 11¾ (rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 117 3.50 20% 4.00 0.50 W
7  UNBRIDLED TIGER 6 2 2nk 2½   22 21¾ (melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 11% 7.90 10.30 P
4  ROYAL TAP 3 4 3½ 31½   34½ 33¼ (nelson amy)LULL E 120 4.00 16% 5.10 4.80 S
9  KNOCKON 7 7 711½ 710½   57½ 44¼ (barrio sergio)LEON A 121 12.00 22.70  
2  CRYIN' CHUCK 2 6 55 44½   45 55 (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 20% 3.90 6.10  
6  BUBBA BAY 5 8 815½ 56   811½ 69 (o'brien danny)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 17.30 51.10  
5  RI' PIN SNAP 4 5 66½ 68   69 79¼ (duarte-noriega jorge)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 45.30  
11  ROUGE SUNSET 8 3 42 814   710 810¼ (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 10.00 7.50  
SCR  FINGLAS LAD               (evans justin)LEON A 120 2.50    
SCR  MI MALDITO AMOR               (o'brien danny)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  SHADYFIED               (alvarez sergio)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.