Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-4   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :47       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HA HA FOR YOU 4 6 4 4   2½ 1¼ (roberson don)BARBER R 122 8.00 4.80  
BITCOIN BURGLAR 7 7 8 8   4 2¼ (zimmerman jon )YBARRA MICHAEL 119 10.00 30.00  
PAISLEY'S VISION 3 1 1½ 11   1½ 3½ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00 3.20  
PANZER PRIDE 2 3 3 3   31 42 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 8.00 3.40  
BIG SANDY 1 8 7 76   63 5 (bratcher ryan)LULL E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
JOHN'S KID 6 5 6 5   53 6 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.50 39% 1.50 1.90  
NEEDLES AND PINS 5 4 5 66   8 7 (zimmerman jon )GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
10  LOTSA LOU 8 2 2½ 21   7 810¼ (eikleberry ke)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00 5.10  
SCR  KATAR               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  LOTSA SKY               (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WESTERBERG               (alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 2.00    
 
AZD-5   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOUS FORUM 1 5 4 5   3 11 (barraza s)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.40 1.10 W
WAY TO FIRE 4 1 3½ 1nk   1½ 21 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 11% 8.30 2.10 P
LIP'S OF WINE 7 7 69 6   66 3 (salas eliazar)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00 10.50  
BONITA DIXIE 6 3 53 42   5 44 (barrio sergio)LEON A 120 15.00 13.30  
BOLD INTENTION 3 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 56 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 15% 5.60 4.40  
MISS REBEKAH 2 2 1½ 3½   42 68 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 11% 8.40 11.20  
CAROLYN'S WAY 5 6 7 7   710 710 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 20.00 19.40  
SCR  STOLEN HALO               (gleason m)VERGARA P 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  TRINNI SUNSET               (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
 
AZD-6   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN 3 5 11 1   13 1 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 1.20 34% 2.00 0.80 W
RONAMO 2 4 5 34   33 2 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 1.90 P
BRAZEN NOW 4 1 21 44   4 3 (eikleberry kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 118 12.00 17.60  
BOTERO 1 2 31 2   23 4 (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 17% 4.90 5.70  
THIEF IN THE NIGHT 5 3 4 5   57 5 (scott jr)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 6.00 5.60  
SCR  HEY PILGRIM               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SHANE ZAIN               (soto antonio)LEON A 124 15.00    
 
AZD-7   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:22 :441 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING MIST 2 3 2½ 21   1 1 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.50 15% 5.50 3.30 W
TWITTERATI 4 4 4 44   34 2 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 47.50  
WE ALL AGREE 6 5 5 5   45 3 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 118 15.00 9.20  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 7 1 1½ 11   2 4 (kereluk edward)LEON A 124 2.50 1.30  
PALACE STAR 9 9 76 79   78 58 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 29.50  
MADISON'S QUARTERS 5 8 66 6   67 6 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 39% 1.60 3.50  
TIZ TENACIOUS 3 2 31 33   5 7 (leon priscilla)LULL E 124 8.00 18.40  
IZANAMI 8 7 8 810   8 8 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
10  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 10 10 1011¾ 1014½   109 910¾ (villamar cande)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 7% 13.10 16.10  
QUEEN OF LOVE 1 6 9 910   99 1012¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 12% 7.30 12.50  
 
AZD-8   09/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:143 1:391   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMONITE 7 2 21 2½ 1nk 1 13 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 126 0.60 53% 0.90 0.30 W
FAMILY BIZ 6 6 8 7 3 2 23 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50 14% 6.00 3.90 DQ↓5
RAIL HUGGER 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 32 3 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 18.50 8.60 P
PAYNTER'S BOY 3 8 44 4 47 410 416½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 26.50 S
FINAL FINAL 2 4 7 5 69 512½ 519¾ (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 6% 14.60 13.30  
INCLUDE HOO 8 7 6 6 5 614 619¾ (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 53.10  
LUCKY STEPPER 5 5 54 8 811 714 721¾ (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 15.00 30.40  
FOUR O'FIVE 1 3 3 32 710½ 822 832 (villamar candelar)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 35.90  
 
AZD-9   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:222 :442 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LARRY'S LEGEND 9 5 31 2½   1nk 1hd (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 4.30  
GATES OF HEAVEN 7 4 6 6   3 2hd (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 28% 2.60 1.50 P
FIRST PROMISE 3 1 1nk 1½   2nk 3½ (george cynthia)YBARRA MICHAEL 117 5.00 6.00  
GRAY MAGICIAN 5 3 4 44   44 4¾ (ferguson curt)LEON A 122 10.00 2.80  
AUDACE 6 7 7 7   5 5 (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.10  
10  GOOD BYE PUTIN 8 8 2nk 32   67 6 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 17.50  
KAT'S HITMAN 4 6 8 9   79 710 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 42.40  
MACCHIATO D'ORO 1 9 5 54   810½ 810¾ (campo stacy)LULL E 122 15.00 19% 4.20 5.70  
AUTISM WARRIOR 2 2 9 8   913 914½ (elston brent)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 49.60  
SCR  RES IPSA LOQUITUR               (campo stacy)BARBER R 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  THE THIRD RING               (chattong vichie)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 30.00    
 
AZD-10   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:222 :441 :571     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT ATTACK 1 1 1nk 1½   12 1 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 117 3.50 20% 4.00 0.50 W
UNBRIDLED TIGER 6 2 2nk 2½   22 2 (melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 11% 7.90 10.30 P
ROYAL TAP 3 4 3½ 3   3 3 (nelson amy)LULL E 120 4.00 16% 5.10 4.80 S
KNOCKON 7 7 711½ 710½   5 4 (barrio sergio)LEON A 121 12.00 22.70  
CRYIN' CHUCK 2 6 55 4   45 55 (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 20% 3.90 6.10  
BUBBA BAY 5 8 815½ 56   811½ 69 (o'brien danny)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 17.30 51.10  
RI' PIN SNAP 4 5 6 68   69 7 (duarte-noriega jo)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 45.30  
11  ROUGE SUNSET 8 3 42 814   710 810¼ (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 10.00 7.50  
SCR  FINGLAS LAD               (evans justin)LEON A 120 2.50    
SCR  MI MALDITO AMOR               (o'brien )ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  SHADYFIED               (alvarez sergi)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.